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Forums - Sales - Interesting Gamestop data that contradicts NPD April

Zucas on 22 May 2008

Not to mention your analysis makes no sense. I mean you compare sales of 3 months from NPD to sales of 3 months(different months I might add) of Gamestop.

I mean your analysis is so flawed it's to the point of aggravating.



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Ail on 22 May 2008
Sqrl said:
Ail said:
Zucas said:
Gosh I don't even know why we are arguing this. There has been no logical thought process in this analysis whatsoever.

Yes it's possible that sales could have doubled but that could fit NPD numbers.

Arguing that Gamestop has huge market share compared to other retailers is silly. This is represented simply by how few consoles they get in compared to the bigger retail chains.

Financial data show they are around 17% of the market during the last 3 months.

What's your data to contradict this ?

 


FYP, further analysis needed for your claim to be valid. 


Marketshare do not tend to widly fluctuates a lot month over month as long as there is no huge difference in the product being sold ( WiiFit could do that a little by its appeal to more casual customers which tend to frequent less Gamestop).

At best they would change by 1% or so depending on the month, but if gamestop was 5% 6 months ago and is now 17% you would have seen the impact on the revenue of others retailers...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Zucas on 22 May 2008
Sqrl said:
Zucas said:
Common sense.

Common sense told people the Wii would be third this generation. If you have an argument then post it otherwise you're really not adding anything to the thread.

I know you probably don't like GS and I don't either but that doesn't mean we can just ignore it because we want to.


I don't get into arguements cause people don't want to hear what's actually right.  Too late though I suppose.



Ail on 22 May 2008
Zucas said:
Not to mention your analysis makes no sense. I mean you compare sales of 3 months from NPD to shipment sales of 3 months(different months I might add) of Gamestop. Not only do the different timeframes matter but shipment sales are going to be a lot higher than actual sales numbers. We should know this already by this site.

I mean your analysis is so flawed it's to the point of aggravating.

How are the months different ?



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Sqrl on 22 May 2008
Zucas said:
Not to mention your analysis makes no sense. I mean you compare sales of 3 months from NPD to shipment sales of 3 months(different months I might add) of Gamestop. Not only do the different timeframes matter but shipment sales are going to be a lot higher than actual sales numbers. We should know this already by this site.

I mean your analysis is so flawed it's to the point of aggravating.

I haven't added his NPD data up yet but the 3 months are correct, GS uses an offset FY calendar and their quarter ended May 3rd.

Both NPD and the revenue data from GS are sales to consumers not shipment..so I'm not sure what your point is there.

 
To Each Man, Responsibility
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Zucas on 22 May 2008
Sqrl said:
Zucas said:
Not to mention your analysis makes no sense. I mean you compare sales of 3 months from NPD to shipment sales of 3 months(different months I might add) of Gamestop. Not only do the different timeframes matter but shipment sales are going to be a lot higher than actual sales numbers. We should know this already by this site.

I mean your analysis is so flawed it's to the point of aggravating.

I haven't added his NPD data up yet but the 3 months are correct, GS uses an offset FY calendar and their quarter ended May 3rd.

Both NPD and the revenue data from GS are sales to consumers not shipment..so I'm not sure what your point is there.

 


 Just noticed it and changed it. 



Zucas on 22 May 2008

I'm willing to admit I'm wrong but I would be absolutely shocked if this turned out true. I mean Wal-Mart is about 40% of the market. It as least 20x as large of a company as Gamestop with a hell of a lot more stocks from the companies than GS. And to think GS could even be close to half of the revenue would be shocking.



Ail on 22 May 2008

I could be wrong as I can't really give you a link but I believe at the time when I heard that NPD lost WallMart as a customer the buzz was that they had lost coverage of roughly 30% or so of the market...( they claim to cover 65% of the market and they don't do WallMart so it has to be under 35%).

The thing about Gamestop ( I don't like them either and will never buy a game there) is that they have a TONN of shops. I am in Colorado, not really the state with the most population and I have 10 Gamestops within a 25 miles radius and that does not include Denver...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Zucas on 22 May 2008

well his hardware revenue is right. $1.4575 billion in those 3 months.

It just doesn't seem like it should be that easy to figure out market share. It doesn't seem probable. Nothing in the market is that easy to find out. It's improbable that GS has 17% market share.



Sqrl on 22 May 2008
Zucas said:
I'm willing to admit I'm wrong but I would be absolutely shocked if this turned out true. I mean Wal-Mart is about 40% of the market. It as least 20x as large of a company as Gamestop with a hell of a lot more stocks from the companies than GS. And to think GS could even be close to half of the revenue would be shocking.

 I was surprised too, but there aren't any apparent problems with the comparison to me so unless someone can point one out I don't see why I should ignore it...it wouldn't be the first or last time I was wrong about an assumption.

And frankly you were right about it not being terribly important so I don't really plan to think about it too much =P 
To Each Man, Responsibility