How many times must we start threads with the same exact questions. Read my sig.

as the original post showed, will be somewhere around august or september. but if you look at the four statistics, you see that the wii gained speed from month to month, so I think it'll already happen at the beginning of August. I don't know if this is just me, but I think it is quite important that the wii manages to get in front of the 360 before halo 3 hit's stores. halo 3 will move some hardware and if the gap starts enlarging before the wii could pass the 360, it'll may lose some momentum.

I revised my estimates a bit and heres how it looks 14.41m Wii 12.34m 360 7.24m PS3 The real problem with these esitmates is it can't really predict what sale are gonna be like for the rest of the year. Were gonna see some bumps here and there with release of certain titles and we might see sale decline across the board until the holidays. When the holidays get here anything can happen. Basically thes figures are based on past performance which isn't nessesarily indicative of future performance. I'd also like to add that using a little shady math I can upscale the figures to account for this but it's still not gonna be accurate. 15-16m Wii 13-14m 360 8-9m PS3 I'm just not sure any of the consoles is going to sell that well. Especially not the 360 and that's because it's performance in Japan has been dismal. As far as when Wii will surpass the 360, I'd say the week of september 24th for sure.

Great stuff in the original post. Even though its the 11,000th post about this topic, it offered some of the best numbers I've seen on it. Interesting to see just how close Wii is to 360 in every different region...

The problem is the Xmas bump of course, where Wii will catch up faster. Considering that, Wii might catch 360 in "others" totals in the holidays.

Johnlucas' infamous prediction would be 2 or 3 weeks off based on this. His equivalent American prediction is, uh... A little more off...

It's in my posting history. All over it.

Since I debuted here in March I've said Wii tops 360 within July.

(Erik Aston, you're still my boy regardless you too Mr. Stickball)

John Lucas

P.S.: Worldwide year-end (calendar not fiscal) sales.

Wii - AT LEAST 20 million (best case scenario 24 million)

XBox 360 - Within 13 million range not passing 14 million mark (best case close to 14 million but not past 14)

PS3 - best case scenario factored in...JUST OVER 7 million (won't put down moderate or worst case scenario because system has been beat up on enough already)

DS - AT LEAST 60 million.

PSP - I forgot what I put for PSP. Have to look it up. Did I say NOT OVER 24 million?

I wish I could find my first prediction post (back around Jan). iirc, it was August or October... I've since moved it out to Jan 2008. But, that was when I thought 360 had already sold 10M by Jan. As that was not the case I need to revise my est. again.

Currently, late August is looking good

I predict the 1st week of october

just after the release of Halo 3? wow, that's a bold prediction.

I would put money on that being the week the Wii is least likely to overtake the 360 ;)

Wait after looking over data on this site, NDP records and other sources, it is confirmed that the 360 has sold to customer over 10.4 million , even if they were at 9.8 million like some sites were reporting they would still be close to 12 million already since their US consoles sold per month has been around 170-250 a month and thats not including the rest of the world.

 So your saying that with GTA 4 and Halo 3 coming out that they won't sell more then 2 million units??? I find this very hard to beleive, i would expect the Xbox 360 to be closer to 18 to 20 million units by 2008 and the Wii to be at 22 to 23 million.

If i am missing reading please correct me.