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Forums - Gaming - "The Nintendo Switch Is Selling Exactly As Fast As Sony's PS4" - Forbes

 

Do you agree with the article?

Yes, Switch will KILL the PS4! 18 12.95%
 
No, PS4 will remain champion! 74 53.24%
 
Hard to tell right now, time will only tell. 47 33.81%
 
Total:139
DonFerrari on 16 December 2017
mZuzek said:
quickrick said:

there at 10 million by december 10. there numbers will look much better this year because they got a huge launch boost, and a fully stocked holiday

By this year I meant to say the first 12 months, so up to March.

Also do you think next year they won't have a fully stocked holiday? Lol if anything, this holiday is the one where stock issues are most likely (still quite guaranteed to happen in Japan). No, next year they'll get a boost from being fully stocked throughout the whole year, and the natural added interest that comes to consoles over time.

The full stock point he made is one of the least logical he have made over here =]



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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quickrick on 16 December 2017
DonFerrari said:
mZuzek said:

By this year I meant to say the first 12 months, so up to March.

Also do you think next year they won't have a fully stocked holiday? Lol if anything, this holiday is the one where stock issues are most likely (still quite guaranteed to happen in Japan). No, next year they'll get a boost from being fully stocked throughout the whole year, and the natural added interest that comes to consoles over time.

The full stock point he made is one of the least logical he have made over here =]

my point is about full stock is hardly any consoles get that luxury to have nice launch numbers, and have full stock in December. switch sold a little short of 3 million units in 27 days thats a pretty huge launch boost compared to whats it doing now months in regular months, then you have a fully stocked holiday, thats why  switch numbers look better then they really are.

Last edited by quickrick - on 16 December 2017

HyrulianScrolls on 16 December 2017

I do think it will end up beating PS4, especially since I think Nintendo is in it for the long run with it. Can't imagine a successor before 2023.



collint0101 on 16 December 2017

I don't think people like it very much when Nintendo is successful



DonFerrari on 17 December 2017
quickrick said:
DonFerrari said:

The full stock point he made is one of the least logical he have made over here =]

my point is about full stock is hardly any consoles get that luxury to have nice launch numbers, and have full stock in December. switch sold a little short of 3 million units in 27 days thats a pretty huge launch boost compared to whats it doing now months in regular months, then you have a fully stocked holiday, thats why  switch numbers look better then they really are.

The way you wrote made it seem like they had stock this november but wouldn't in next year november.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Around the Network
zorg1000 on 17 December 2017
quickrick said:
DonFerrari said:

The full stock point he made is one of the least logical he have made over here =]

my point is about full stock is hardly any consoles get that luxury to have nice launch numbers, and have full stock in December. switch sold a little short of 3 million units in 27 days thats a pretty huge launch boost compared to whats it doing now months in regular months, then you have a fully stocked holiday, thats why  switch numbers look better then they really are.

You seem to be ignoring that Switch wasnt available in Jan/Feb.

Switch launched it March and sold ~2.5 million its first month or roughly the equivalent of 3 regular non-holiday months.

Basically its launch boost is cancelled out by the fact it didnt have those first two months meaning Switch numbers dont "look better than they actually are".



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick on 18 December 2017
zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:

my point is about full stock is hardly any consoles get that luxury to have nice launch numbers, and have full stock in December. switch sold a little short of 3 million units in 27 days thats a pretty huge launch boost compared to whats it doing now months in regular months, then you have a fully stocked holiday, thats why  switch numbers look better then they really are.

You seem to be ignoring that Switch wasnt available in Jan/Feb.

Switch launched it March and sold ~2.5 million its first month or roughly the equivalent of 3 regular non-holiday months.

Basically its launch boost is cancelled out by the fact it didnt have those first two months meaning Switch numbers dont "look better than they actually are".

i'm not but people talk about switch sales starting march, so from march 2017 to march 2018, switch sales will higher then any other year.



Miyamotoo on 18 December 2017
quickrick said:
mZuzek said:

They're about to sell probably around 15-16 million this year so 17 million next year sounds quite likely. I think up to 20 million is still quite plausible, though 25 million does sound quite crazy especially if Pokémon isn't coming yet.

there at 10 million by december 10. there numbers will look much better this year because they got a huge launch boost, and a fully stocked holiday

On other hand they had huge stock problems most of they year and still have stock problems in Japan (so you cant say fully stocked holiday).

 

 

quickrick said: 
zorg1000 said: 

You seem to be ignoring that Switch wasnt available in Jan/Feb.

Switch launched it March and sold ~2.5 million its first month or roughly the equivalent of 3 regular non-holiday months.

Basically its launch boost is cancelled out by the fact it didnt have those first two months meaning Switch numbers dont "look better than they actually are".

i'm not but people talk about switch sales starting march, so from march 2017 to march 2018, switch sales will higher then any other year.

So you saying that peak Switch year will be Swith launch year in which they had huge stock problems most of the year and actualy they still have them in Japan for instance!?

With that on mind, at this point its crazy to think that this will be peak Switch years espacily when Switch will have even bigger system seller game than it had this year (Pokemon and Animal Crossing) and plenty of other big, huge and strong games, price cuts and revisions.



quickrick on 18 December 2017
Miyamotoo said:
quickrick said:

there at 10 million by december 10. there numbers will look much better this year because they got a huge launch boost, and a fully stocked holiday

On other hand they had huge stock problems most of they year and still have stock problems in Japan (so you cant say fully stocked holiday).

 

 

quickrick said: 

i'm not but people talk about switch sales starting march, so from march 2017 to march 2018, switch sales will higher then any other year.

So you saying that peak Switch year will be Swith launch year in which they had huge stock problems most of the year and actualy they still have them in Japan for instance!?

With that on mind, at this point its crazy to think that this will be peak Switch years espacily when Switch will have even bigger system seller game than it had this year (Pokemon and Animal Crossing) and plenty of other big, huge and strong games, price cuts and revisions.

I think switch stock problems were very small in US, and europe. maybe they could have sold 500k more at most. mario kart, mario mario odyssey, zelda  and splatoon combined will sell way more consoles then those 2 games you mentioned  



Miyamotoo on 18 December 2017
quickrick said:
Miyamotoo said:

On other hand they had huge stock problems most of they year and still have stock problems in Japan (so you cant say fully stocked holiday).

 

So you saying that peak Switch year will be Swith launch year in which they had huge stock problems most of the year and actualy they still have them in Japan for instance!?

With that on mind, at this point its crazy to think that this will be peak Switch years espacily when Switch will have even bigger system seller game than it had this year (Pokemon and Animal Crossing) and plenty of other big, huge and strong games, price cuts and revisions.

I think switch stock problems were very small in US, and europe. maybe they could have sold 500k more at most. mario kart, mario mario odyssey, zelda  and splatoon combined will sell way more consoles then those 2 games you mentioned  

Switch had huge stock problems from launch and even now is not exactly wildly available like PS4 or XB1, so definitely would sell more than 500k for US and Europe, and in Japan would easily sold at least 1m more. But point is that those games will sell Switch in folowing years also, with evre new bigger and better game Switch becoming more attractive, and Pokemon is single strongest one system seller game, and again Switch will have other big, strong and great exlusives and even bigger and stronger multiplatform games, not to metione price cuts and revisions. So chances that first Switch year will be peak Switch year are minimal, thats actually fishful thinking.