Will Wii-Fit OUTSELL Ps3 by Xmas 09

steven787

Currently Offline

7,258

5635 posts since 05/06/07

Recent Badges:

Thumbs Up Receive an Upvote on One of Your User Reviews.
15 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 15 years.
Quite a Comeback Enter your first Prediction League event.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
14 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 14 years.
12 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 12 years.

steven787 on 16 May 2008

steven787 said:

Because nobody reads, I will highlight.

From this weeks WW chart:
I, too, think Wii Fit has a good chance of beating PS3 by Christmas 09.

Conservatively:
Wii Fit:
150k/week for 90 weeks = 13.5 million more copies

13.5 million more copies + 3.25 already sold + 2.25 million for the first month in the Us = 19 Million (Not including holiday bump)

PS3:
180k/week *90 weeks = 16.2 million

Thats 28 million...

Now for a more aggressive Wii Fit Projection:
300k/week = 27 million
30 million copies of Wii Fit.

I don't think it will hit 30 million in 90 weeks, but I do think that Wii Fit will be somewhere between 20 million and 25 million, which would be giving PS3 a run for its money.

Ultimately I don't think it will catch up to the PS3, but it will get close.

Normally I wouldn't think any non pack in would reach 25 million, but i think by Christmas 09 there will be an official bundle; also, there is going to be some major casual support from EA which can't hurt.....
_______ _____________ ___________ _

.....Just to clear it up, I said that WiiFit probably isn't going to pass the PS3 and my prediction of 25 million is dependent on a bundle. My real estimate was the first one, 19 million. (Which also is a bit high, but I am sticking with it)

_______ ______________ _ __________

I want to add: while I don't expect it to, it wouldn't surprise me.

What is so difficult to understand about my position?

I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.

Erik Aston

Currently Offline

11,208

2011 posts since 05/01/07

Recent Badges:

7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
16 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 16 years.
6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.

Erik Aston on 16 May 2008

I don't see why Wii Fit outdoing the lifetime sales of PS3 or 360 would be impossible. Very unlikely, but Nintendo games have been known to perform in unlikely ways this gen.

I think Nintendo are actively planning to sell 30-40M units of Wii Fit. I think it's likely 360 will finish with lifetime sales at the upper end of that range. It feels like MS are running out of cards to play, while PS3 is still gaining momentum and hasn't tapped some of its core franchises, and so could end up higher than 360.

Last gen, games like the Sims, GTA:VC and SA, GT3 and Pokemon R/S were only a stone's throw behind the sales of Gamecube. Pokemon RGB sold roughly the same as the N64. 360 only recently passed Nintendogs in sales; 4 different DS games are still ahead of PS3 in sales. Having a game above a console in sales isn't impossible, and Wii Fit feels like it should be one of the highest appeal games ever made.

I'm pretty sure a few days ago, the idea of Wii outselling PSP, 360, PS3 and PSP combined during GTAIV launch month would have been laughed at. And a few months ago, people were poo-pooing Reggie's prediction that Wii would pass 360's install base in NPD numbers by June, though now it looks like it could pass it in May. Basically, a lot of people aren't grasping just how powerful Nintendo's momentum is until it hits them across the face.

I'm not making a prediction. As I said, its very unlikely. But maybe the folks who admit this is at least possible really aren't so dumb...

"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

CrazzyMan

Currently Offline

3,764

2761 posts since 03/02/07

Recent Badges:

Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
15 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 15 years.
Mirror Image Awarded for uploading an avatar.
Social Butterfly 50 friends on gamrConnect.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.

CrazzyMan on 16 May 2008

@jlauro,
it`s just because PS3 hasn`t got FFXIII in Japan and other BIG games.
Look at psOne sales.
http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=PS&reg1=------&cons2=PS&reg2=Japan&cons3=PS3&reg3=Japan&weeks=120
4 weeks and MGS4 release,
then will come some other japanese games: DBZ, Naruto, SC4, Tekken6, Eternal Sonata, WKS(maybe), Tears of teara, RE5(maybe), Last Remnant, Siren + some west titles.
With that PS3 will reach around 4 mln. by the end of 2008 in Japan.
And after that it will get FFXIII and sales will sky rocket. =)

About USA, well i expected also some boost in ps3 sales during GTA4 week, so, who knows, how popular wii fit will be.. but probably will have good legs. =)

Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.

Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

obieslut

Banned

8,670

3863 posts since 25/12/07

Recent Badges:

Pon Received 100 wall post comments on gamrConnect.
Everything's Falling Into Place Add a total of 100 games to your collection.
The Nuts & Bolts Add a total of 25 games to your collection.
50 in One Add a total of 50 games to your collection.
Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
Mirror Image Awarded for uploading an avatar.

obieslut on 16 May 2008

meh. dont be saft, thats like saying i have a million pounds, its never going to happen, and who ever thinks wiifit is going to outsell the ps3 or the 360 can go suck @#$% because they am stupid.

Viper1

Currently Offline

28,222

8132 posts since 28/07/07

Recent Badges:

Mirror Image Awarded for uploading an avatar.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
Hit And Run 15 comments posted on VGChartz news articles.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
11 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 11 years.
1st Birthday Has been a VGChartz member for over 1 year.

Viper1 on 16 May 2008

CrazzyMan said:
@izaaz101,
did you miss "MGS4 bundles sold out" thread?

@jlauro,
i don`t see amazingly HIGH sales of Wii Fit in Japan and Europe.
You expect that every Wii owner in USA will buy Wii Fit??? Or what? Every 2nd?

And how many were made? It's one thing to gloat about a sell out when you sell 700k in a month but if it's just say only a 50k bundle, that's not quite as bragtastic.

The rEVOLution is not being televised

Final-Fan

Currently Offline

54,616

13199 posts since 06/07/07

Recent Badges:

Ride Into the Sunset Managed to avoid being banned for 3 months.
Pon Received 100 wall post comments on gamrConnect.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
Don't Forget To Save 10 status updates.
Making Progress Earned 50,000 gamrPoints
Pata 100 wall post comments made on gamrConnect.

Final-Fan on 16 May 2008

Wii Fit is not going to outsell Super Mario Bros. lifetime sales.

Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
The old smileys: ; - ) : - ) : - ( : - P : - D : - # ( c ) ( k ) ( y ) If anyone knows the shortcut for , let me know!
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I have the most epic death scene ever in VGChartz Mafia. Thanks WordsofWisdom!