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Forums - Sales - Totals by end Jan '09 - lets hear 'em...

blizzid on 14 October 2008

*Peers into crystal ball*

Wii: 43.0m     360: 26.5m     PS3: 20.5m

Wii has the potential to sell substantially more; it all depends on how many Nintendo can supply.



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soulsamurai on 14 October 2008

My imagining of the numbers are a little different then both on here...

Wii- 44
360 - 24
ps3 - 22

This year ps3 has been catching up slowly. I think now the times finally starting to turn however the 360 pricecut is going to be an unknown factor. It will boost 360 but by how much??



CURRENTLY PLAYING:  Warframe, Witcher 2

Oyvoyvoyv on 14 October 2008
SaviorX said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:

Why not make a thread for betting on software? Hardware is pretty much given, just add or leave a few million.

BTW, I use holiday season as last 3 months of the year.

Prediction 1:

A) Superr Mario Galaxy will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl this holiday season. Mark my words (although I said this for last half of 08 too, and that's not happening). Both will end at above 8.5M by the end of January 2009.

B) One of them will be ahead of Halo 3, and the other one behind.

Prediction 2:

A) Mario Kart Wii will outsell Wii Fit for the last 2 months of the year (November and December).

B) By the end of January, Wii Fit will be above 13M. Mario Kart Wii will be 12M or more.

C) They will both beat GTA IV combined.

 

 

 

I think this right here is a little conservative. Sales of Smash relative to the Wii are at about 1 in 5 right now. I think that ratio will hold steady come this holiday, and even the people who don't have it right now might get a copy. With the Wii possibly selling 10 million from now until the end of January 2009, that is 2 million copies of Smash Brawl sold right there. It is the game's first holiday season here after all.

 

Ahh, you're right. I wrote that, saw it was January and not December, so I changed everything else, but not that. Thanks for correcting me. I also lowballed a bit, so your 9 million sound more reasonable after all.

 



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

thx1139 on 14 October 2008

Ignoring the Wii. So far we stand at:

360 21.35M
PS3 15.84M

Last year from about this point on through January 2008:

360 4.16M
PS3 4.6M

PS3 price cut to the same price it will be this year happend first week of November.  360 has been reduced across the board for this years Holidays.  PS3 got a early November bump last year that it will not get this year because of the price drop last year.

With the recent 360 price drop and doing better in Japan and Europe (compared to last year) I expect the following:

360 26.00M
PS3 20.25M

 

 



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

astrosmash on 14 October 2008

I don't get all these people who pick a number for wii in the low 40s and blame it on supply; if you just think they won't sell, you are welcome to your opinion, but its easy to see that there will be more supply than that.

 

As Rol has stated repeatedly, Nintendo says they will ship 51 million by March 31; clearly this means they have the capacity to make and ship 51 million by then. Nintendo currently builds 2.4 million per month, so its easy to see that by the end of January about 46 million should be to retail. Assuming the demand exists nearly all of those should have sold as Nintendo will almost certainly airlift January supply so it arrives in December again this year.