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Forums - Sales - My Final Fantasy XIII Prediction

Dno on 13 August 2008
chenguo4 said:
I think you win, hands down. FF XII's japan sales are about 50% its total sales, FF X's japan sales are about 38% its total sales. Assuming about the same, and non-japan sales are split 50-50 ps3 and 360 (though ps3 will prob sell more), then it's almost guaranteed you win.

 

 yup



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I_am_not_a_troll on 13 August 2008

I say your prediction has a good chance of coming true. FF XIII is a JRPG and this series is huge in Japan.



Tbone on 13 August 2008

U will win beacuse in japan its exclusive and it will sell no less than 2 million.



 

blazinhead89 on 13 August 2008
Tbone said:
U will win beacuse in japan its exclusive and it will sell no less than 2 million.

Yep, I agree

De85 on 13 August 2008

FF XII sold 2.42 million in Japan on a userbase of around 20 million.  Just to put things in perspective.  I think when all is said and done there are going to be a lot of disappointed people in this thread.



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blazinhead89 on 13 August 2008
De85 said:

FF XII sold 2.42 million in Japan on a userbase of around 20 million.  Just to put things in perspective.  I think when all is said and done there are going to be a lot of disappointed people in this thread.


And yet FFX Sold 3.02 Million in Japan alone on a far smaller userbase ( about 4-5 Million IIRC)

perpride on 13 August 2008

Big bet...will be interesting to see whose right.



Stats87 on 13 August 2008

at first I thought you would lose this bet for sure, but then I thought about it and you actually might be right.

If I had to, I'd side with Dolla Dolla, but we'll see



Oyvoyvoyv on 13 August 2008

Which do you believe will be the case?

 

A) FF 360 will be the least selling (3D) FF in NA+Other. FF Ps3 will be the a little higher than average in Japan.

B) FF Ps3 will be among the best selling  in Japan, FF 360 will be among the medium selling FF's in NA+Others

 

I'm just asking to know. I believe your prediction is correct.

I also believe that FF Ps3 in Japan will > FF Ps3 NA+Others.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Arkk on 13 August 2008
blazinhead89 said:
ZenfoldorVGI said:
blazinhead89 said:
My Prediction? Final Fantasy XIII (PS3) sales will in Japan ( Excluding NA+EU sales ) , be greater than Final Fantasy XIII Xbox 360 Total worldwide sales (NA+EU). I have already agreed to a bet with Dolla Dolla about this statement. What do you guys think?

 

You have a less than 50/50 shot, imo. You have convinced yourself you have a 100 percent chance to win. I wouldn't have taken that bet.

You've failed to calculate something. 360 owners buy hyped games at a much faster rate than PS3 owners. The 360 has a sick attack rate and despite all odds, software sells like they slapped the word Wii on the box.

So, there is a good chance that a ton of 360 owners are gonna pick this game up, and numbers for the 360 worldwide are increasing a lot faster than numbers for the PS3 in Japan.

Your bet should have been, "The PS3 will sell more copies worldwide than the 360."

Hell, the PS3 might even outsell the 360 by that time in others and america. However, you are taking a significant chance with the way the bet stands now. Again, PS3 sales are moving slow in Japan. The relative increase is very small compared to the increase of the 360 in Others and America. If the game released today, the 360 would certainly sell more in Others/America considering there are only 2.3 million PS3's in Japan total, going against about 20 million 360's with rabid software purchasers in Others and America.

You're win is banking on FFXIII being a huge hardware seller, the PS3's userbase significantly increasing in the next year in Japan, and FFXIII having at least a 50 percent attach rate to current owners.

 

1st off I have not said anywhere im 100% gonna win ( putting words in my mouth). Secondly once Final Fantasy XIII Comes out in Japan, The Japan will have a really big reason to go out and buy a PS3. Thirdly No, let me say again, NO, Xbox 360 JRPG has hit the Million mark WW IIRC, and yet loads of people say how amazing LO, Eternal Sonata etc are. If The PS3 had these games they would have sold better than 360 version because PS3 JRPG demographic are crying out for a decent JRPG ( Fuck you Enchanted Arms), And as you know Whats the Xbox 360 Top selling games ( Halo 3 shooter, Gow shooter, COD4 shooter, ), but yet you have these great JRPGs on your system that struggle to sell a Million??? As I said once before once PS3 JRPGs start coming we will see PS3 JRPG demographic >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Xbox 360 JRPG demographic. That is my reason Why i think the OP.

I've underlined the section that I have an issue with. Yes, Halo 3, Gears of War and Call of Duty 4 are some of the best selling games on the system. That's a given. You go on to state that the "great" JRPGs on the 360 struggle to sell a million. My beef is this: No matter what anyone wants to say, there are no JRPGs on the Xbox 360 that are anywhere near the quality of the three shooters you mentioned. Lost Odyssey would be the closest to "great", and even it isn't really that good. It's average (IMO). If a really "awesome" JRPG came out on the 360 (eg. FF13), I'm sure it wouldn't have a hard time selling quite a bit over a million or two. I'm pretty sure that even Tales of Vesperia is going to do over a million in sales worldwide. You just can't compare the quality of game being put out between the three that you mentioned and the mediocre JRPG segment that is currently available in NA/others.

 



Just kiss the tip.