JoeTheBro said:
Normchacho said:
JoeTheBro said:
I switched my sig around to the way VGCHARTZ is tracking it. It looks like I could be right going that way.
Once all the data's in I'll decide how to deal with this. Bananaman will get the final say in our personal bet, so I might end up winning one and losing the other. Dang nabbit I should have been more clear when I made my prediction.
It's hard because when I made the prediction I was going purely off of vgchartz's monthly data so that's what I should use, but it's problematic because at the time I assumed it matched up week to week with 5 weeks for the month. Maybe I'll just flip a coin. |
I don't understand? Your numbers seem to put you within a shot of being right. Is it because of the mixup with the weeks?
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The Wii U number is from the week ending the 5th in January to the week ending the 2nd in February. Pushing that over to match this year is what's causing the conflict. The straightforward method is using the XBONE numbers the week ending the 4th of January to the week ending the 1st of February. Going by VGCHARTZ however this year January is only the week ending the 11th of January to the week ending the 1st of February. The problem with that is it's only four weeks verses the Wii U's five weeks, so it's not too fair. To make up for that in my sig I'm including the first week of February.
TLDR: Last January was 5 weeks while this January is only 4 weeks. If I add on the last week of December sales to XBONE my prediction is wrong. If I add on the first week of February my prediction can go either way. If I don't add on a week my prediction is right. What do I do?
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In my opinion there are a few ways you could look at it.
1. You said January vs. January, not first 5 weeks vs. first 5 weeks. So take 4 weeks for this year next to 5 weeks last year. Not really a 1-1 comparison but it does fit into what the prediction was.
2. Add the last week of december. This will include holiday blowover which will inflate the xbox Ones numbers beyond what they really are but you do get all of January in the picture.
3. Add the first week of February. The sales of the first week of February will be the fairest comparison because that means you have the first 5 full weeks of 2014 for both consoles, making it the most comparable data. But, as I said earlier you said January vs. January, not 5 weeks vs. 5 weeks.
Any will do. Personally the think from a purely mathmatical standpoint adding the first week of February gives you the best data so that's the one I'd go with. But that's just me.
