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Forums - Sales Discussion - End of the year marketshare previsions.

I think there's already been talks about that but I missed the thread and can't find it.

 Anyway my previsions are as follow :

Wii : 45%

Xbox360 : 30%

PS3 : 25%

 

There's been a lot of talk of the Wii gaining over 50% marketshare this year but if you look at the numbers they are sitting at the same marketshare now that they were on January the 1st, 44.2%.

Since January the PS3 has increase its marketshare by little over 1% ( 1.4% I think) and the Xbox360 has lost the corresponding share.

 In that light I don't think my predictions are totally irrealistics.  

Depending on total sales this would put the Xbox360 roughly between 3 and 4 millions units ahead of the PS3 worldwide by the end of the year.

 



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

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I think your market share prediction is something most people on this site will agree with.



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BI-WEEKLY LEAGUE
All VGCharterz welcome!!!
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wii has increased share by .5% since beginning of year also, they will increase production soon, so that % will grow faster than .25%/month (3%/year) wii should hit 50% in october and then briefly fall below during holidays as there won't be enough supply to outsell ps3+360 during holidays then by jan/feb it will be back over 50% for good



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

too much to predict. It really depends on some key issues

PS3: will they have a price cut? Will their AAA games delayed again?

xbox: RRoD issue? price cut? more AAA games that targets xbox audience? (like CoD4)

Wii: Wiifit? production increase?



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)