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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict XB1 US Sales! XB1 outselling PS4 OVER 3:1 on Amazon US! Sunset Bundle up 11,000%, 5 XB1 Skus in Top 40 Vs 1 PS4

 

Predict US Sales for Week Ending 8th

0 - 50k BOMBA 117 20.78%
 
51k - 100k 70 12.43%
 
101k - 150k 67 11.90%
 
151k - 200k 62 11.01%
 
201k - 250k 52 9.24%
 
251k - 300k 37 6.57%
 
301k - 350k 22 3.91%
 
351k+ INSANITY 134 23.80%
 
Total:561
binary solo said:
A bit of volatility coming in to Amazon lately. PS4 has gone back into the top 20, SO bundle and vanilla Xb one outside the top 20.

Probably expected to see PS4 climbing as there will be a lot of people buying PS4 for CoD. People shouldn't forget that PS4 will get a boost with CoD, just not as big of a boost. And this is somewhat reflected in the position of the PS4 version of the stand alone game being ahead of the Xb one version. Might make NPD interesting if this software pattern is consistent. We could see PS4 version technically outsell Xb one version on NPD because they don't count official bundles and Xb one is selling a lot of official bundles. But the reality will probably be CoD sales including bundles will be in favour of Xb one.

What's up with Titanfall PC version owning the #1 position for quite a while now?


10 bucks only?



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prinz_valium said:

love this votes here on vgc.

1# 350k+
2#  <50k

no1 is doing serious votes. just fanboy bs votes most of the time


Too true.  I was about to post the same thing.  What makes it worse is the fact that the thread is based on Amazon numbers, and it doesn't take too much ground work to figure out how to put a reasonable prediction together.  Less than 50k is way too low (especially considering this is COD week) and 350k+ is just fantasy. 



TiagoCosta said:
binary solo said:
A bit of volatility coming in to Amazon lately. PS4 has gone back into the top 20, SO bundle and vanilla Xb one outside the top 20.

What's up with Titanfall PC version owning the #1 position for quite a while now?

SO bundle being out of stock of course is gonna keep dropping, ONE only sku is actually still rising since the price drop announcement, it never was that high as it is now.

being sold for 10 dollars, that's why.

It's more that there is a 7 placing gap between Xb one and PS4 at the moment and PS4 is back in the top 20. Pretty sure Xb one was within about 2 or 3 placings at one stage, which was when PS4 was at about position 22 or 23.

What do the hourlies measure? if SO bundle has been sold out for several hours now shouldn't it be gone from the top 100 by now? Or is the hourly best seller list showing sales over a longer time scale than just a moving window of the last few hours? Is it a 24 hr moving window, 48 hr, longer? At least with monthly you know the exact timescale of the sales. I hope the thread will switch to the monhtly list when that finally comes up for November as that gives us a better medium term indication of relative sales. For imstance it will give us a more true indication of the performance of the SO bundle. The bundle burns bright, but it also burns short. So once we get the monthly data coming through it'll be interesting to see its position relative to the CoD and Ass Creed bundles over that longer timescale. And SO bundle relative to PS4, which sells lower on an hourly basis, but as it sells all day every day the cumulative effect should put PS4 ahead of the SO bundle. I expect its limited numbers should mean vanilla Xb one will be ahead of the SO bundle towards the later half of the month.

Ha, didn't notice the price. That'll do it.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

CosmicSex said:
prinz_valium said:

love this votes here on vgc.

1# 350k+
2#  <50k

no1 is doing serious votes. just fanboy bs votes most of the time


Too true.  I was about to post the same thing.  What makes it worse is the fact that the thread is based on Amazon numbers, and it doesn't take too much ground work to figure out how to put a reasonable prediction together.  Less than 50k is way too low (especially considering this is COD week) and 350k+ is just fantasy. 

 Both 350k+ and under 50k are ridiculous numbers, but the under 50k is far more into the fantasy land than 350k+, at least 350k has a tiny chance of happening.



Well at least some fan base will follow the NPD thread this time and the discussion will be more epic, unlike the previous month NPD thread which are full of one fanbase and make it like one sided debate XD hahaha.



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X1 is going to do 500k, mark my words.



P4 will still win NA by a wide margin, if a price cut can only get a 2/1 margin the week off that is not a good sign.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

TheDrill said:
X1 is going to do 500k, mark my words.


Could happen worldwide.

400k in the us

50k euro

50k other

Most likely the xbox one will do 400k that week not 500k



It's a spike from a price drop it will stabilize.... Ps4 still had a good shot at winning Nov when bundles drop. Value for consumers is never a simple as price alone ps4 is a product with more consumer demand.



binary solo said:
TiagoCosta said:
binary solo said:
A bit of volatility coming in to Amazon lately. PS4 has gone back into the top 20, SO bundle and vanilla Xb one outside the top 20.

What's up with Titanfall PC version owning the #1 position for quite a while now?

SO bundle being out of stock of course is gonna keep dropping, ONE only sku is actually still rising since the price drop announcement, it never was that high as it is now.

being sold for 10 dollars, that's why.

It's more that there is a 7 placing gap between Xb one and PS4 at the moment and PS4 is back in the top 20. Pretty sure Xb one was within about 2 or 3 placings at one stage, which was when PS4 was at about position 22 or 23.

What do the hourlies measure? if SO bundle has been sold out for several hours now shouldn't it be gone from the top 100 by now? Or is the hourly best seller list showing sales over a longer time scale than just a moving window of the last few hours? Is it a 24 hr moving window, 48 hr, longer? At least with monthly you know the exact timescale of the sales. I hope the thread will switch to the monhtly list when that finally comes up for November as that gives us a better medium term indication of relative sales. For imstance it will give us a more true indication of the performance of the SO bundle. The bundle burns bright, but it also burns short. So once we get the monthly data coming through it'll be interesting to see its position relative to the CoD and Ass Creed bundles over that longer timescale. And SO bundle relative to PS4, which sells lower on an hourly basis, but as it sells all day every day the cumulative effect should put PS4 ahead of the SO bundle. I expect its limited numbers should mean vanilla Xb one will be ahead of the SO bundle towards the later half of the month.

Ha, didn't notice the price. That'll do it.

You have pretty much summed up and explained what most rational posters have been trying to explain for days. The SO bundle has literally 3 units avilable from a 3rd part seller at the time of my post going for almost $100 above retail value yet it is still "in the top 40"

People seem to think this is a real time sales per hour of the quantity for an entire year condensed to an average of each hour....constantly flowing. The daily updates for the year so far of 2014 have shown us that the Xbox One SKU at 98 has not even sold enough during this spike to even move from 98th position for the year ahead of Command and Conquer Ulimate Edition that is nearly 3 years old.....not aggregate sales but just in 2014.

Movement on the 2014 yearly sellers list will point toward sustained and substantial sales whereas this revolving hourly door does absolutely nothing to project sales. But in an age where many feel compelled to tweet about what ingredients they are puttig in their salad for lunch and people then feel compelled to validate those ingredients with immediate approval we find ourselves in this predicament.