In progress NPD predicting tool

LipeJJ

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LipeJJ on 23 October 2018

gtjay1982 said:
The predictor has been pretty solid so far but I think this month will be the most off. I just can't imagine switch being that far ahead of the other two.

Smash bundle. Besides, once RDR2 launches, I think the gap will close a lot.

Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

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Symbios63 on 24 October 2018

10/24/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 20 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 41 (+7) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 65 (-10) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb - 91 (R) - 482.95$

PS4 : 0 point (-) ; XBO : 0 points (-10) ; NS : 115 + 70 + 36 = 221 points (+9)

- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 25 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 29 (-2) - 499.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 34 (+6) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 35 (-4) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 40 (+1) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 43 (+7) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 50 (+6) - 499.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 57 (+5) - 299.99$
9 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 63 (+16) - 359.99$
10 (+1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 76 (+7) - 299.99$
11 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 80 (-5) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 102 + 94 + 72 = 268 points (-4) ; XBO : 66 + 52 + 25 + 21 = 164 points (+23) ; NS : 84 + 82 + 44 + 38 = 248 points (+47)

- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 3 (+1)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 9 (-3)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 10 (-) - November 16th
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 17 (-1)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 47 (-)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 71 (+8)
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 77 (+3)
8 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 103 (+18)
9 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 105 (-10)
10 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 118 (-6)
11 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 - 141 (N)
12 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 167 (R)
13 (-2) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 183 (+12)
14 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 192 (R) - November 9th
15 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 - 199 (N)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 104 + 74 = 383 points (+2) ; XBO : 48 + 42 + 30 + 9 + 1 = 130 points (+26) ; NS : 190 + 170 + 80 + 49 + 17 = 506 points (+19)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 928.5 points (+35.6) ; Month Average : 812.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 556.3 points (+1.2) ; Month Average : 574.9 points/day ; 0.71 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 298.7 points (+29.3) ; Month Average : 261.9 points/day ; 0.32 (-)

Madword

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Madword on 24 October 2018

Looks like RDR isn't having much of an impact on console sales at the moment, which doesn't seem right at all???? Or are we missing some pre-orders from last month or something?

Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

Mbolibombo

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Mbolibombo on 24 October 2018

Megiddo said:

Mbolibombo said:

I will never be ok with this as an non-american :P

Is it really only an American thing? Starting the week on the day of the sun instead of the day of the moon (or any of the planets) makes so much more sense than any alternative.

I'm sure there are other places as well, but Monday to start the week is international standard. And I dont really agree with your analogy regarding start of the week, why would that make much more sense at all? :P If we go down that way clearly the day of the moon makes the most sense since the moon is up at the very start of the day hehe

p0isonparadise

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p0isonparadise on 24 October 2018

Reminds me of April 2008.

Kerotan

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Kerotan on 24 October 2018

Bofferbrauer2 said:

JRPGfan said:

^ that is depressing....

I know I get called out, everytime I say "its time for sony to do something"..... but if not when sales suddenly drop to near half, when then?

I start to think this is out of Sony's hands now. If sales don't recover soon in expectation of Spiderman and RDR2, then a pricecut probably wouldn't cut it either.

That is, if there ain't shortages having a hand in this, of course. But I haven't heard anything about any shortages yet, so pretty doubtful

Looks like no price drop was needed. At least not pre holiday season.