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Forums - Sales - NPD April 2014 Prediction Thread

OttoniBastos on 14 May 2014
RolStoppable said:
GribbleGrunger said:
Why was ethomaz banned again?

Nobody understood what he was saying, but based on his track record it was assumed that it was highly offensive. Therefore a ban was in order.


Was he speaking portuguese? do you remember what thread?



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kirby007 on 14 May 2014
RolStoppable said:
OttoniBastos said:

Was he speaking portuguese? do you remember what thread?

English, sort of:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6285542

generalising an other fanbase, implying a certain user and making fun of that user



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

GribbleGrunger on 14 May 2014
kirby007 said:

^ good idea

 

  PS4 XO WiiU 3DS PSV
av. Prediction 229,75 177,43 52,73 120,66 8,92

I'm really crap at maths so how do you take an average? Do you add all the guesses together and devide it by the number of people who contributed? I know there are other ways but that sounds about right to me.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


kirby007 on 14 May 2014
GribbleGrunger said:
kirby007 said:

^ good idea

 

  PS4 XO WiiU 3DS PSV
av. Prediction 229,75 177,43 52,73 120,66 8,92

I'm really crap at maths so how do you take an average? Do you add all the guesses together and devide it by the number of people who contributed? I know there are other ways but that sounds about right to me.

just like this (1+2+1+3)/4



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Kasz216 on 14 May 2014
GribbleGrunger said:
kirby007 said:

^ good idea

 

  PS4 XO WiiU 3DS PSV
av. Prediction 229,75 177,43 52,73 120,66 8,92

I'm really crap at maths so how do you take an average? Do you add all the guesses together and devide it by the number of people who contributed? I know there are other ways but that sounds about right to me.


Yeah.  That's an average or Mean.

 

You could also do a Median, which would be the "Middle" prediction, or an average of the two "middle" predictions if the number of guessers is even.   Which would be helpful to detect where biases lie for the console base.  (among the predictors)

While it's done to weaken the power of outsiders, and make a more "accurate" average in most cases... this may not prove to be the case in predictions by random forum people.

 

You could do a Mode... Which is just the most guessed... nobody uses modes.

 

I'd say do both a Mean and a Median.  Median is easy.



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GribbleGrunger on 14 May 2014

Interesting stuff guys, thanks.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Burek on 14 May 2014
RolStoppable said:
OttoniBastos said:

Was he speaking portuguese? do you remember what thread?

English, sort of:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6285542


Either he was drunk, or his somebody shuffled letters on his keyboard.

There is no third option here.



kirby007 on 14 May 2014

 

I'm not sure how i can export excel, to make it look as fancy as Ethos orginal tables

PS4 XO WiiU 3DS PSV
av. ( mean ) Prediction 229,750 177,432 52,727 120,659 8,920
median prediction 223,000 172,000 51,500 122,500 9,000
VGC data 212,096 217,589 47,488 119,693 9,344


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

GribbleGrunger on 14 May 2014
kirby007 said:

 

I'm not sure how i can export excel, to make it look as fancy as Ethos orginal tables

  PS4 XO WiiU 3DS PSV
av. ( mean ) Prediction 229,750 177,432 52,727 120,659 8,920
median prediction 223,000 172,000 51,500 122,500 9,000
VGC data 212,096 217,589 47,488 119,693 9,344

Looks good to me.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


kirby007 on 14 May 2014
Burek said:
RolStoppable said:
OttoniBastos said:

Was he speaking portuguese? do you remember what thread?

English, sort of:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6285542


Either he was drunk, or his somebody shuffled letters on his keyboard.

There is no third option here.

With Etho being an oldtimer i'd put my money on being drunk, back in 08 like ( pulling the next number out of my ass ) 85% of the threads and post not related to sales were posted drunk



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.