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Forums - Sales - Estimate the weekly sales for PS3 after $100 price drop

Frost said:
starcraft said:
Why do people think the PS3 will get a second (third if you include the gap between 20GB cancellation and 40GB introduction) $100 price drop.

What do you think? That Sony hates money?

IBM and Toshiba are still on track to move the Cell and RSX to 45nm mid-year, thus significantly improving yields, and IBM has also solved issues with the SPEs, thus improving yields of the Cell further still. They've also been having some good success marketing the Cell to the embedded market, meaning economies of scale drop faster. Add that to other falling component costs, especially the Blu-ray diodes, and Sony will have slashed a significant amount off of their per-unit production cost.

Meaning, they can cut the price by $100 at that point and still make money on every console sold in the US. Which, I believe, they will be more than happy to do... Microsoft's next drop will likely be another $50 drop, and once it's dropped $50, it won't move again for a bit. It's entirely likely Sony will use their significant cost reductions this year as an opportunity to attain price parity with the 360 in the US since they could do so without incurring financial losses as long as IBM and Toshiba stay on schedule with their respective development roadmaps.


Where are people getting this idea that Sony has made a tonne of cost reductions and that Microsoft has been stagnant?



starcraft - Playing Games = FUN, Talking about Games = SERIOUS

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starcraft said:
Frost said:
starcraft said:
Why do people think the PS3 will get a second (third if you include the gap between 20GB cancellation and 40GB introduction) $100 price drop.

What do you think? That Sony hates money?

IBM and Toshiba are still on track to move the Cell and RSX to 45nm mid-year, thus significantly improving yields, and IBM has also solved issues with the SPEs, thus improving yields of the Cell further still. They've also been having some good success marketing the Cell to the embedded market, meaning economies of scale drop faster. Add that to other falling component costs, especially the Blu-ray diodes, and Sony will have slashed a significant amount off of their per-unit production cost.

Meaning, they can cut the price by $100 at that point and still make money on every console sold in the US. Which, I believe, they will be more than happy to do... Microsoft's next drop will likely be another $50 drop, and once it's dropped $50, it won't move again for a bit. It's entirely likely Sony will use their significant cost reductions this year as an opportunity to attain price parity with the 360 in the US since they could do so without incurring financial losses as long as IBM and Toshiba stay on schedule with their respective development roadmaps.


Where are people getting this idea that Sony has made a tonne of cost reductions and that Microsoft has been stagnant?


It's not a case of Microsoft being stagnant, it's that the PS3 components have more potential for cost reductions. A $100 cut this year isn't guaranteed, but it's certainly not impossible as you are making it out to be.



starcraft said:
Why do people think the PS3 will get a second (third if you include the gap between 20GB cancellation and 40GB introduction) $100 price drop.

What do you think? That Sony hates money?

 woooooooooooo! here comes starcraft ruining another sony thread,.



300k the first week

250k for the remaining weeks.



Others : 120000

America :80000

Japan :20000



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eliasg said:

Others : 120000

America :80000

Japan :20000


lol........

with a 100$ drop in all areas?

AT LEAST

Others: 200,000

America: 160,000

Japan: 60,000




A $100 cut won't take place until August or September at the earliest. I seriously doubt Sony is going to wait until 2009 to do so.

That being said, I'd say nearly 400K the first few weeks and 250K-200K from then on excluding the holidays.

 

Consoles owned: Saturn, Dreamcast, PS1, PS2, PSP, DS, PS3

220000 consoles is not huge number for you???

 

Btw, i dont count the opening week, i generally speak about the upcoming weeks...



How do I get vgchartz wii,360 and ps3 sales numbers in my sig for another site?



At $299 with teh blu-ray, I'll certainly take one. I can't believe they will do it this year, though. I suspect we won't see another price drop until next year unless Microsoft makes a BIG price move AND it moves the 360 into a commanding monthly sales lead (new sales, not total).



I hate trolls.

Systems I currently own:  360, PS3, Wii, DS Lite (2)
Systems I've owned: PS2, PS1, Dreamcast, Saturn, 3DO, Genesis, Gamecube, N64, SNES, NES, GBA, GB, C64, Amiga, Atari 2600 and 5200, Sega Game Gear, Vectrex, Intellivision, Pong.  Yes, Pong.