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Forums - Sony - Bet: PS4 won't sell under 180k any week in 2015

GTAexpert said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

This is just the lifetime sales...

That's still very impressive compared to the other two, especially Europe and ROW sales.

Ineed PS4 is a succes, i don't say that it isn't.

PS4 is the most succes of this gen with +100m assicurate.

I just said that PS4 is easy dropped below 180,000, not other.



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Been a great thread to read through going back and forth.



CosmicSex said:

The PS4 is in 123 countries.  To think that Chartz has the ability to even project for that many countries is insane. It's not possible and no one but a distributor would have the resources necessary to give accurate numbers.

VGC didn't project neither US right.



ethomaz said:

CosmicSex said:

The PS4 is in 123 countries.  To think that Chartz has the ability to even project for that many countries is insane. It's not possible and no one but a distributor would have the resources necessary to give accurate numbers.

VGC didn't project neither US right.

Well, that makes this whole thing a bit silly because we are basing it off of something that almost certainly can't be right.  I appreciate the work that ioi does, but I think its silly for people to make real world predicitons based on his estimates.  God bless him, but how can we expect him to be accurate on a wolrdwide scale... or even as you say a US scale when there are so many factors and retailers (including online).  Its an incredible undertalking. 



ethomaz said:

CosmicSex said:

The PS4 is in 123 countries.  To think that Chartz has the ability to even project for that many countries is insane. It's not possible and no one but a distributor would have the resources necessary to give accurate numbers.

VGC didn't project neither US right.

Seriusly true... even with the number's confirmed by NPD, we have still a huge margin of error in some month...



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Roronaa_chan said:

http://n4g.com/news/1541560/vgchartz-global-weekly-chart-21st-june-2014 -> PS4 at 96k

Post adjustments: http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/41812/Global/ -> PS4 at 148k

Both numbers from the same website. He hasn't lost anything until enough time has passed. Same goes for bets in the opposite side.

Someome give this woman a medal

(Though I'm aware the 20.2M number still doesn't mean it never sold under 180k)



Player2 said:
Colocho said:
Player2 said:
RolStoppable said:
Can we say that the PS4 was a fad?

We can't call troll a troll so I doubt we can call fad a fad.

I this is hilarious...  somebody pls hand this guy some crow! Lol..  I kidd.

Anyway, it's good to see the ps4 pulling some nice numbers

The Wii is called a fad despite being up YoY in its first year so I don't see why a console that is struggling to be flat YoY can't, unless term coiners decide to show their true colors and add a "it's only a fad if Nintendo makes it" clause.


What that have to do with being a fad? A fad is explosive in it's grow and equally explosive it's its rapid implosion, while failing to set an standard, like the Wii. That's all there is to it pretty much. Have the Wii had a softer decline or successfully stablished motion controls at least for Nintendo consoles, then it wouldn't be a fad but it indeed was a fad.



Imnus said:
Player2 said:
Colocho said:

I this is hilarious...  somebody pls hand this guy some crow! Lol..  I kidd.

Anyway, it's good to see the ps4 pulling some nice numbers

The Wii is called a fad despite being up YoY in its first year so I don't see why a console that is struggling to be flat YoY can't, unless term coiners decide to show their true colors and add a "it's only a fad if Nintendo makes it" clause.


What that have to do with being a fad? A fad is explosive in it's grow and equally explosive it's its rapid implosion, while failing to set an standard, like the Wii. That's all there is to it pretty much. Have the Wii had a softer decline or successfully stablished motion controls at least for Nintendo consoles, then it wouldn't be a fad but it indeed was a fad.


The bad wii u sales and the poor last few years of the Wii has proven it to be a fad.  Motion controls are not significant in gaming anymore. 



Imnus said:
Player2 said:
 

The Wii is called a fad despite being up YoY in its first year so I don't see why a console that is struggling to be flat YoY can't, unless term coiners decide to show their true colors and add a "it's only a fad if Nintendo makes it" clause.


What that have to do with being a fad? A fad is explosive in it's grow and equally explosive it's its rapid implosion, while failing to set an standard, like the Wii. That's all there is to it pretty much. Have the Wii had a softer decline or successfully stablished motion controls at least for Nintendo consoles, then it wouldn't be a fad but it indeed was a fad.

I don't see how going from best launch ever and supply constrained to worse sales than any home console last gen in a year doesn't qualify.



Player2 said:
Imnus said:
Player2 said:
 

The Wii is called a fad despite being up YoY in its first year so I don't see why a console that is struggling to be flat YoY can't, unless term coiners decide to show their true colors and add a "it's only a fad if Nintendo makes it" clause.


What that have to do with being a fad? A fad is explosive in it's grow and equally explosive it's its rapid implosion, while failing to set an standard, like the Wii. That's all there is to it pretty much. Have the Wii had a softer decline or successfully stablished motion controls at least for Nintendo consoles, then it wouldn't be a fad but it indeed was a fad.

I don't see how going from best launch ever and supply constrained to worse sales than any home console last gen in a year doesn't qualify.

You could say that the record breaking rate of sales was a fad. But PS4 is not a fad, yet. It's still the market leader by a huge margin, so it can only be a fad if it suddenly becomes the worst selling console of the generation, like Wii did (yearly not LTD). You can't judge an entire generation like this in the space of 18 months. And calling the generaton leader a fad when it is well on the way to 50% market share is nonsense.



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