Fractal of Time said: No this generation is different than last generation. |
No, Price and value are seperate. The Price HAS to be below $300 for a casual consumer. It really should be below $200 (that's when 80% of PS2s were purchased). Value is determined by the amount of games for the price, and the Wii certainly already has "amount of games per price." It' just doesn't have the most games yet, but it's gaining on that fast. Popularity is a self feeding entity. Once something becomes popular it only exapnds on that. Like the PSone, the PS2, the iPod... it only takes a start, then positive media and word of mouth run your marketing campaign for you. There is a reason that the fastest selling console always wins the system war.
If you can site a time when this doesn't matter, please do. The thing is that this generation really isn't different from the last generation as much as people like to think, at least in sales. The Wii is selling about 15% better than the PS2, the Xbox 360 about 5% better than the Xbox, and the PS3 about 20% less than the Gamecube. All we are seeing here is role reversal. It's a simple shift of the casual audience. The casuals aren't going to WAIT for a price cut on the PS3 or 360. They don't wait for anything, they buy whatever is interesting to them, whatever has the hype, and whatever has the most games. Again, all this really boils down to is the Wii. It fits all the buying requirements of the casual gamer. There aren't tech heads among casuals. There aren't people who care about Blu-ray, or HD-DVD, or even HD in general. They only buy on those 3 things: Price, Amount of Games, Popularity.
Obviously price has a range that casuals will buy it. The GC for example was 50 bucks cheaper than the PS2 when the PS2 hit that magic $200 number, but the PS2 was already the more popular choice and already had more games. So any system under that $200 price point can hit mass market casual appeal. The problem is that the 360 premium won't hit that for at least 2 years, and the PS3 will never hit that. The Wii is selling like crazy BEFORE even dropping down to that casual purchase value. The console wars are based off momentum. All it takes is one good kick start, a reasonable price, and lots of games and you have it won. The DS to the PSP is another perfect example of this.
Please understand, I am in no way insulting either the PS3 or the 360. I like both systems, and will own both of them, but as far as this individual system war goes, the Wii has very little chance of losing the momentum it has established and even less chance of losing the generation.