Just an FYI for those interested in how big Fable 2 is, and will be. I will (along with GOW2 when it launches) attempt to publish a little bit of information on possible sales leads for the games, using gamercard extrapolations.

What does that mean? It's the same methodology, but tailored for retail games. Because of this, we can get a very good approximation on first day, and week sales for any given X360 title. Also, there's been a ton of arguments about how F2 will sell week-1, so it'll be neat to track.

At any rate, Fable 2 is doing insanely well for under 1 day of tracking.

Mygamercard.net top 5 games (users w/ game played), as of 10/22/08 (starting on 10/20/08 at 0000hrs EST)

#1. Call of Duty 4 (122,420 Users)

#2. Halo 3 (89,575 Users)

#3. Fable 2 (59,976 Users)

#4. Saints Row 2 (48,416 Users)

#5. Gears of War (48,280 Users)

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Updated as of 0100 EST (my time, not the last MGC update)

X360Voice Game Data for 10/21/08 (Stats for Launch Day):

1. Fable II
   11,447 gamers ( 9,221)
2. Call of Duty 4
   5,311 gamers ( -319)
3. Saints Row 2
   4,627 gamers ( -939)
4. Halo 3
   4,537 gamers ( -520)
5. Rock Band 2
   3,088 gamers ( 92)
6. Fable® II Pub Games
   2,367 gamers ( 1,190)
7. FIFA 09
   2,327 gamers ( -67)
8. Gears of War
   2,232 gamers ( -243)
9. Dead Space™
   2,231 gamers ( -533)
10. GTA IV
    1,474 gamers ( -126)

This is VERY impressive for Fable 2 for first day users/numbers. At 11,447 users this puts it just under the best days in the history of Xbox Live (according to 360V). Also, numbers are well above that of recent mega-release The Force Unleashed (VGC has it @ 580k first day), which had a paltry 6,000 concurrent daily users according to 360V.

This *may* insinuate that Fable 2 will reach 600,000-800,000 units for it's first week in North America + PAL, with the upper limit more likely. I talked to ioi, and he stated that North American first day sales were above the 250,000 mark which would lend to that idea (assume 500k first week in North America alone).

Well I got it day one (when I had a break from the set), so I've contributed!

any update?

Nice.....it will be interesting to see how the enitre weeks sales numbers for Fable 2 turn out next week.

Fable 2 (28,020 Users)


It can be 150 k gamers buy Fable II on first day et 300 k sales for the week.


What do you think? We wait more information, maybe tomorrow Microsoft will speak about Fable II sales.

i don't think first day sales matter, first week matter most to me. It will do good.

I talked to ioi recently. He said whatever data he has puts Fable 2 "Well over 250,000 sold"...Certainly a good thing.

I'll update OP when I get info. But at any rate, Fable 2 should be well over The Force Unleashed for week-1 sales.

Its funny to see people so conservative for their Fable 2 first week sales predictions. I understand people don't want to get their hopes up but ... this game is going to sell A LOT, make no mistake. 1 Mill first week is not out of the question.

seece - Yes. 1m is possible. 600k is the ABSOLUTE minimum this game would sell, but I think 800k-1m is likely.

If that happens, it'll be amazing. That's 50% of Mass Effect's entire LTD, and will become the best selling WRPG in console history in very short order.