RolStoppable said:
What exactly are you doing here and how do you come up with these numbers? |
Im trying to make you happy! 
The Wii is a hype machine it is growing faster every year and as the number of games that cater to a wide variety of tastes increase - Wii fit - Wii sports - No more heroes, it will continue to sell more. What cannot be quantified is the saturation point so I gave a wide margin. I expect it to sell closer to the region of 150 million rather than 90 million. Im hedging my bets there. It is the lifestyle machine that the PS3 and the Xbox360 tried to be with multimedia features, except it did it in a way that exceeded both of the HD consoles' offerings. It is to consoles what the Ipod is to personal music players. It has a market all to itself as the only real console in many different market segments.
The PS3 has strong branding, it benifits from both the strong Sony branding and the strong playstation brand name. It is limited by the fact that Sony lost a huge wad of cash to bring it to market and that the Xbox360 is currently matching it blow for blow in the console market place. It must therefore compete with the Xbox360 for the same customers. 50-60 million lifetime sales is a good amount, and reasonably expected for a solid HD offering now that market is split between the PC PS3 and Xbox360.
The Xbox360 benifits from networking by being the first console on the scene. People tend to be influenced by what their friends and family buy, so this lead they have is helping them sustain their growth. They also have an advantage this year of tapping into the western RPG market to potentially pull a different crowd into purchasing their console. Fable 2 - Sacred - Age of Conan - Fallout 3 make an excellent combination for anyone who wants RPG games. They also have the ability to lower the price on the console this year where Sonys hands are tied. The reason for the wide margin is the uncertainty over the success of their rumoured Xmote - Newton and whether they will choose higher margins over greater market share.
Does this make you happy?
Tease.
