X360 is slowly, but steadily loosing market share to Wii and PS3. When will it drop below the "magical" 30% ?

As the total market gets bigger, market share changes are harder to come by.

If the market share continues to drop 0,1% about every week from now on, it would mean 19 week and that's the first whole week of November, but that seems a bit unrealistic, so I predict by the beginning of December, when the season sales has started.

some time during december would be a good guess

Before the end of 2008.

Never! Because the 360 will outsell the PS3 overall between July and December 31.

:)

Yeah, before the end of 2008 seems reasonable to me. Although it might be fair to assume that now that most "hardcore" gamers have a 360, that sales to "casual"gamers may become increasingly difficult with the poor image that RROD has created for the 360. Do not underestimate the longtime effects of a negative image, even if MS would release a completely silent, faultproof 360 today, it wouldn't get rid of that image, no matter how hard some 360 fans try and distort the truth about that matter.

If MS fails to secure the attention of the "casual" gamer, and more positive news about both the Wii and PS3 getś released, it may find itself gliding down quicker then anyone had ever expected. I am sure someone will post some list with game this and that that may or may not secure the interest of gamers as someone here does in every topic, but there is no denying that the 360ś image and worldwide share is slowly crumbling around them.

You don't seem to understand this is not only depending on PS3, but Wii as well. Market share of Wii, PS3 and X360.

@gazz
Good point! And it will be very hard for MS to change their image problem. And it should be, 'cause their design mistake is horrifying.

You don't seem to understand that my statement, by implication means that the Xbox360 will increase in sales so therefore the market share won't drop. (If its true)

The PS1 and PS2 had crappy hardware...

my 2 PS1s and 4 PS2's attest to that now doesn't it?

The PS1 and 2 had almost no competition in itś market. The Dreamcast perished quickly and Nintendo had itś own userbase. The 360 is in a market with direct competition from the PS3 and in direct competition from the Wii, which both regardless off earlier failures on the market have their affairs in order. Besides stiff competition from Nintendo and Sony, the 360 also faces direct competiton from the PC. Most 360 games are being released on that platform and some of those even contain more levels and superiour graphics, free online play also helps the PC. Now one might argue that MS wins by attracting gamers to Windows on PC, but they simply don get any money for live or get the additional profit made on every console title. They don't get more money if their OS is used for gaming or as a basic OS, the moneyś the exact same.

The 360 however takes a very big role in protecting Windows as a standard platform. As most of you know, releasing the 360 earlier then expected forced Sony to speed up their process aswell and release their console a year earlier then expected. This forced Sony (according to rumours) to drop Linux on their PS3 as a pre installed OS. If!!! Sony released the PS3 with Linux already on it (simply in your xmb), you can be sure that many people would have had their Linux set up in a manner that they could receive mail and browse on it by now. Linux vs Windows battles would have been blooming everywhere too. With appliances like open office they would have been able to type any letter or do basicly anything they wanted to do and that would have been a huge blow to MS. If you really want to have something that the 360 did extremely well, then it must be protecting the core interest of MS.