By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Switch 2 Sales Predictions: Next PS2 or Wii U Disaster?

 

How Many Units Will the Switch 2 Sell Worldwide in its Lifetime?

Under 20 million (Wii U 2.0 disaster?) 1 0.76%
 
20–50 million (Destined for an early death) 1 0.76%
 
50–75 million (Bit of a disappointment) 2 1.53%
 
75–100 million (Solid, but not legendary) 23 17.56%
 
100–150 million (Switch 2.0 confirmed) 84 64.12%
 
150 million+ (IT PRINTS MONEY!) 20 15.27%
 
Total:131
killer7 14 hours ago
Wyrdness said:
Sephiran said:

The crazy thing is that a 30M selling Switch 2 would be around the same sales as Xbox series X/S, but instead of getting every game ported over to it like Xbox series X/S got, Switch 2 would probably get zero third party support if it sold only 30M units.

Yeah tbh Switch 2 could sell double that and they would be reluctant to port anything over they'd just be forced to as they wouldn't be able to justify to share holders why they've not approached a significant userbase.

We do not know enough about Switch 2 to say how much it sells. Fact is, the Switch 2 unveil video surpassed PS5's unveil! Thats a good start, reactions are overwhelmingly positive (maybe even the most positive rractions ever for a system unveil- at least its hype level surpasses the ones of every  system from any company ever) but thats only half of the Story! In the US the Dreamcast had a record breaking launch, the WiiU sold 3,5 million in its first 3 weeks (december 2012), the Vita sold 1,1 million in its firt few days WW, but we know how these systems ended... I say a flop is basically excluded but i wouldn't throw numbers like 150 million+ around. What we can say is that the Switch will end with 157 million+ minimum by march 2027 thats as good as guaranteed!



Around the Network
Wyrdness 11 hours ago
killer7 said:

We do not know enough about Switch 2 to say how much it sells. Fact is, the Switch 2 unveil video surpassed PS5's unveil! Thats a good start, reactions are overwhelmingly positive (maybe even the most positive rractions ever for a system unveil- at least its hype level surpasses the ones of every  system from any company ever) but thats only half of the Story! In the US the Dreamcast had a record breaking launch, the WiiU sold 3,5 million in its first 3 weeks (december 2012), the Vita sold 1,1 million in its firt few days WW, but we know how these systems ended... I say a flop is basically excluded but i wouldn't throw numbers like 150 million+ around. What we can say is that the Switch will end with 157 million+ minimum by march 2027 thats as good as guaranteed!

Tbh I'd predict at least 100m because the fact of the matter is the is practically a monopoly on the portable market those platforms didn't have the same safety net as remember 3DS had a tough start and clawed its way to 75m and mind you any poor start Switch has will be addressed even more sharply as it's now their sole platform, the core home console Nintendo fans plus anyone who outside of that demographic can top up the sales to hit 100m.

We don't know how much it will sell sure but we know enough to assess the situations as I mentioned above the hybrid format by default puts it in two parallel markets, the format is also a proven appealing concept which they've decide to not fix what isn't broken and instead build on a strong foundation this leaves the main challenge being appealing to both the Red and Blue ocean consumers again.

Last edited by Wyrdness - 11 hours ago

killer7 2 hours ago
Wyrdness said:
killer7 said:

We do not know enough about Switch 2 to say how much it sells. Fact is, the Switch 2 unveil video surpassed PS5's unveil! Thats a good start, reactions are overwhelmingly positive (maybe even the most positive rractions ever for a system unveil- at least its hype level surpasses the ones of every  system from any company ever) but thats only half of the Story! In the US the Dreamcast had a record breaking launch, the WiiU sold 3,5 million in its first 3 weeks (december 2012), the Vita sold 1,1 million in its firt few days WW, but we know how these systems ended... I say a flop is basically excluded but i wouldn't throw numbers like 150 million+ around. What we can say is that the Switch will end with 157 million+ minimum by march 2027 thats as good as guaranteed!

Tbh I'd predict at least 100m because the fact of the matter is the is practically a monopoly on the portable market those platforms didn't have the same safety net as remember 3DS had a tough start and clawed its way to 75m and mind you any poor start Switch has will be addressed even more sharply as it's now their sole platform, the core home console Nintendo fans plus anyone who outside of that demographic can top up the sales to hit 100m.

We don't know how much it will sell sure but we know enough to assess the situations as I mentioned above the hybrid format by default puts it in two parallel markets, the format is also a proven appealing concept which they've decide to not fix what isn't broken and instead build on a strong foundation this leaves the main challenge being appealing to both the Red and Blue ocean consumers again.

Yes, in the handheld marked the Switch is basically the Game Boy right now (GB 118,69 million vs GG ~8 million- lets just add the 1 million Nomand users and the competution did not even reach 10%.). Adding the fact, that the whole PC "Handheld" competition was not even able to outsell the Sega Game Gear's total LTD (~8 million) in its first 2 years+ Switch can be called a monopoly in this segment, but as it is still connectable to the TV it also competes directly with PS5 and Xbox Series (wich it has already eclipsed). Their only direct competition soon will be the PS5 only as long as Sony produced physical games. I am impressed that market regulatores are not the same to Nintendo because of their monopoly as they where with MS before their Activision purchase fearing they could become too strong. Nintendo is clearly stronger in the console space than MS!