So I watched the recent episode of bonus round and some thoughts came to my head. Here they are. Please share what you think of them. Its about the ps3's alleged 10-year lifespan. I'll provide evidence to support it.
1. First and foremost, the ps3 is still drowning in losses. It'll have to make the money for ps4's R&D like it's predecessor did for it
2. Many devs are still having problems with the ps3's architecture so it's possible that the machine hasn't been pushed anywhere close to its limits. Couple this with the fact that powerful hardware has gone out of style and graphics are no longer a necessity due to the wii success, and there's evidence that the ps3 may be plenty powerful enough for the upcoming years
3. Development costs are getting atrocious, releasing a more powerful machine in a few years would piss off third parties becuase they're finally making inroads at learning to efficiently use the ps3 hardware and cut costs where possible so they would reject another spike in dev costs.
4. There would always be retail versions of games in a format sellable at gamestop and other retail stores. Pachter points out why in the latest bonus round video. M$ owns major marketshare in the internet business and apple owns like 30%. This is why it would be good for M$ but not necessarily for other publishers (due to new licensing fees) and retailers so even when internet speeds can keep up. All may not necessarily go this way (watch the video at Gametrailers.com for details), thus blu-ray would be viable for a WHILE.
5. FIRMWARE. That's right. This is one of the single most important things. Think about the ps2 gen. The ps2 you bought at launch still has the same functionality as the ps2 people are buying now because it was not possible to update the functionality of the system without releasing entirely new hardware. Now, fast forward to the ps3 gen. Think of the XMB and its functionality at launch and compare it to what we have now. It feels like we are already using ps4. Someone posted a link that I can't remember now where it was stated in the article that there is still lots of room for updates in the ps3 built in flash drive. They stated that it isn't even up to half way full yet with the massive updates the sytem has gone through. There leaves a lot of hope for the future when this data could be compressible. Add that to the fact that functionality not power has become the new trend and we may have a real long-lasting system on our hands.
Side note: Some may speculate that if M$ launches a new system, sony would have to follow suit. This is not necessarily true because third parties may shun the system if it's more powerful again because this brings a lot of baggage as we've seen this gen. Nintendo is most likely going to release a HD console eventually, but even they would be sitting on their victory this gen for as long as possible and wouldn't be doing so soon either
Discuss...
VIDEO (the future of gaming): http://www.gametrailers.com/bonusround_list.php
"Dr. Tenma, according to you, lives are equal. That's why I live today. But you must have realised it by now...the only thing people are equal in is death"---Johann Liebert (MONSTER)
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It is possibly the oldest, easily the most profitable, surely the most vicious. It is the only one international in scope. It is the only one in which the profits are reckoned in dollars and the losses in lives"---Maj. Gen. Smedley Butler









