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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Bofferbrauer2 said:
The slew of game announcements pushing the consoles down in the sales lists. I didn't expect however that the PS4 would be pushed that far down, looks almost like the big drop of a rollercoaster

Glacier White PS4 pro disappearing from Gamestop list (out of stock maybe) made PS4 drop bigger.

As you mentionned, few days/weeks will be needed after E3 for things to settle.



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Symbios63 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
The slew of game announcements pushing the consoles down in the sales lists. I didn't expect however that the PS4 would be pushed that far down, looks almost like the big drop of a rollercoaster

Glacier White PS4 pro disappearing from Gamestop list (out of stock maybe) made PS4 drop bigger.

As you mentionned, few days/weeks will be needed after E3 for things to settle.

Now that you say it, I see that it's missing, too

Too bad Sony and Microsoft don't tell us the ratio between slim and Pro/S and X sales. Considering how the upgraded ones stand in the charts, I assume that by now they have reached parity with the base consoles, if not even overtaken them by now.



Symbios63 said:
06/12/18 :

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 393.2 points (-249.6) ; Month Average : 570.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 240.4 points (-66.0) ; Month Average : 379.7 points/day ; 0.67 (-)
3 - XBO : 347.6 points (-15.6) ; Month Average : 201.5 points/day ; 0.35 (+0.04)

Wow......  Xbox doing 199$ and Sony not following up with anything, has had a drastic impact.
I know its only a few days, and so far PS4 is still winning the month, but that "could" change depending on how long this keeps up.
and if Sony does anything in answear or not.



all aboard of the rollercoaster



JRPGfan said:
Symbios63 said:
06/12/18 :

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 393.2 points (-249.6) ; Month Average : 570.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 240.4 points (-66.0) ; Month Average : 379.7 points/day ; 0.67 (-)
3 - XBO : 347.6 points (-15.6) ; Month Average : 201.5 points/day ; 0.35 (+0.04)

Wow......  Xbox doing 199$ and Sony not following up with anything, has had a drastic impact.
I know its only a few days, and so far PS4 is still winning the month, but that "could" change depending on how long this keeps up.
and if Sony does anything in answear or not.

The PS4 Pro has a 50$ discount, it's not like they're doing nothing. Also, like Symbios said, the nosedive mostly comes from the white pro disappearing.

I'm more interested to see how Nintendos Direct affected the chart now



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06/13/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 14 (+9) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 30 (+10) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 41 (-7) - 199.00$ (-57.00)
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 48 (-6) - 449.99$ (-35.00$)

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 95 (-10) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 70 + 56 = 126 points (-32) ; NS : 145 + 92 = 237 points (+59)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 1 (-) - 349.00$ (-50.00)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 5 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (+2) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 13 (-1) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
5 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 18 (+2) - 299.00$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 19 (-3) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 23 (-6) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 25 (+3) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 44 (-1) - 199.00$ (-80.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 190 + 102 = 502 points (+11) ; XBO : 150 + 120 + 106 + 64 = 440 points (-46) ; NS : 175 + 125 = 300 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 26 (-3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 32 (+3) - 349.00$ (-50.00$)
3 (+1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 46 (+13) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 93 (+24) - 299.00$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 143 (-6) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 166 (+5) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 150 + 135 + 18 = 303 points (+8) ; XBO : 106 + 29 = 135 points (+11) ; NS : 58 points (+16)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 403.4 points (+10.2) ; Month Average : 554.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 307.6 points (+67.2) ; Month Average : 372.5 points/day ; 0.67 (-)
3 - XBO : 323.8 points (-23.8) ; Month Average : 213.7 points/day ; 0.39 (+0.04)

Last edited by Symbios63 - on 15 June 2018

06/14/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 18 (-4) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 32 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 49 (-1) - 449.99$ (-35.00$)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 51 (-10) - 199.00$ (-57.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 54 + 50 = 104 points (-22) ; NS : 125 + 88 = 213 points (-24)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 1 (-) - 349.00$ (-50.00)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 5 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 13 (-1) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 18 (-) - 299.00$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 19 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 23 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 25 (-) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 44 (-) - 199.00$ (-80.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 190 + 102 = 502 points (-) ; XBO : 150 + 120 + 106 + 64 = 440 points (-) ; NS : 175 + 125 = 300 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 32 (-) - 349.00$ (-50.00$)
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 34 (-8) - 299.99$
3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 59 (-13) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 110 (-17) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 167 (-24) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 186 (-20) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 135 + 130 + 8 = 273 points (-30) ; XBO : 92 + 17 = 109 points (-26) ; NS :46 points (-12)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 373.4 points (-30.0) ; Month Average : 537.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 276.4 points (-31.2) ; Month Average : 363.8 points/day ; 0.68 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 280.2 points (-43.6) ; Month Average : 219.8 points/day ; 0.41 (+0.02)



Bad day for everyone...

Last edited by Symbios63 - on 15 June 2018

06/15/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 51 (-2) - 449.99$ (-35.00$)
4 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 54 (-3) - 199.00$ (-57.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 50 + 47 = 97 points (-7) ; NS : 130 + 90 = 220 points (+7)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 2 (-1) - 349.00$ (-50.00)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 5 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (+4) - 299.00$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 16 (-3) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 21 (-2) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 23 (+2) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 25 (-2) - 249.99$ (-50.00)
9 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 55 (-11) - 199.00$ (-80.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 190 + 106 = 501 points (-1) ; XBO : 135 + 110 + 102 + 46 = 393 points (-47) ; NS : 175 + 145 = 320 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 29 (+3) - 349.00$ (-50.00$)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Days of Play - 31 (+3) - 299.99$
3 (-) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 49 (+10) - 199.00$ (-80.00)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 91 (+19) - 299.00$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 149 (+37) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 167 (-) - 449.99$ (-50.00)
7 (R) - XBox One S 1 Tb Shadow of War - 195 (-) - 249.99$ (-50.00)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 140 + 135 + 26 = 301 points (+28) ; XBO : 102 + 17 + 3 = 122 points (+11) ; NS : 60 points (+14)

Overall (Today) :

1 - PS4 : 401.2 points (+27.8) ; Month Average : 526.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 300.0 points (+23.6) ; Month Average : 358.5 points/day ; 0.68 (-)
3 - XBO : 278.2 points (-2.0) ; Month Average : 224.6 points/day ; 0.43 (+0.02)



Slowly normalizing again after the truckload of games that invaded the charts



The fact that Amazon don't sell PS4 consoles anymore could be a problem in your prediction methodology.