I love this twist from prof, it throws a very interesting wrinkle into the game. It narrows the list down to people that maybe I wouldn't have as first choice for a vote, but it will be interesting to see how people react to such a small field of suspects.
A lot have been said about the people in the arena, I've tried to re-read them all and I'm not sure I have gotten any closer.
First of all, in going over WhiteEagle again and his peculiar play I don't think he is scum. Or, I don't have a good scum read on him I should say. I think his whole misstep with Cone was just that. I know some people tried to read it as him trying to pin down Cone for a possible counter claim, but I don't think that is the case either. When I went through the whole thing again just now, I get the feeling he was just confused and didn't realize how badly he was playing. Anyway, of the four people, he is the one I see least reason to lynch because of the inherent risk.
So, on to padib. He is a difficult read for me. He starts out the game with some light hearted joke posts and engaging in the Smeagness of the first few days, and his first real interaction is to cast a vote on WhiteEagle for his play. Back when this happened I was very suspicious of what White was doing as well, so I didn't find that too peculiar at the time. In re-reading I am starting to see more why Radish felt it was jumping on a case. That said, the whole case Radish tried to build against padib based on that first vote seemed pretty forced. At best it looks like a Day 1 attempt to shake something lose, at worst it looks like a chainsaw defense of White. In fact, the best scum read I have on White so far is how Radish jumped to his defense. Padib makes the same observation (http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6723140) but it's hard for me to take that whole exchange as anything other than Day 1 mud flinging. All in all, a null read on padib for me.
Spurge next. Well, no one can say he doesn't play the same way as he usually does. Spurge is one of my favorite posters on this board for his randomness and unpredictability. It's great in all threads except in mafia. Trying to read him is frustrating because he's style is so unfocused. I honestly don't know what to believe. The whole thing about Master Hand being a mafia role used to force a vote on town seems pretty far fetched. I guess it's technically possible that the game has so many town power roles that prof has gifted scum a mis lynch, but it seems highly unlikely. Then we have the fact that he seems to not pay any attention to the thread. He (appears) to bit on Noctis' three vote trap, and more weird follows Smeags' obvious joke about Hylian being in the group of four and seems oblivious to the fact that he is not an alternative. He seems like he is playing with total abandon, he says he barely is playing anyway and I guess coming in as a replacement he might be less than fully committed, but still. Usually I think not payin much attention to the thread is a possible scum tell, but with this guy, who knows? If I was forced right now to decide scum or town I'd lean scum, but I am not very confident in that read.
Finally, Mr Khan. Not a ton of activity, but these are the things I have noticed about his play: He tried to call out town for being too inactive, but didn't do anything to drive activity himself. Only play was to vote Astro with little reasoning, basically piggy backing my observations about how Astro was playing. Other than that it was very slim picking up until today. He did defend White's terrible play concerning Cones role with some pretty weird reasoning (http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6721554). Seems like he was content to let people dig for one of the most important power roles. Then of course, perhaps the weirdest moment of the game, when he called Astro's post about spurge being town and Hylian's case against him for the best reasoning in the game so far. My notes next to that link simply says "What the hell??". When I go through what I have for him, it's basically null reads and scum reads, I see almost now town play from him.
I am not going to vote right now, but I am leaning Khan. I don't want to place the vote without having the votals in front of me, and I don;t want to set up a situation where Nickles gets the immunity he is pining for without giving town a proper chance to discuss how we want to handle that situation first.