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Forums - Gaming - crazy prediction: PS4 will outsell PS2 lifetime

It isn't doing better than the Wii did at all. The Wii was supply constrained the entire first several years of its release. Sony stockpiled the PS4 for longer than Nintendo did the Wii and had a larger launch. That's why the earlier months of sales were inflated. After that the sales actually dropped down as low as around 100 000 a week which is pitiful considering the Wii held up at around the 150-200 000 mark. Watch Dogs is the only reason the sales have peaked again. It only brought it back up to a decent number.

Then there's Japan which doesn't even seem to care. Sony has lost a whole market. That alone drops the sales down massively.

PS4 has nothing that can even get the casuals interested in their system right now. Thats like 3/4ths of the PS2/Wii Market that you are talking about. Even for school children I have doubts that the PS4 will prevail all that heavily. If the last 2 gens have taught us anything, its that video games are becoming ridiculously violent. Parents don't like that, and they know the PS4 is pretty much supported by that violence.

In short, Sony doesn't have what it takes to capture a large market like they've found in previous generations. Graphics are nice, but they are killing the mass market.



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very unlikely.

People talk about bold predictions but usually they're not.

This is a bold prediction.



ps4 will sell more than ps2, I agree.



I doubt it, after all the consoles were announced it seemed pretty clear this was a transitional generation. There was nothing transformative about the consoles that could propel them to that degree of sales. Ps4 will sell the most, but it will probably end 40-50million shy of the ps4.



Richard_Feynman said:
very unlikely.

People talk about bold predictions but usually they're not.

This is a bold prediction.


Agreed and this is his first one too! He's either bold or a controversial figure



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I agree. I also think the Wii U is going to outsell the Wii, the 3DS outsell the DS, and the Vita, in turn, outsell the 3DS.



bubblegamer said:
Richard_Feynman said:
very unlikely.

People talk about bold predictions but usually they're not.

This is a bold prediction.


Agreed and this is his first one too! He's either bold or a controversial figure

or simply foolish

:P



possible..... but most likely won't



1doesnotsimply

I have a feeling the PS4 will be heavily front loaded in its first 3 or 4 years before tapering off. There was a 7 year gap between PS4 and PS3 launches a lot longer than the 5 or 6 year gaps between PS1 to PS2 and PS2 to PS3.



I think Wii sold much better than PS4



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