padib said:
RCT
prof buddies up with RCT
I like the links you brought up here. I have a question for you. Do you think that prof as mafia would want to obviously buddy up with a mafia partner in the game thread? Usually, the accusation towards a more advanced mafia is distancing. Do you think that prof, knowing we may accuse him of distancing, would buddy up with his mafia ally (e.g. WIFOM) by reverse psychology?
RCT slows prof from making damage
This is a very interesting observation. Do you think that a concerned townie would try to stop prof in his tracks? If that's true, then why are we all sharing our reads? I think you might be on to something. There is no reason why a concerned townie would want another townie to withhold their reads.
RCT's inactivity
You mention that not all inactivity is the same, I agree with you. In this case though, RCT is neither a mod, nor do his posts contain much consistency on a ratio count with his total posts. Coupled with his suspicious behavior, what do you think of an RCT vote?
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This is all very useful. Do you think you could help me out? While my initial beliefs about prof were probably more emotionally based, I do believe there is genuine reason to suspect him. My reasoning is that his activity seems coordinated, but not too coordinated. Like they're acting together, but also trying to distance, but not make their distancing too obvious. Specifically, I've already called out Sparks individually on this, as well as prof, and neither have responded, instead dodging my question over and over again. Prof made a quick comment that he thinks Sparks is buddying up to him. Why would he make a statement like that? It seems like distancing, as it would be unnecessary for a town person to call that out. But at the same time, it was a sly distancing. Prof is very thorough, so it seems odd to me that after a quick comment about a suspicion he just drops it. Sparks definitely seems like he's buddying up to prof though, so if anything, Sparks might be more suspicious, trying to hide behind prof.
RCT seems like a maybe for being with prof, as Nickles and you have pointed out. Their interactions play out like a mix of half-hearted distancing, but not. You start with RCT voting prof for no reason, then with very little pressure from prof, RCT changes to what prof is voting for, while also saying they're "not on good terms", and yet he later plays the part of a concerned townie. There's a mix of distancing and buddying, and the distancing seems...calculated.
I'd also like to point out that my beliefs are based on two assumptions. The first is that mafia have day talk. You said yourself that this is common, and at the very least we can't rule it out. If there was no daytalk, would mafia even know who was on their team at this point? If not, then coordinated play only makes sense if there's daytalk.
The second assumption is something I'd really like to get a veteran player's opinion on, and it's that there are two mafia factions. To quote the sign-up thread:
Goals
- The Townsfolk win when all the Mafia are dead.
- The Mafia win when they outnumber (or equal) the Townsfolk and the other faction of Mafia is dead.
If there were a chance of there not being mafia, it would say "any other factions of Mafia are dead." I doubt it's just a generic set of rules that gets copy-pasted every time, because if it was, the language would be written to accomodate any game, not specific rules that could change.
The importance of this second assumption is that one thing people have said in defense of prof is that he's trying too hard to find mafia, and only a town would try that hard, but if there are multiple teams of mafia, then helping town find members of the other faction would be useful, no? Prof and his team accomplish two things here. First, they make themselves look like town, second, they get work done on defeating the other faction. Now I realize some will argue that there might not be two factions, but the language is exact. It suggests precisely two factions. Even if it somehow doesn't mean there's another faction, we can't rule out the possibility that there are two. This doesn't have much consequence for us as town, but it does somewhat. The first thing to consider is that mafia may be making genuine contributions that are actually intended to help the town. The second thing to consider is how big these factions are. How many mafia players are there usually? I honestly don't know. Can't be that many though, or the town would stand no chance. Perhaps 6 altogether? Two teams of three, while the town gets 9? This seems fair, as the sign-up thread also said "Every player will therefore have a special role; no one will be a vanilla Townie." So as long as the town has enough sufficiently powerful roles, a 1.5:1 ratio for town to mafia seems fair, no? Especially since the mafia are split in two, so it's actually 3:1:1.
So could prof, Sparks, and RCT be one of the teams? At this point, my vote is on prof, but I could be convinced to go for one of the people I suspect is on his team. I know I'm being accused of tunnel vision here, but I feel like I have a good case for prof, and I don't feel like I have anything substantial for anyone else, aside from RTC, who as has been pointed out has little excuse for his inactivity, so his seeming coordinated with prof is just icing on the cake, and also Sparks, who is either with prof or hiding behind prof.