BornFirst. said:
Squilliam said:
1. I was talking about all of his posts.
2. Straw man argument from Malstrom - HD games are failing to make a profit - Fails to mention Epic, Valve, Bungie, Insomniac etc. Also fails to seperate engine costs from development costs.
3. Market analysts had little hard data at the beginning of the generation, now that there is much more information out there, they have the advantage.
4. I don't need to shoot holes through this one it falls flat on its own.
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1. not interested in answering
2. R u serious? you will pick the exception rather than the rule. I am sorry but there is enough proof to show that the majority of HD gmaes out there are not even breaking even,. how many studio seem to be closing down, you seem to be grasping at straws, there, you may not like the way ,but even you can't deny reality. Winston Churchill says the truth is incontrovertible, malice may attack it, ignorance may deride it, but in the end; there it is. You tell me a console that has sold as fast as the Wii has, either it is attracting new customers or the previous customers are picking it up faster than they did previous console's, now which one is the most logical?
The majority of movies do not make a profit, the Majority of Wii games no NOT make a profit, so why is it so shocking that the majority of HD games follow the same trend? "How many studios are closing down" is just rhetoric. If the majority of the Wii audience already had a console previously then you could say that most of the Wiis current success comes from successfully capturing the present market.
Hows this for a better analagy, The PS3/Xbox 360 are like two cars with manual transmissions. When a car with Automatic transmission is released a lot of people who would have otherwise bought a manual buy an automatic instead. Major effect - preferrence of existing buyers for the next technology, minor effect new buyers come into the market who could not/would not drive a car with a manual transmission.
3. I am sorry but lest not make excuses for these analysts, analyzing data and predicting what will happens are in their job criteria, they were flat out wrong, but even during those times Malstrom was saying the Wii would be a killer, the Material is still there, there is no denying that malstrom correctly predicted what will happen and he did it very well. Read that Churchill quote again.
Its quite simple, in a situation where there is little data an intuitive type "malstrom" can beat out analysts by a large margin. Now that the data is available and the industry has moved into a period of much greater stability, analysts opinions are worth much more.
I can understand a lot of people do not like the way malstrom writes, but lets not attack him as a person, if you are going to dispute his work, bring fourth evidence, qoutes, links if you must to disprove what he is saying and has said. The thing is with the amount of detractors he has, no one has actually been able to disprove his theory, and his theory is still the only one that runs strong, and for the amount of people who like to describe what disruption is, it seems they have not read the book, from the man who coined the term
Personally, considering how verbose he is I can't be bothered going through it all.
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