This is weird...
The industry is young, and there's lots of mysteries surrounding it. Hope I make it out of this in one piece.
This is weird...
The industry is young, and there's lots of mysteries surrounding it. Hope I make it out of this in one piece.
Kaizar said: I can see the 3DS lifetime sales being 240 million. But with Wii U I don't see any higher then maybe 210 to 230 million. I say the Wii U will at least get more then 120 million in life time sales.
I wouldn't be surprise to see Wii U get 150 to around 200 million.
But 240 million for the Wii U seems to be pushing it, since it's just a 6 year Home Console, if it had 1 to 2 more years before the next Nintendo Home Console, I would say realistic. |
The entire gaming market is about 200 million users, so you are expecting absolutely everyone to buy 1.1 consoles on average? I don't know how anyone can seriously think that a single console will sell more than 150 million units in the next generation...
johnlucas said:
Also keep your eye on Japan. |
You KNEW this bundle would hit Japan, didn't you:D
DM235 said:
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The competition won't last an entire generation, they are finally running out of funds or patience to waste.
Also, you say that like the market hasn't grown incredibly and is suddenly going to stop growing. JL and I have different opinions on the phone market, I don't think it's going to crash, it's just going to grow to numbers in the billions, seeing as the technology is becoming cheaper and phones are seen as a basic human right in many places, that's not too farfetched. Phones are a gateway gaming device in my eyes, before we had around 60 million consumers, now it's around 200 Million.
Even now, 200 Million is a small number, considering the population. He's saying 3% of the population will buy it, considering the above, and the fact that this generation is estimated to last longer than a decade, that's very possible.
Btw, on the hilarious notion that smartphone gaming will make other devices go away because it's got a bigger market, and more people are playing on that than dedicated systems by the number, that just supports what I said. It's a gateway gaming device that everyone has access to, of course it's going to be bigger, one thing not taken into account, is the fact that the numbers for other devices are still growing, not shrinking. Sure, more people play on their iDevices than a 3DS, but those numbers don't mention that the 3DS is still doing incredibly well at 30 Million+ units sold without Pokemon even being out, or that there's 250 Million home console sales and growing.
Dedicated gaming isn't going anywhere, it's going to continue to get bigger. Going into the next decade doing less than 100 Million could be considered bad, or even a failure. Don't forget, China's doors just opened up a few months ago, a whole new market is now available, and is primarily Nintendo's domain, with no need to censor or worry about games being banned.
nin10do said:
The competition won't last an entire generation, they are finally running out of funds or patience to waste. |
Phone gaming needs to do something about their business model thats for sure.
Otherwise more of this will happen www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2013-09-24-game-devs-ditching-mobile-in-favor-of-pc-console
Along with this http://www.nintendolife.com/news/2013/09/developer_interview_xander_davis_on_astrogun_indie_potential_and_the_wii_u
Get working on that presentation of yours, we want to see it
It's to be the last major post, can't rush that when info is still coming in.