As YOY sales of the Playstation Vita begin to drop  into unforseen levels and with the absolute lack or interest for that matter of Sony themselves in developing any significant software for the platform, the question now to be asked is "will PS Vita manage to pass ltd numbers of the Sega Gamegear"? 

At first this could have been taken as a joke, but with the lack of dedication from strong first party titles, and for the most part 3rd party nowhere to be seen(in the West for the most part), will indies alone help the Vita pass this milestone or will it fall short?

If Vita continues the trend of 70% sell through for each following year:

January 5th 2013 Vita had 4.3 mill in sales.

January 4th 2014 Vita had 7.2 mill in sales.

January 3rd 2015 9.5 mill sold (at current drop rate)

Januray 2nd 2016 10.97 mill sold (at current drop rate) 

The question obviously will be whether Sony will discontinue the Vita prior to January of 2016 (if it continues to sell at this rate) therefore causing the Vita to rank lower in sales than the GameGear. Thoughts?

According to Wikipedia GameGear LTD 11 Million http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamegear

Yes.

If you're asking us if the Vita will outsell the GameGear, it might be a good idea to include lifetime sales numbers for the GameGear.

Sorry, I had it linked but I made a mistake, clicked "Undo" and didn't notice it took the link and last sentence out.

According to VGC numbers GG sold 10.62 million. If you think the Vita will sell 10.97 million, it will (just) beat the GG!

Given that the console has sold > 3m per year for both of the years since its global release and you're asking whether it can sell ~ 3.4m in however many years of life it has left, then yes - I do think it will beat the GameGear's LTD.

As we're seeing, most of those figures aren't going to come from the USA though.

PLaystation Vita will be up this year and has finally started tracking ground in Europe and Japan, it Will easily beat the Sega Gamegear and most likely double the sales.

Ok 11 million. Yes, I think the Vita will outsell the GG. PS4 sales will help the Vita, how long until a PS4/Vita bundle?

Please enlighten!

What compelling software does the Vita have coming this year that will cause it to break the trend of 70% sell through declineYOY and double in sales as you've predicted? In my opinion 2012/2013 lineup (although sparse) seemed more attractive as a gamer and yet sales have declined.