Nothing is going to change.  The list of announced games and the ones being announced should be more than enough to make even the most ardent Nintendo fan realize that.  Fatal Frame 4 and a few other games aren't going to make the Wii competitive in the space you're talking about let alone put it in the lead.

the wii is not popular because it is casual. It is popular because it is a toy, and a rather fun one at that.

Imagine a console that was in most retirement homes. Hospitals would have it for a fun way to retrain muscles and limbs that need to learn how to function again. Every radio show contest and school raffle are giving them away. Office break rooms have them because it is quick stress relief. 

None of these systems will ever hold more than 3 games in its disc reader.

Listen none of these places encourage core gaming. Ninty is not going to sell to a tenth of their market any core games they have lined up. This is not a digg, but a support for further points.

Sony and MS are into selling long games that require investment. The gamers want that. nobody in charge wants to see their respective consoles going out the door for contests and such. especially sony. sony needs a 3 attach rate to be profitable.

                              Ninty            360              PS3

Profit per console ***10******* 4 *******   -4

price ************10******* 7  *******  3

core gaming ******* 6 *******8   ******* 6

market share ******10 *******5   ****** 3

games per console ***4 ********7   ****** 4

as you can see from the charts wii is making a shitload of money. High attach rate is due to the geek fans who have everything from rayman and smash to wii fit.

in order to make up for ppc, 360 and ps3 have to sell more games. naturally this is more easily done with more market proliferation. However, that can't happen until price comes down. 

ps3 is looking for the fastest way to recoup losses. they are finding cheaper ways to make stuff. same goes for the 360.

These two consoles are trying to make their prices as low as possible because they will sell more games on a platform that is more regualarly purchased.

I'm sorry to make this one final point, but it is a true point. 

The Ninty sells because it is solid, that is true, but mostly because it is the cheapest of all the consoles. A game system needs to be 100-250 dollars. 

ps3 is on for a supposed 10 year run, so later on it might become a powerhouse console, but for now it is a long way off, and casual games are not the answer. The ninty isn't casual, it's affordable.

That sort of thing would take a good couple of years to switch around your image, not just a conference.

M$ is still going to take very good care of their main audience. They will probably try and expand into the casual market, very good business sense. The main audience will still receive massive games and the casuals(aka, my girlfriend) will get games they might want to play.

Still the confusion in what we want to call the non-hardcore gamers.  Hardcore gamers are easy to define.  But grouping the larger population of non-hardcore gamers into just one other category doesn't work as well.

There are the PS2 casuals of last gen that liked a lot of fun games like whether true casual or casual enough, like GTAs, which could be fun without working too hard in playing the game.  But even the PS2 didn't capture the ultra-casual that the Wii is getting.  The older adults and more females.

PS3 will capture those players who are, let's say, hardcore on the cheap, waiting for the price to drop for the hardware, but just as importantly, for the software.  One way is to buy used, but there is always that risk of buying a non-functioning PS3 or software.  Some casuals, let's call them PS2-casuals, will also buy PS3 if enough non-hardcore games make it to the PS3. 

But, Sony had better hurry if they don't want to lose those players to Nintendo's Wii.  As more and more games come out on the Wii, there is bound to be one or two that appeal to that crowd.  Also, I think it is easier for Wii to come out with a hardcore game that gets a few hardcore to buy the system.  Hardcore are willing to pay the extra to have 2 or all 3 consoles.  After all, if you can afford the  $600 to buy the PS3 when it first came out, what's $250 more?

I see Nintendo in the driver's seat this generation.  And penetrating hardcore better than Sony or MS will sell to the PS2 casuals, much less the ultra-casuals.

@ theprof00

Imagine a console that was in most retirement homes. Hospitals would have it for a fun way to retrain muscles and limbs that need to learn how to function again. Every radio show contest and school raffle are giving them away. Office break rooms have them because it is quick stress relief. 

None of these systems will ever hold more than 3 games in its disc reader.

You're right from the standpoint that the agency (retirement home, hospital, etc) will not buy more than a couple of games for the Wii.  But wrong from how many games that will be with those systems.  Already there are lots of stories about  game gifts being made by those who know others in those places or no longer are there, but wanted to give a 'thank you' gift to those that still are.

Thats bullshit, Ninty have a decent attach rate. Yes S/MS (yep) are going for other users but they, distracted by the white angel of wii, won't give two ships about their new pinyata games and fancy gyroscope motes. Core audience don't care, and tell me maestro where will they go, to Ninty, nah its not hard enough is it?