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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ten Week Countdown 2008!

were are u getting 1838350 for the wii

1873446-1910000= -36554
-36554/1873446=.019511637
019511637 X 100= -1.95116 or -1.9 i'll fix the positive and negatives

thats how i did it maybe my #s for the wii haven't updated here in the US like they are for u yet



                                                             

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^ You are using the numbers currently showing on the front page.... Well I am deliberately not doing so because Wii has been updated in "others" and the pointof that column is to be what the original figures were when they went up, un-updated.

The more important scoreboard I will be making in about 1 month, when the figures are likely to go unchanged unless some big revision happens.



i thought that there will be a second column for the adjustments #s i was diong the original vgc #'s any way get working on the front page week 9 #s r almost here



                                                             

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BHR-3 said:
i thought that there will be a second column for the adjustments #s i was diong the original vgc #'s any way get working on the front page week 9 #s r almost here

Check Skeezers post higher up this page... he posted the figures before Wii was updated in "others".

Here are the week 8 figures.

Week 8
TWRoO DarthDev Oyvoyvoyv Veggie DMeisterJ Zucas Skeezer BHR-3 average
Wii discrepancy +19.7% +36.0% +26.2% -7.5% +14.2% +22.4% +11.5% +3.9% +/-17.68%
PS3 discrepancy +81.2% +52.6% +52.6% +52.6% +43.0% +62.1% +57.3% +90.7% +/-61.51%
360 discrepancy -8.8% -30.3% -22.7% -24.9% -26.0% -14.2% -22.0% -24.9% +/-21.73%
Score (W+P+X) 19+81+8 35+52+30 26+52+22

7+52+24

14+43+25 22+62+14 11+57+22 3+90+24
Total score 108pts 117pts 100pts 83pts 82pts 98pts 90pts 117pts

Rather poor week for Wii, in fact only week 4 and 5 had worse average predictions. PS3 is poor, but it has been since a couple of weeks in, and 360 is average

 

 



nice u updated pretty close to what my graph was like still DMJ won were is he did u think about rounding off the total wen u add them so if its 17.6 it counted ad 18 and 17.5 is counted as 17 what do think of doing it like that i got "what" 4 u wright i think after week9 will know who will win it



                                                             

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BHR-3 said:
nice u updated pretty close to what my graph was like still DMJ won were is he did u think about rounding off the total wen u add them so if its 17.6 it counted ad 18 and 17.5 is counted as 17 what do think of doing it like that i got "what" 4 u wright i think after week9 will know who will win it

Good lord.... punctuate man. That is just a stream of words, you even went off-topic within your own sentence at the end (refering to your changing "what")

Yes, basically using the older figure just puts everyones Wii predictions about 2% further off, except Veggie, who is 2% closer.

I started using the whole point method because I figured anyone under 1% got there at least partly by luck, and thus differentiating between 0.5% out and 1% out seemed unfair, but I think you are right I probably should have used rounding instead.... it's too late to change it all now, but I will probably do it later on when the weeks are completed and see what the difference would have been. (likely minimal considering the same rule applies to all, so unless someone was unlucky in that they only just went over the whole % mark each time, everyone will be in the same positions)

Here are the week positions.... DMJ comes out top spot, followed by Veggie. While for me and BHR this is our poorest week, with me in 6th and BHR in joint 7th, due mostly to our high expectations of the PS3.

Rank Week 8
Predictor
Week 8
Points
1 DMeisterJ 82
2 Veggie 83
3 Skeezer 90
4 Zucas 98
5 Oyvoyv 100
6 TWRoO 108
7 BHR-3 117 (=)
8 DarthDev 117 (=)

And for the console specific and totals, there is a little movement in Wii, with Skeezer pulling back up 2 places after falling 3 last week, and Veggie passing Oyv.... no movement for PS3, and in 360 I move up 2 spots into 2nd, and Zucas moves up 1 spot pushing Oyv down.
Overall we now have a new leader with Veggie, who has passed BHR-3.

Rank Wii
Predictor
Wii
Points
PS3
Predictor
PS3
Points
X360
Predictor
X360
Points
Total
Predictor
Total
Points
1 BHR-3 53
Veggie 262 Skeezer 120 Veggie [+1]
495
2 Veggie [+1]
88
BHR-3 317 TWRoO [+2]
134 BHR-3 [-1]
519
3 Oyvoyvoyv [-1]
90 TWRoO 324 Veggie [-1]
145 TWRoO 562
4 TWRoO
104
Zucas 378 BHR-3 [-1]
149 Skeezer

651

5

DMeisterJ

122
Skeezer
395 DMeisterJ 167 Zucas 688
6 Skeezer [+2]
137 DarthDevidem 422 Zucas [+1]
169 DMeisterJ 741
7 Zucas [-1]
141 DMeisterJ 452 Oyvoyvoyv [-1]
176 DarthDevidem 788
8 DarthDevidem [-1]
159
Oyvoyvoyv 553 DarthDevidem 207 Oyvoyvoyv 819

 



@twroo haven't really checked the previous weeks but do think the adjustments made or the ones that could be made really affect the rankings much



                                                             

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Well here are the current adjustments from the originals.
Wii

Week
ending
Original
VGC figure
Final
Adjustment
Difference
Nov 1 486,409 528,570 +42k
Nov 8 527,317 606,416 +79k
Nov 15 603,408 714,293 +111k
Nov 22 784,777 876,998 +92k
Nov 29 1,365,476 1,409,184 +44k
Dec 6 1,178,793 1,233,929 +55k
Dec 13 1,478,813 1,479,906 +1k
Dec 20 1,838,350 1,896,061 +58k
Dec 27 1,535,755 -
Jan 3 - -
Total - - +482k



PS3

Week
ending
Original
VGC figure
Final
Adjustment
Difference
Nov 1 192,229 196,208 +4k
Nov 8 209,239 194,062 -15k
Nov 15 210,406 208,110 -2k
Nov 22 240,184 235,705 -4k
Nov 29 402,641 385,072 -18k
Dec 6 349,949 348,682 -1k
Dec 13 415,754 413,504 -2k
Dec 20 524,368 508,005 -16k
Dec 27 466,837 -
Jan 3 - -
Total - - -54k


360

Week
ending
Original
VGC figure
Final
Adjustment
Difference
Nov 1 198,124 219,364 +21k
Nov 8 255,371 279,671 +24k
Nov 15 279,518 318,771 +39k
Nov 22 435,625 434,670 -1k
Nov 29 800,140 772,673 -27k
Dec 6 645,749 627,696 -18k
Dec 13 739,922 722,705 -17k
Dec 20 931,999 922,287 -10k
Dec 27 784,969 -
Jan 3 - -
Total - - +11k


--------------------------------------------------------

The differences will make the most difference to the scores for those weeks where people were both over and under predicting, but it will still affect things even when everyone is under or over.



och never knew the wii got that much adjusted for some weeks not to much for ps360 hopefully they won't get adjusted much in the future



                                                             

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BHR-3 said:

will since i can't wait 4 week 2 #'s i thought i would make a prediction within a prediction thread i think i'll b close for the wii with 495k but i wouln't count out Oyvoyv, DMeisterJ, Zucas with ur 450k who knows maybe ps360 can steal some of the wii's sales with there software that's comming out

4 ps3 i think TWRoO got the best prediction with 220k but Veggie and I have a chance at it with our 240k and 230k predictions

As 4 the 360 i think Skeezer got the closest # with 220k but it can also go to Veggie with 230k i'll be mad if 360 goes any higher than that

i also think wen all is said and done that Veggie has a good shot at beating us all with his only downfall of peak hardware #'s being on the dec 27 instead of 20 and his (2nd week wii #'s) ha i had 2 edit that one bout the wii after i read his latest post never really noticed it

 

like i said right after week 1 Veggie wins it all if only the wii and 360 could of been a little lower for this week



                                                             

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