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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii 1,000,000: Hmm, somebody's been reading my predictions

I love you man.



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Of course it's gonna sell 1 mil per month.

It'll sell whatever Nintendo puts out there.

Now 4.1 mil per month... I don't know bout that.



that was an easy prediction



superchunk said:
I love you man.

Thanks. Love ya too.

To kirby007: New predictions brewing in the brainbox here but not ready for serving yet. They need extra seasoning. Some people are saying my predictions are getting too easy lately.

John Lucas



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 

You do make some oddball predictions, I think you have an intuitive understanding of the market but not the best grasp of the business aspects. Supply doesn't just go up magically. Even if Nintendo did raise production again -- they've only just raised it to 2.4 million a month -- the most it'd get to would be 3.2 million a month. You might see 4.1 million a month by mid-summer 2009, and that's only if Wii keeps selling out like it has been in NA and has increases in PAL and Japan.



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All hail the master, the joker, the prophet and the insane all rolled into 1.


Sorry JL, I'm not with you on the 60mil thing, and tbh I doubt Wii production will ever reach 4.1 million per month (though I think it has a good shot at over 3 million per month)

Think about it JL... to reach 60 million in the next few months they have to up production to an insane number. They have supposedly just reached 2.4 million in July, so assuming the last 6 months supply was all 2.4mil per month, lifetime sales would reach 44 million. (at a stretch 46 if they were faster at increasing than they thought) To make 60 million the production would have to average 5 million per month from July-December (well June-November as produced consoles take time to get to stores)

So where is Nintendos Magic button for doubling production?... I admire you for sticking with your predictions (I usually forget mine as I never write them down) but there is no harm in revising predictions with new info available, like I am now doing by writing them in my profile, keeping the old figures as well)

Oh, and this is my lifetime prediction I just added to another thread.

Wii Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 100 140-155 200?
Japan 18 20-25 30
Americas 45 65-70 85
Others 37 55-60 85
PS3
Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 40
50-60 85
Japan 4 5-7 8
Americas 14 16-19 32
Others 22 29-34 45
X360
Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 40 45-55 65
Japan 1 1-1.5 2
Americas 25 29-35.5 42
Others 14 15-18 21

----

While I am here.

DS Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 125 150-165 200?
Japan 27 30-35 35
America 43 50-55 65
Others 55 70-75 100
PSP Minimum Expected range Maximum
World 55 60-70 80
Japan 15 16-19 21
America 20 23-26 30
Others 20 21-25 29

 



It's John Lucas.



I finally get why JL is a hardcore Obama supporter.

They're both people with TONS of charisma, but don't have a strong presence in the realm of realism, and both focus on saying things that make you feel good rather than doing something that actually makes you feel good.

Sorry to go so off topic, but whenever I read a JL post, it reminds me of some of the unrealistic expectations Obama has.

Obama = JL? ;) could be true. Seems as when the presidential race ramps up, JL is MIA.

lol, jk



DMeisterJ said:
I finally get why JL is a hardcore Obama supporter.

They're both people with TONS of charisma, but don't have a strong presence in the realm of realism, and both focus on saying things that make you feel good rather than doing something that actually makes you feel good.

Sorry to go so off topic, but whenever I read a JL post, it reminds me of some of the unrealistic expectations Obama has.

Obama = JL? ;) could be true. Seems as when the presidential race ramps up, JL is MIA.

lol, jk

Hmmm... John Lucas = Obama.

Obama becomes president, gets access to lots of money.

President John Lucas/Obama gives charitable contributions to companies helping Wii production.

Wii production = OVER 9000 4.1MILLION!!!

President Obama personally buys any Wiis left over by the sudden glut of stock.

Wii sales = OVER 60 MILLION!!!

 



TWRoO said:
DMeisterJ said:
I finally get why JL is a hardcore Obama supporter.

They're both people with TONS of charisma, but don't have a strong presence in the realm of realism, and both focus on saying things that make you feel good rather than doing something that actually makes you feel good.

Sorry to go so off topic, but whenever I read a JL post, it reminds me of some of the unrealistic expectations Obama has.

Obama = JL? ;) could be true. Seems as when the presidential race ramps up, JL is MIA.

lol, jk

Hmmm... John Lucas = Obama.

Obama becomes president, gets access to lots of money.

President John Lucas/Obama gives charitable contributions to companies helping Wii production.

Wii production = OVER 9000 4.1MILLION!!!

President Obama personally buys any Wiis left over by the sudden glut of stock.

Wii sales = OVER 60 MILLION!!!

Finally, a believer!

Now can everyone try to be the next DMeisterJ, since I'm a prophet!?