trunkswd said: Yes, we likely have it overtracked. I'm going to wait on Machina's thoughts on what we should do. We had already discussed the gap for PS5 so knew where we wanted it to be (~3M below shipment). Take-Two used IDG estimates, which for the end of 2023 adjusted their own estimates from an original 77M up to 81M. So it is possible they could adjust up the 94M figure. Quote from AMD CEO: "This console generation has been very strong. Highlighted by cumulative unit shipments surpassing 100 Million in the fourth quarter." That suggests the 100M shipment figure for PS5 and XS happened sometime during the 4th quarter and unlikely at the end. I am guessing if it hit 110M during the quarter AMD would have said so. Edit: Adding one more thing. Historically US has accounted four around 50% of Xbox for each generation and we have Xbox Series X|S at 16.48M at the end of 2024, which should be within a few % of NPD/Circana data given we have Xbox One data and they provided how much behind the Xbox Series X|S is to the Xbox One by %. This would be much easier if Microsoft have us shipment figures like Sony and Nintendo do. |
Totally agree. Its obvious that not providing the info like everyone else is a PR decision. Although the biggest hint, to me, that sales are not good is the incredible bullishness to get their games on PS5. I would say that in business the best way to get sales is to follow the consumers... don't expect them to follow you. Keep up the good work and it will be interesting to see where your estimates land.