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Teeqoz said:

So those that can't keep up deserve to live miserable lives? Is that what you are saying?

By the time we can just implant chips in people's brains to improve human brain capacity, there will be no need for humans in there at all. Much easier to improve a pure computer than a computer-human hybrid.

It sucks so I guess they might have to move to an industrialized nation instead of living in a developed nation with lot's of automation or live as the lowest form of human life ... 

Another option could be is to just wait until tissue engineering can get advanced enough to enhance cognitive function and then these people can get enhanced and start contributing to society again ... 

It's harder than you think to improve upon a pure computer and transistor technology is reaching it's limits so we'll still need human brains in the forseeable future to advance research ... (It takes a lot of power to emulate the top minds on this earth.) 

Just as there is a limit to a human brain there's also limits for deep learning too ... 



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fatslob-:O said:
Teeqoz said:

So those that can't keep up deserve to live miserable lives? Is that what you are saying?

By the time we can just implant chips in people's brains to improve human brain capacity, there will be no need for humans in there at all. Much easier to improve a pure computer than a computer-human hybrid.

It sucks so I guess they might have to move to an industrialized nation instead of living in a developed nation with lot's of automation or live as the lowest form of human life ... 

Another option could be is to just wait until tissue engineering can get advanced enough to enhance cognitive function and then these people can get enhanced and start contributing to society again ... 

It's harder than you think to improve upon a pure computer and transistor technology is reaching it's limits so we'll still need human brains in the forseeable future to advance research ... (It takes a lot of power to emulate the top minds on this earth.) 

Just as there is a limit to a human brain there's also limits for deep learning too ... 

Even if we assume that full AGI is developed later than gene altering technology and tissue engineering advanced enough to significantly increase intelligence, what do those people do in the mean time? I agree it's a long time until we can completely replace human mindpower, but like I said, our society isn't fit to even cope with a 60% unemployment rate, and I'd like to see a world where a whopping 40% of the workforce are scientists/researchers/programmers. To support that, you need both a massive change in the educational system, as well as a means for all those soon-to-be unemployed to support themselves financially.

That's why I'm saying we have to start looking at solutions now. Even though society isn't ripe for implementing them yet, we can't just stop looking at solutions until the problem is too big to ignore.



Teeqoz said:

Even if we assume that full AGI is developed later than gene altering technology and tissue engineering advanced enough to significantly increase intelligence, what do those people do in the mean time? I agree it's a long time until we can completely replace human mindpower, but like I said, our society isn't fit to even cope with a 60% unemployment rate, and I'd like to see a world where a whopping 40% of the workforce are scientists/researchers/programmers. To support that, you need both a massive change in the educational system, as well as a means for all those soon-to-be unemployed to support themselves financially.

That's why I'm saying we have to start looking at solutions now. Even though society isn't ripe for implementing them yet, we can't just stop looking at solutions until the problem is too big to ignore.

We could start with subsidizing post-secondary for certain majors but that's it for now ... 

Besides, doing mechanical maintenance for robotics is still relatively menial ... (although maybe not as menial the job of a janitor or other manual labour) 

We could also lower the requirements for some jobs to just require cetain classes instead of getting the full degree ... (specialization is the way to go these days) 



fatslob-:O said:
Teeqoz said:

Even if we assume that full AGI is developed later than gene altering technology and tissue engineering advanced enough to significantly increase intelligence, what do those people do in the mean time? I agree it's a long time until we can completely replace human mindpower, but like I said, our society isn't fit to even cope with a 60% unemployment rate, and I'd like to see a world where a whopping 40% of the workforce are scientists/researchers/programmers. To support that, you need both a massive change in the educational system, as well as a means for all those soon-to-be unemployed to support themselves financially.

That's why I'm saying we have to start looking at solutions now. Even though society isn't ripe for implementing them yet, we can't just stop looking at solutions until the problem is too big to ignore.

We could start with subsidizing post-secondary for certain majors but that's it for now ... 

Besides, doing mechanical maintenance for robotics is still relatively menial ... (although maybe not as menial the job of a janitor or other manual labour) 

We could also lower the requirements for some jobs to just require cetain classes instead of getting the full degree ... (specialization is the way to go these days) 

Oh come on, you don't think we need human mechanics doing robotic maintenance?...

And yes, those are all good ideas for solving the educational part of the problem, but it still won't solve the social and economical part. Like I said, a 60% unemployment rate is still too high for current society.



Teeqoz said:

Oh come on, you don't think we need human mechanics doing robotic maintenance?...

And yes, those are all good ideas for solving the educational part of the problem, but it still won't solve the social and economical part. Like I said, a 60% unemployment rate is still too high for current society.

I didn't implicate that ... 

I said doing mechanics is an easy enough job for just about anybody to do and what's more is we still need jobs for resource management ... 

Yes, I can see it ... (most of the population will go back to relatively 'high-tech' agriculture where 1 farmer will be able grow everything he needs with the tools in a painless manner and have a self-sufficient life whereas 'data' will be used by engineers and scientists for 'high-tech' manufacturing in cities) 

agriculture -> industrial -> service -> agriculture (high-tech) -> industrial (space ?) ... 

There you go, we have a 'circle of life' LOL ... (I guess 'de-urbanization' will be a thing but it won't be so bad with the advances and I guess trade will center around scarce and valuable produce used for medicine or other important process, etc)



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TallSilhouette said:
DonFerrari said:

Yep. I know of a lot of people in Brazil that makes less than 10k USD/year and have 5 people household. And just in case you don't know Brazil isn't that much cheaper than USA to live.

https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/compare_countries_result.jsp?country1=United+States&country2=Brazil

Supporting a family of 5 in the states unassisted on a single minimum wage would be living in abject poverty. 

That is because what you consider poverty is what most countries consider middle class, and what we consider poverty for you is famine. That is what I talked about increasing standard.

And you can see on that comparison that perhaps USA is about 30% more expensive to live, but our minimum wage is less than 300 USD/month. I can assure you that there are dozen of millions that have families of 5 or more living on 1 or 2 minimum wage here.

30k USD/year would be the earning of less than 10% of our population. And actually this 12k/year UBI would account to basically 80% of our GDP per capita.

fatslob-:O said:
vivster said:

That is a given anyway but doesn't have anything to do with a basic income.

The problem is higher education isn't for everyone. And not only that, being highly educated in a specialized field does not guarantee you a job in that field. Some fields are much needed but less desirable so even with free education students will choose the fields they want and not necessarily the fields that are needed. Free education is great but it does not solve all real world human problems.

Right now we still have about the same amount of jobs as we have people but that will change in the future. So even if everyone had a university degree, not everyone would have work.

This may sound messed up but if we want to achieve basic income then we should probably start dictating a person's occupation ... 

I feel as if civilization is too optimized for 'happiness' rather than 'profit' which is a big detriment quality of life. If we ever want sustainable minimum guranteed living standards then labour needs to start matching demands, not the other way around ... 

The only reason why the rich keeps amassing more wealth is cause there's too many poor suckers out there who trying to chase their own dreams instead of framing themselves as a net contributor to society ... 

We would have a much better civilization if 70% of our population was either studying science/engineering (these specialties are always in demand since they either increase productivity or quality of life) or having occupation in those fields rather than just 30% of the population carrying the rest ... 

If government has to be the one to provide then it's citizens need to start learning or training hard for these high paying professions and starting making a profit for a government to enable programs such as basic income, healthcare and social security ... 

There has to be some sort of compromise if that's going to be the case ... 

We know that people will say they hate maths or that history and philosophy are more important, or how relevant is some odd graduation... and after they will complain at how little that profession earn.

Teeqoz said:
DonFerrari said:

And what invisible hand is the government making rules and giving money they have to steal from others before?

There will always be things human will do better. If at one point robots do absolutelly everything better then there won't be any job at all no needs to attend anymore, so we would be post economy and theory of scarcity.

Government enforce the will of the people <- government is elected by the people who vote selfishly. There's your invisible hand.

The invisible hand isn't intrisically tied to laissez faire capitalism you know. In fact, the idea of capitalism hadn't even been expressed when Adam Smith coined the term....

And yes, in the medium term, there will be a few things humans will do better, but not enough to employ everyone.

Nope, government rob people of their on right, unless you consider that the elected politicians are executing the will of the people. If that is true then all the complains about the government is baseless.

Sorry but the bigger the government the lesser the citizen is still true. The government being bigger and more present is just used to the advantage of big corporations.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

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Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

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Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

fielding88 said:
monocle_layton said:
Hmm...

I can't make any sort of comment due to my lack of knowledge around this.

Are there any closed experiments where they studied families of different economic backgrounds and compared befor and after free handouts?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mincome

We're trying it again in Ontario right now. Three-year study. But of course we're a lot different than America.

More in-depth reading: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_income

I'm in the same boat as Layton. I'm intrigued - skeptical, but interested - and I'm not going to act like an educated economist and comment on whether it'll work because I simply don't know.

But the way things like this work is to simply try reducing the wealth disparity by guaranteeing everybody can at least live by the minimum required to get by, and by significantly increasing taxes on the wealthy and luxury items.

Also there is usually a set of requirements that must be met to qualify for your basic income package, so not quite *everybody* will receive them.



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Aeolus451 said:
That would be a really stupid thing to do. The government is already spending money it doesn't have.

It would destroy the low skill labor market and increase prices across the board. There would be no legitimate growth and it would have a negative impact on everyone’s savings. The ONLY way this would be acceptable is if it replaced already on the books entitlements that bleed money in red tape. Giving the people direct access to their entitlement funds would have a net positive over the loss of value through the government administrative process. 



VGPolyglot said:
Let's just skip this step and go full-on towards socialism. This may help short-term, but I believe that in the long run it's going to start diverting back to how it was beforehand.

Socialism. Great, we'd become a milk toast country like Canada where in the grand scheme of human existance means less to nothing. No thank you, the US government is already paying thousands in entitlements already. Simply turn one or two of them into direct payments and you might actually see a benefit from direct injection over government statist waste. 

Or

End the Fed and IRS