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Forums - Sales Discussion - How well did you do in the first prediction league?

Katilian on 09 February 2008
Wager
$725.00
Closeness 68.75%
Return $991.03
Earnings$266.03
Equal Allocation Return$996.85
Allocation Effectiveness0.99
Earnings Ratio 0.367


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jlauro on 09 February 2008

Assuming the spreadsheet is right, it looks like I gained $0.31...

I think the huge amount in brawl caused some of the other games to have a huger effect downward in sales than I expected this week.


Total/Average $225.00 52.29% $225.31 $0.31
Equal Allocation Return $235.30
Allocation Effectiveness 0.96
Earnings Ratio 0.001364917



Griffin on 09 February 2008

I don't have office so it won't work for me :'(



jlauro on 09 February 2008
Griffin said:
I don't have office so it won't work for me :'(
 Assuming you have a computer (Windows, Mac, or Linux), you can get openoffice from openoffice.org for free instead of Microsoft Office...

FJ-Warez on 09 February 2008

 

   Wager Accuracy Return/EarningS
Total/Average
$120.00
59.53%
$129.89/$9.89
Equal Allocation Return   $142.87
Allocation Effectiveness   0.91
Earnings Ratio   0.08


By me:

Made with Blender + LuxRender
"Since you can´t understand ... there is no point to taking you seriously."
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TWRoO on 09 February 2008

Considering I didn't realise we had to bet on all hte games (I left them blank except for Brawl and Wii Fit) I think I lost most of my money, but I did only bet the miinimum anyway.



kanchu on 09 February 2008

 

These are my earnings

 

 

Game

 Prediction Wager Actual Accuracy Closeness Return Earnings
Brawl 460000 175 842536 54.60% 54.60% $191.09 $16.09
DMC4 PS3 45000 50 208837 21.55% 21.55% $21.55 ($28.45)
Wii Fit 120000 100 70594 169.99% 30.01% $60.03 ($39.97)
Disgaea 3 0 5 58013 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
DMC4 360 30000 50 42917 69.90% 69.90% $69.90 $19.90
Wii Sports 80000 100 23702 337.52% 0.00% $0.00 ($100.00)
Mario and Sonic 0 5 34431 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Mario Party DS 0 5 20397 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Wii Play 0 5 11670 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Monster Hunter 0 5 17188 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Wii 160000 100 97723 163.73% 36.27% $72.54 ($27.46)
DS 85000 100 69511 122.28% 77.72% $155.43 $55.43
PS3 40000 100 39676 100.82% 99.18% $198.37 $98.37
PSP 65000 100 69655 93.32% 93.32% $186.63 $86.63
Xbox 360 5500 100 6108 90.05% 90.05% $180.09 $80.09
               
Total/Average   $1,000.00     38.17% $1,135.64 $135.64
Equal Allocation Return           $763.46  
Allocation Effectiveness           1.49  
Earnings Ratio             0.135638591

 

I am off on the bets by a large margin, but according to Entroper's  sheet it says i have earned $135 profit on my $1000 investment.



I am a PC gamer.

Stever89 on 09 February 2008
kanchu said:

 

These are my earnings

 

 

Game

 Prediction Wager Actual Accuracy Closeness Return Earnings
Brawl 460000 175 842536 54.60% 54.60% $191.09 $16.09
DMC4 PS3 45000 50 208837 21.55% 21.55% $21.55 ($28.45)
Wii Fit 120000 100 70594 169.99% 30.01% $60.03 ($39.97)
Disgaea 3 0 5 58013 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
DMC4 360 30000 50 42917 69.90% 69.90% $69.90 $19.90
Wii Sports 80000 100 23702 337.52% 0.00% $0.00 ($100.00)
Mario and Sonic 0 5 34431 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Mario Party DS 0 5 20397 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Wii Play 0 5 11670 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Monster Hunter 0 5 17188 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Wii 160000 100 97723 163.73% 36.27% $72.54 ($27.46)
DS 85000 100 69511 122.28% 77.72% $155.43 $55.43
PS3 40000 100 39676 100.82% 99.18% $198.37 $98.37
PSP 65000 100 69655 93.32% 93.32% $186.63 $86.63
Xbox 360 5500 100 6108 90.05% 90.05% $180.09 $80.09
               
Total/Average   $1,000.00     38.17% $1,135.64 $135.64
Equal Allocation Return           $763.46  
Allocation Effectiveness           1.49  
Earnings Ratio             0.135638591

 

I am off on the bets by a large margin, but according to Entroper's sheet it says i have earned $135 profit on my $1000 investment.


 You did really well! I only made $16. On $280 investment. Basically, the Wii titles killed me, WiiFit, WiiSports, WiiPlay were all REALLY low compared to what I thought. Oh well.



LISMDK on 09 February 2008

I bet $75 and made $9.



Gamertag: KillswitchTris PSN ID: KsET665 Wii Friend Code: 8415 6393 6330 0940 (PM me if you add me)
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kanchu on 09 February 2008
Stever89 said:
kanchu said:

 

These are my earnings

 

 

Game

 Prediction Wager Actual Accuracy Closeness Return Earnings
Brawl 460000 175 842536 54.60% 54.60% $191.09 $16.09
DMC4 PS3 45000 50 208837 21.55% 21.55% $21.55 ($28.45)
Wii Fit 120000 100 70594 169.99% 30.01% $60.03 ($39.97)
Disgaea 3 0 5 58013 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
DMC4 360 30000 50 42917 69.90% 69.90% $69.90 $19.90
Wii Sports 80000 100 23702 337.52% 0.00% $0.00 ($100.00)
Mario and Sonic 0 5 34431 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Mario Party DS 0 5 20397 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Wii Play 0 5 11670 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Monster Hunter 0 5 17188 0.00% 0.00% $0.00 ($5.00)
Wii 160000 100 97723 163.73% 36.27% $72.54 ($27.46)
DS 85000 100 69511 122.28% 77.72% $155.43 $55.43
PS3 40000 100 39676 100.82% 99.18% $198.37 $98.37
PSP 65000 100 69655 93.32% 93.32% $186.63 $86.63
Xbox 360 5500 100 6108 90.05% 90.05% $180.09 $80.09
               
Total/Average   $1,000.00     38.17% $1,135.64 $135.64
Equal Allocation Return           $763.46  
Allocation Effectiveness           1.49  
Earnings Ratio             0.135638591

 

I am off on the bets by a large margin, but according to Entroper's sheet it says i have earned $135 profit on my $1000 investment.


 You did really well! I only made $16. On $280 investment. Basically, the Wii titles killed me, WiiFit, WiiSports, WiiPlay were all REALLY low compared to what I thought. Oh well.


 I too overestimated all the Wii related stuff (thought the release of Brawl will give a nice bump to other games). And underestimated DMC4 sales.



I am a PC gamer.