4. not sure if Zelda would sell a million in Japan.

... | |||
| 2 | 6 | 12.24% | |
| 3 | 7 | 14.29% | |
| 4 | 13 | 26.53% | |
| 5 | 15 | 30.61% | |
| more than 5 | 8 | 16.33% | |
| Total: | 49 | ||
Well we already have Mario Kart 8 and NSMBU.
Wii Party U is over 800K according to this site and Smash U at 700K. I think after the holidays both of these will be lifted over the million marker.
Splatoon will eventually get there. Not quite sure if 3D World will have enough legs in Japan without some bundles, but Mario Maker should be able to I think.
I'll go with 5+.

Splatoon and Smash will cross that line eventually
Super Mario Maker will probably smash through 1 million easily
No. 6? Pokken Fighters ...
I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016
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