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Forums - Sony - With the launch of MGS 4 on the PS3.....

I have two questions I want answered:

1. How many unit sales of MGS4 do you expect will be sold for the first full week world wide? (12-18 June)

2. How many PS3 consoles will be sold worldwide for the first full week from the launch of MGS 4? (12-18 June)

 

I predict as follows:

First week sales for MGS 4 will be about 3 million copies sold worldwide.

I predict 450 000 PS3 consoles will be sold world wide in the first week of MGS 4 launch.

 



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Rock_on_2008 said:

I have two questions I want answered:

1. How many unit sales of MGS4 do you expect will occur for the first full week from the launch? (12-18 June)

2. How many PS3 consoles will be sold worldwide for the first full week from the launch of MGS 4? (12-18 June)

 

I predict as follows:

First week sales for MGS 4 will be between 3 to 4 million sold worldwide.

I predict between 400 to 600k PS3 will be sold world wide in the first week of MGS 4 launch.

 

So you think 1 out of every 4 PS3 users are not only going to buy the game, but buy it in its first week out? And they call me a fanboy.....

I'm assuming it has a global release, if that be the case I'd guess PS3 hardware will go from its usual 160-180k, to about 300-350k (450k if you want to be optimistic) for MGS4s first week, and probably around 1.5 million game units sold in the first week (Mostly from Japan).

 Edit: I like how you went back and changed your numbers.



around 1.5-1.9 million WW during it's first week.
I also see about 350k-400k PS3s sold during MGS4 week.



Konami should be happy if they manage to move 1m-1.5m games first week. Hardware is little bit harder but I hope over 350k.



 

I have adjusted my figures people a bit more realistic now. MGS 4 will be Halo-esgue in size.



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Rock_on_2008: Come on that is way too high.



 

I'm going to put my wager on about 1.2 mil. for MGS4 software. However, I think h/w will be really high that week, especially with the 80 GB re-introduction spring loading effect in USA at least. There are quite a few that have been on the fence to get a PS3 for this game. I'm going to say H/W will be at least 500k for the week.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

NameConsolePublisherJapanAmericaOthersTotal
Metal Gear SolidKonami0.782.812.005.59
Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of LibertyKonami0.852.292.425.56
Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake EaterKonami0.861.421.683.96
Metal Gear Solid: Portable OpsKonami0.380.340.311.03
Totals (4 matches)2.96.96.416.1

 

To me 3-4 mil in the first week seems way too high.

Edit: I think 1 - 2 million. Also your new numbers still seem high to me.

But considering everything from the ps3 game line up to anticipation (how long have we heard about this) and new commers. It could be fairly high.

As for PS3 sales 300-400k

Now I think this game is one that sways the mind of future console buyer. So I'd be interested to know what people think the effect of these three catagories would have on Xbox PS3 future buyers.

1 - Suck
2 - Typical MGS sequal
3 - Must play incredtible GOTY



"Back off, man. I'm a scientist."

Your theories are the worst kind of popular tripe, your methods are sloppy, and your conclusions are highly questionable! You are a poor scientist. Especially if you think the moon landing was faked.


ioi + 1

I would imagine this game will sell like Assassins creed x1.5 the opening week. After people start to hear about the reviews and how the game is more action like more people will pick it up. With legs about 2x that of Assassins creed.



2.5 to 3.5 million isn't realistic at all. Considering that the highest selling MGS game hit about 7 million, you are predicting that the much smaller group of PS3 (compared to PS2) owners will be able to manage to get upto 50% of the lifetime sales of the best selling MGS game within a week of the next installment's release.

Also have to take into account that MGS3 Snake Eater only hit 3.7 million, and that the PS2 outnumbers the PS3 worldwide by at least 10 to 1.

MGS4 will most likely not hit halo-esque sales, because as a series, MGS has never had that mass audience appeal that Halo has.

I'd say MGS4 will hit 1 million in the first week, anything above 1.5 million is a little optimistic IMO.