This one is a pretty good prediction.

http://www.ps3fanboy.com/2007/12/10/analysts-continue-optimistic-predictions-ps3-to-meet-wii-sales/

I especially like how the PS3 nearly triples its sales amounts to catch the Wii.

This one is also a great one:

http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2008/02/15/ps3_2011_domination_isuppli/

According to this graph, the only way the PS3 can pass the Wii is if 10% of all Wii owners give their Wii's back to Nintendo. 

Pretty much no one did believe but there was an exception. At an E3 or some such show, a senior Sony executive saw the first demonstration of the motion controller and in an interview immediately after (for which he got in serious trouble) he told the interviewer, "if that thing actually works, they are going to eat our lunch."

These are funny to read.. but I've got to be honest, I wasn't expecting the Wii to become this successful.. although I'm not being paid to be an expert analyst.

For your viewing pleasure! What looks to be pork chops!

A PREDICTION I DO BELIEVE

Lastly, I want to post an analysis and prediction that I personally do firmly believe in. BUT I warn you, it's going to upset a lot of people who feel differently.

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"History will be very kind to the Wii. The Atari 2600 and NES reached a high echelon dwarfing following systems in terms of their culture shock, altering how society perceived video games, and defined their era. Just as most reviewers today are mostly from the ‘NES Generation’, most reviewers twenty years from now will be from the Wii Generation. They will grow up with motion controls and will write feature stories about the ‘glorious year of 2007’ when their parents bought them a Wii. In 2027, people will probably remember the PS3 as an Atari train wreck, the Xbox 360 as a hardware disaster (with no Xbox 360s working then unless specially modded), and the Wii for saving gaming as the NES did. Today, there are Atari fans who, after two decades, are still bitter about the NES success. Many game computer fans of the early 80s still believe the NES ‘destroyed gaming as we know it’. The funniest surprise await the PS3 and Xbox 360 stalwarts who despise Nintendo’s business moves as their blood pressure rises with any mention of ‘Blue Ocean’ or ‘New Market’. Twenty years from now, their children will be reading about the success of the Wii in all the business textbooks (as the NES is today)."

From Drowning in the Blue Ocean by Sean Malstrom
http://malstrom.50webs.com/drowningintheblueocean3.htm

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I strongly recommend you read the whole article before you dismiss it.

Nice read, thanks

Did any analyst see the wii explosion ?

Not really that I've seen, although a few analysts said they could not estimate Nintendo becasue it was so revolutionary. I think a lot of them got burned on the DS and were cautious with Nintendo. My thought was what the hell good are "expert" analysts if they can only play Captain Obvious

Anyone remember all the doom and gloomers on the iPod. For the first few years, people predicted Apple's eventual collapse in the music market. One could have constructed an equally impressive bingo board for the iPod.

Analysts and technophiles get too wrapped up in the technology and don't really look at the big picture. There is a world of people who just want something easy and fun to use and could care less about the underlying technology.

I'm begining to wonder in Malstrom is Will Wright incognito.

I figured this thread was going to lead into a link to that site >.> Ok so anyone know when that all was written?