alrightiwill said: I will adamantly defend the drill here. Firstly, I am a Sony fan, owning their consoles primarily in case people think I'm ignoring facts instead of realizing the obvious. He clearly states in his OP that "Now that the price cut has been announced" so this obviously implies that data taken before the price cut should be ignored. So the gap that he implies in the beginning of the OP is irrelevant to prediction. Furthermore, he made a prediction that clearly is region specific so he obviously realizes PS dominance globally. Do I think he's wrong? Yes, I do. I think PS4 will win in NA as well as worldwide. But that is opinion, not fact yet. The difference stands at almost 3/4 of a million(a figure that is mostly negligible to the OP prediction as the starting figure should be to date of XBO price cut). While it's unlikely XBO will sell this amount in excess of PS4 it is still not yet beyond the realms of possibility. BUT I want the fact to remain, that while the OP was incorrect in the percentage gap of the two consoles at this this time. it should only be now taken into account that the PS4 is outselling the XBO. But to make people not think I'm an XBO die-hard, I would like to know from TheDrill at what point would you consider it impossible for the XBO to outsell PS4 lifetime in NA? P.S. This is still the best thread on the forum, by far :D |
To be fair, I think that at this point a lot of the flak he's getting isn't simply because of the prediction, but his methods. He's inconsistent, uses one explanation to defend one viewpoint, and then sometimes a self-annulling explanation to defend another, without admitting the inconsistency. ("My proof is the VGChartz numbers!" turned to "Well, it's because they CHANGE the VGChartz numbers.") Finally, he seems to pretty much ignore anyone who asks him a question he can't come up with an answer for, even when the individual asking is being perfectly polite and reasonable. So there are great, big, gaping holes in his theory that don't get filled, because he doesn't even try to fill them, and then has the nerve to accuse others of not providing evidence.
Holes such as the gap between numbers of units actually being nearly twice what his OP said, or there actually being (starting with July's NPD,) only about six months remaining to fulfill his prediction, not the eight he originally cited as an example. Holes such as not mentioning that, using the sales gap with the PS4 in June as an example, they'd have to first catch up to Sony, before outselling it by an average of around 25k every single week, bringing the total weekly increase to 32.5k units a week, (very roughly estimated) not the 10k boost he originally theorized. (Which, of course, only works if we assume that Sony's weekly sale rate never increases, or the Xbox One's numbers don't decrease at all for the next half-year, or basically that the gap between them doesn't grow even wider before it starts getting smaller.)
(For the record, I do know that you're on my side, so to speak. ;P I just haven't bothered mentioning this to him because he's ignored every other thing I've pointed out in this thread. Maybe you'll acknowledge me! D: )
P.S. This is my favorite thread too. :3
Zanten, Doer Of The Things
Unless He Forgets In Which Case Zanten, Forgetter Of The Things
Or He Procrascinates, In Which Case Zanten, Doer Of The Things Later
Or It Involves Moving Furniture, in Which Case Zanten, F*** You.