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You do make some oddball predictions, I think you have an intuitive understanding of the market but not the best grasp of the business aspects. Supply doesn't just go up magically. Even if Nintendo did raise production again -- they've only just raised it to 2.4 million a month -- the most it'd get to would be 3.2 million a month. You might see 4.1 million a month by mid-summer 2009, and that's only if Wii keeps selling out like it has been in NA and has increases in PAL and Japan.