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Forums - Sales - NPD, PS4 2015 vs NSW 2018 (December added)

 

Who wins?

PS4 66 40.24%
 
NSW 84 51.22%
 
Tie 14 8.54%
 
Total:164
Nuvendil on 21 June 2018
quickrick said:
Nuvendil said:

Ok, what on earth is going on?  I distinctpy remember that May had PS4 just over 200k and switch just under at 195k.  https://www.neogaf.com/threads/june-2017-npd-u-s-hardware-predictions-closes-tuesday-july-11th.1400194/ 

https://forum.beyond3d.com/threads/npd-may-2017-sales-results.60221/

That was the number posted to the NPD predictions thread.  Did something happen?  Were these numbers corrected after I left that thread?  And why can't I FIND any of the old NPD threads on this forum to confirm?

may results were not made public, if you look at the neogaf predtion thread with numbers, insiders were reporting ps4 won npd on twitter even though best prediction had switch winning. magicpork got the right numbers, he has NPD access.

I am aware of that discrepancy, it's noted in the very source I posted.  I was trying to figure out where the 165k number everyone is quoting came from.  Cause the leak I last saw referrenced for May was PS4 over 200k, Switch under 200k and when I stopped checking the NPD thread here, 195k and 205k were still the posted Switch and PS4 numbers respectively.  

Looking at the thread closer the implications being thrown around indicate 195k was too high but I still can't find the source for the 30k reduction.



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Nuvendil on 21 June 2018

Nm, someone in another thread gave the source for the numbers.



quickrick on 21 June 2018
Nuvendil said:
quickrick said:

may results were not made public, if you look at the neogaf predtion thread with numbers, insiders were reporting ps4 won npd on twitter even though best prediction had switch winning. magicpork got the right numbers, he has NPD access.

I am aware of that discrepancy, it's noted in the very source I posted.  I was trying to figure out where the 165k number everyone is quoting came from.  Cause the leak I last saw referrenced for May was PS4 over 200k, Switch under 200k and when I stopped checking the NPD thread here, 195k and 205k were still the posted Switch and PS4 numbers respectively.  

Looking at the thread closer the implications being thrown around indicate 195k was too high but I still can't find the source for the 30k reduction.

Sometimes if we don't have a leak all we can use the best prediction sometimes prediction aren't as close as we want them to be, but now that we have a legit leaker numbers are way more precise, hopefully he keeps on leaking.



Nuvendil on 21 June 2018
quickrick said:
Nuvendil said:

I am aware of that discrepancy, it's noted in the very source I posted.  I was trying to figure out where the 165k number everyone is quoting came from.  Cause the leak I last saw referrenced for May was PS4 over 200k, Switch under 200k and when I stopped checking the NPD thread here, 195k and 205k were still the posted Switch and PS4 numbers respectively.  

Looking at the thread closer the implications being thrown around indicate 195k was too high but I still can't find the source for the 30k reduction.

Sometimes if we don't have a leak all we can use the best prediction sometimes prediction aren't as close as we want them to be, but now that we have a legit leaker numbers are way more precise, hopefully he keeps on leaking.

Well I got a source on the other thread.  Reason I was struggling was I was looking through archives of last year's threads.  The source is actually  from this year's threads.



zorg1000 on 21 June 2018

May notable software added



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 on 21 June 2018
Nuvendil said:
quickrick said:

Sometimes if we don't have a leak all we can use the best prediction sometimes prediction aren't as close as we want them to be, but now that we have a legit leaker numbers are way more precise, hopefully he keeps on leaking.

Well I got a source on the other thread.  Reason I was struggling was I was looking through archives of last year's threads.  The source is actually  from this year's threads.

The source is from last year, i dont remember exactly which month it was but an insider leaked all the monthly numbers from the year up to that point. I know someone reposted them in the Nov NPD thread (which got locked) but i dont remember when the original source posted them.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Nuvendil on 21 June 2018
zorg1000 said:
Nuvendil said:

Well I got a source on the other thread.  Reason I was struggling was I was looking through archives of last year's threads.  The source is actually  from this year's threads.

The source is from last year, i dont remember exactly which month it was but an insider leaked all the monthly numbers from the year up to that point. I know someone reposted them in the Nov NPD thread (which got locked) but i dont remember when the original source posted them.

Ah ok.  That explains it though, I was looking at the May and June NPD prediction threads.



zorg1000 on 02 August 2018

I will change it if we get a more concrete number but based on Switch being up over 50% from last year, we have a good idea of how it did.

Its now 1.56 million for PS4 vs 1.52 million for NSW so extremely close and both still have a great chance of taking the win.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 on 17 August 2018

Updated with July numbers, crazy close so far.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Nuvendil on 17 August 2018

Well, I've been on point so far with regards to the summer :P

Didn't expect the dominant win in July though. With the momentum from that, August may well be a lock, though I think it will be a good bit closer. September is where it gets intense. Switch has a bundle for that month but not a massive one. FighterZ, Toena, Valkyria, Fifa, and NBA are all solid stuff but nothing massive. PS4 could very well take September. Then the real fight begins.