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Forums - Gaming - What if 2016 is the Wii U's peak year? Here's how it could happen

ArchangelMadzz said:
2014 easily the peak especially financial year 2014 with Mario kart, smash bros and Splatoon


where are the chartz for all those years? (splatoon is 2015 by the way)

ive been looking for data for this, but icant seem to find it on here. ever since VGC had their latest revision, ive found that finding data is very difficult.



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No, a price cut won't suffice and the WII U is already falling behind compared to last year at the same point and time ...

Last year's holiday line up had Hyrule Warriors, Bayonetta 2, and Super Smash Bros so Xenoblade Chronicles X hardly compares that ...



fatslob-:O said:
No, a price cut won't suffice and the WII U is already falling behind compared to last year at the same point and time ...

Last year's holiday line up had Hyrule Warriors, Bayonetta 2, and Super Smash Bros so Xenoblade Chronicles X hardly compares that ...

the wii u had a much worse may and june (due to mario kart), but the sales in july and august are very close. with all the games that came out in october/november last year, it will be hard for it to beat, but it is still possible.



RubberWhistleHistle said:

the wii u had a much worse may and june (due to mario kart), but the sales in july and august are very close. with all the games that came out in october/november last year, it will be hard for it to beat, but it is still possible.

Sure if you can get anyone to agree that 44% more and 29% more respectively are "very close" ... 

@Bold Which is why I want to stress that out as a VERY LOW probability ... 



RubberWhistleHistle said:
fatslob-:O said:
No, a price cut won't suffice and the WII U is already falling behind compared to last year at the same point and time ...

Last year's holiday line up had Hyrule Warriors, Bayonetta 2, and Super Smash Bros so Xenoblade Chronicles X hardly compares that ...

the wii u had a much worse may and june (due to mario kart), but the sales in july and august are very close. with all the games that came out in october/november last year, it will be hard for it to beat, but it is still possible.


Last year, WiiU sales underperformed 2013 Q4 until after Smash came out.

Leading off with a big September is the differentiator. Compare 2015's big september release: Super Mario Maker to prior WiiU September releases (Wind Waker, Hyrule Warriors, Rayman Legends, TW101). It's pretty obvious SMM likely walks all over those guys in moving HW. It'll leg out beautifully.

Yoshi, Mario Tennis, and XCX should help sustain momentum through the rest of the holiday.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

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fatslob-:O said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:

the wii u had a much worse may and june (due to mario kart), but the sales in july and august are very close. with all the games that came out in october/november last year, it will be hard for it to beat, but it is still possible.

Sure if you can get anyone to agree that 44% more and 29% more respectively are "very close" ... 

@Bold Which is why I want to stress that out as a VERY LOW probability ... 

Here's the rub though: the MK8 promo actually made the console a better value in summer 2014 than this past summer.

The numbers in summer are so low anyway that these percentages matter little until the holiday season comes and goes.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

Teeqoz said:
TL;DR

Pricedrop.


Hardly a matter of if, but when! Seems like Nintendo isn't ready to do it for this holiday. 2016 more and more seems the likely year to do a pricecut.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

fatslob-:O said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:

the wii u had a much worse may and june (due to mario kart), but the sales in july and august are very close. with all the games that came out in october/november last year, it will be hard for it to beat, but it is still possible.

Sure if you can get anyone to agree that 44% more and 29% more respectively are "very close" ... 

@Bold Which is why I want to stress that out as a VERY LOW probability ... 

id like to look at actual numbers since percentages can be quite deceptive and dont tell you what you really need to know when discussing this topic. 

july 2014: 218k

july 2015: 152k 

difference of 70k

august 2014: 193k

august 2015: 150k

difference of 40k

total difference of 110k

that is a pretty big difference for two months that i called "close," i agree. but when you consider that in 2014, the wii u sold 1,174k in december, the difference of 110k for those months, and the differences in may+june could be easily undone if in 2015, wii u has a 1,500k december. which seems pretty feasible if they have better marketing this year. this is a very very attainable number.



Oh wow, 2016 does mark Zelda's 30th Anniversary! Maybe Nintendo wanted to re-tool the game into something that pays more homage to the first game. 2016 is gonna be a great year for gamers of all kinds. My PS4 and Wii U will be on quite a lot.



fleischr said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:

the wii u had a much worse may and june (due to mario kart), but the sales in july and august are very close. with all the games that came out in october/november last year, it will be hard for it to beat, but it is still possible.


Last year, WiiU sales underperformed 2013 Q4 until after Smash came out.

Leading off with a big September is the differentiator. Compare 2015's big september release: Super Mario Maker to prior WiiU September releases (Wind Waker, Hyrule Warriors, Rayman Legends, TW101). It's pretty obvious SMM likely walks all over those guys in moving HW. It'll leg out beautifully.

Yoshi, Mario Tennis, and XCX should help sustain momentum through the rest of the holiday.

2014 is the big debate here to see which year will be the peak year. i think the wii u's 2015 lineup is weaker than the 2014 lineup, but if nintendo actually advertises, there is no reason that they cant sell more in september through december in 2015 than in 2014. seems like their advertising is better than it has been in the past two years, so this is pretty much what we are banking on.