superchunk said: 1. Since the Wii will be the unquestionable gen leader and have 100m+ sales it will have the 10yr+ lifespan, similar to its predecessors.
2. Nintendo could increase supply again, if needed to 3m+/month. Although, I think 2.5m will be highest they do as they will reach a balance after the holidays.
Personally I see anywhere from 120m to 150m LTD. |
I'm not so sure that 2.4 million will be the peak of production. I think that Nintendo will realize that if they can sell 2.4 million Wiis in a month at $250, they can sell 3.0 million Wiis in a month at $200 and make up the lost profit in software and hardware sales.
I'd say 150 million is the minimum lifetime sales that the Wii will reach. 200 is quite possible.

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