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Forums - General - Convention held in New York for Global Warming science..... the truth

Sorry but that last page was ten miles long.

posted something else but I'll just leave this

BengaBenga said:

A few facts from a geologist:

1) The earth is in a cold period and not in a so called greenhouse period
2) The oceans exhume 20x more CO2 per year than all human activity
3) 3 big volcano eruptions cause more CO2 emission than all human activity in a year
4) Sea levels, CO2 contents and temperature have varied widely in geologic history
5) The climate change debate started in England by nuclear lobbyists (Thatcher time)

Opinion:
Even though I´m very sceptic about climate change being caused by humans, it´s very good to change behaviour for humans, because the pollution is bad for our health and fossil fuels are getting more scarce.

EDIT: My 700th post! Nice to have it in a serious discussion.

EDIT2: kenzomatic has a nice graph that shows what I mean with some of my facts.

 



"Back off, man. I'm a scientist."

Your theories are the worst kind of popular tripe, your methods are sloppy, and your conclusions are highly questionable! You are a poor scientist. Especially if you think the moon landing was faked.


ioi + 1
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Slimebeast said:
ChichiriMuyo said:
Astrodust said:
dtekdahl00 said:
Bias exists either way. You're either labled a fool for dissenting the common view, or you're hailed for buying into an ideology thats not scientific

There is no common view when it comes to global warming. It's not an issue like cigarettes cause cancer. The problem is that people are not educated on the issues and form oppinions.

There is a goddamned concensus on the matter. Anyone who says otherwise is an idiot or a liar, and anyone who rejects the idea outright is worse. Global Warming IS real and we DO have to fight it.

You and others who support actions against global warming, have to understand that when people say

"Global warming is a myth!" ,

they shouldn't be taken literally, because what they're trying to express is that there is an agenda exaggerating the size and the risks with man-made global warming.

So, let's agree that there is a strong concensus that man-made global warming is a fact.

But then what? How big of a factor is the man-made part of the green house gas effect compared to natural reasons? Is there concensus on that? No.

And if and when there is concensus on how much man is contributing to the global warming trend we have, then what?

What are the consequences of the warming on the planet and on us? How many degrees will the global average temperature rise in 10, 30 and 50 years? How many meters will the ocean level rise, and in what time, and what will the consequences of that be on the US, the EU, the rest of the rich world, and the developing countries?

You don't have an idea, do you? No one has, and there are no facts about that, and certainly no concensus. But you have tons of all sorts of people almost hysterically crying "Global warming is a threat to mankind! We must act now! We aren't doing enough!" as if they had facts.

Stop this madness.

Great post, Slimebeast.

Same goes for Bengabenga as well. 

 



Global warming sucks. Let's change it.



The Ghost of RubangB said:
Global warming sucks. Let's change it.

I'm on it. To the Bat Mobile.... HYBRID!



Slimebeast said:
ChichiriMuyo said:
Astrodust said:
dtekdahl00 said:
Bias exists either way. You're either labled a fool for dissenting the common view, or you're hailed for buying into an ideology thats not scientific

There is no common view when it comes to global warming. It's not an issue like cigarettes cause cancer. The problem is that people are not educated on the issues and form oppinions.

There is a goddamned concensus on the matter. Anyone who says otherwise is an idiot or a liar, and anyone who rejects the idea outright is worse. Global Warming IS real and we DO have to fight it.

You and others who support actions against global warming, have to understand that when people say

"Global warming is a myth!" ,

they shouldn't be taken literally, because what they're trying to express is that there is an agenda exaggerating the size and the risks with man-made global warming.

So, let's agree that there is a strong concensus that man-made global warming is a fact.

But then what? How big of a factor is the man-made part of the green house gas effect compared to natural reasons? Is there concensus on that? No.

And if and when there is concensus on how much man is contributing to the global warming trend we have, then what?

What are the consequences of the warming on the planet and on us? How many degrees will the global average temperature rise in 10, 30 and 50 years? How many meters will the ocean level rise, and in what time, and what will the consequences of that be on the US, the EU, the rest of the rich world, and the developing countries?

You don't have an idea, do you? No one has, and there are no facts about that, and certainly no concensus. But you have tons of all sorts of people almost hysterically crying "Global warming is a threat to mankind! We must act now! We aren't doing enough!" as if they had facts.

Stop this madness.

Looks like some people haven`t watched  YET "Day after tomorrow". =) Of`course the scenario won`t work that fast, that will happen in a years, BUT you have tornados, floods in NA already TODAY, well in next decades everything will be only WORSE.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

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CrazzyMan said:
Slimebeast said:
ChichiriMuyo said:
Astrodust said:
dtekdahl00 said:
Bias exists either way. You're either labled a fool for dissenting the common view, or you're hailed for buying into an ideology thats not scientific

There is no common view when it comes to global warming. It's not an issue like cigarettes cause cancer. The problem is that people are not educated on the issues and form oppinions.

There is a goddamned concensus on the matter. Anyone who says otherwise is an idiot or a liar, and anyone who rejects the idea outright is worse. Global Warming IS real and we DO have to fight it.

You and others who support actions against global warming, have to understand that when people say

"Global warming is a myth!" ,

they shouldn't be taken literally, because what they're trying to express is that there is an agenda exaggerating the size and the risks with man-made global warming.

So, let's agree that there is a strong concensus that man-made global warming is a fact.

But then what? How big of a factor is the man-made part of the green house gas effect compared to natural reasons? Is there concensus on that? No.

And if and when there is concensus on how much man is contributing to the global warming trend we have, then what?

What are the consequences of the warming on the planet and on us? How many degrees will the global average temperature rise in 10, 30 and 50 years? How many meters will the ocean level rise, and in what time, and what will the consequences of that be on the US, the EU, the rest of the rich world, and the developing countries?

You don't have an idea, do you? No one has, and there are no facts about that, and certainly no concensus. But you have tons of all sorts of people almost hysterically crying "Global warming is a threat to mankind! We must act now! We aren't doing enough!" as if they had facts.

Stop this madness.

Looks like some people haven`t watched  YET "Day after tomorrow". =) Of`course the scenario won`t work that fast, that will happen in a years, BUT you have tornados, floods in NA already TODAY, well in next decades everything will be only WORSE.


 

Kevin Trenberth[1], who is listed as a contributing author of the 2007 IPCC climate summary, surprised me, given his belief in anthropogenic global warming (AGW), when he said “climate models are markedly deficient by not adequately representing tropical cyclones.” Sea surface temperatures get too warm in the models due to improper handling of “surface energy exchanges from hurricanes in the global energetics of the climate system”. I’ve posted about several of the problems with the models before but this was confirmation from a major researcher.

In a study on the number of tropical cyclones, Gregg Holland presented his conclusion that there has been a doubling of the number of tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin over the past 100 years and the increase had little to do with natural variability but was caused by a warming climate trend.

Chris Landsea was the very next speaker and said “No”, the increase is due entirely to our increased ability to detect storms that we wouldn’t have even known existed a few decades ago, which is what those of us who have been in this business for quite awhile have believed for some time.

Chris Landsea’s talk at the conference has now been published in EOS, a publication of the American Geophysical Union. ( http://ff.org/centers/csspp/library/co2weekly/20070510/20070510_07.pdf )

 

 



lol CrazzyMan, are you in this thread too? =)))



Oy. I've done a fair amount of research on the subject and came to one conclusion:

No one fucking knows.

We do know that the Earth's temperature is rising. What we don't know is how much of that is from human pollution and there are respected scientists from both sides that disagree completely in this regard. It does put some doubt in your mind about the validity of the alarmists when you understand exactly how much damage a large volcano eruption does in comparison to man's own pollution. On the other hand, there is some evidence that man has contributed in some way to the elevated temperature (still not very high comparitively speaking, though). After all, the Earth spent most of the past 400 years in a mini ice age. Data is far from conclusive when it comes to this matter.

In any case, I think we can all agree on one thing: dedicating money to varied and balanced research in this subject will better mankind in the future, even if the only result is a better understanding of the Earth's natural temperature cycles.

My problem is when research money goes to the alarmist or denial set. They're just going to use the money to fuel their own beliefs.




Or check out my new webcomic: http://selfcentent.com/

Slimebeast said:

You and others who support actions against global warming, have to understand that when people say

"Global warming is a myth!" ,

they shouldn't be taken literally, because what they're trying to express is that there is an agenda exaggerating the size and the risks with man-made global warming.


Well, that's the thing.  No one has ever posted a thread (that I've seen) that says "hey, I think politicians are exaggerating global warming, let's have a discussion about it."  Instead people insist on giving us "the truth" by shoving it down our throats with loaded questions and BS.  I've said already in this thread that I'm a skeptic, but you don't fight BS with BS.

So, let's agree that there is a strong concensus that man-made global warming is a fact.

But then what? How big of a factor is the man-made part of the green house gas effect compared to natural reasons? Is there concensus on that? No.

And if and when there is concensus on how much man is contributing to the global warming trend we have, then what?

What are the consequences of the warming on the planet and on us? How many degrees will the global average temperature rise in 10, 30 and 50 years? How many meters will the ocean level rise, and in what time, and what will the consequences of that be on the US, the EU, the rest of the rich world, and the developing countries?

You don't have an idea, do you? No one has, and there are no facts about that, and certainly no concensus. But you have tons of all sorts of people almost hysterically crying "Global warming is a threat to mankind! We must act now! We aren't doing enough!" as if they had facts.

Stop this madness.

 

You're right, we don't know specific details as to what will happen, how quickly it will happen, exactly how much of it is our fault, etc.  We have a very wide range of predictions which range from "who cares" (sea levels will be a few cm higher) to preposterous (most of Florida will be underwater).  But there are things that we do know, and there are things that we should do.

One of the things we know is that CO2 levels in our atmosphere are higher than they have been in 400,000 years.  For the last several ice age cycles, CO2 levels have been between ~180 ppm (during an ice age) and ~280 ppm (not during an ice age).  And from 1000 AD to 1750 AD, CO2 levels were completely flat, at around 275 ppm.  Since 1750, CO2 levels in the atmosphere have steadily increased, and the rate at which they have increased has steadily increased.  We are now at over 380 ppm, and increasing at the rate of about 20 ppm per decade.

For all the talk about volcanoes, oceans releasing CO2, etc., no one has ever been able to explain that this increase in atmospheric CO2 levels is due to any naturally occurring process or processes.  It is pretty indisputable that human actions have drastically increased the amount of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere.

Now, does that automatically mean it's time to panic?  No, because we don't know for certain what that means.  But when hear people start talking about how humans have not significantly affected the planet, and that any changes that are occurring are natural ones, that's a pretty clear indication to me that they haven't really done their homework on this, and they're just buying into the anti-BS BS.

 

Anyway, it looks like a lot of the crazy in this thread has died down, so if you guys who are still reading are prepared for a real discussion, I'd be pleased to have it.



Entroper said:

if you guys who are still reading are prepared for a real discussion, I'd be pleased to have it.


Or not.