Has anybody else noticed this? SNES gave Genesis/Turbo-Grafx a 2 year head start, N64 gave PS1/Saturn 1 1/2 year head start, GC released 1 year after PS2 and 2 after DC, Wii 1 year after 360.
SNES dominated Japan but they could have beneffited alot by releaaing it holiday 1990 in NA. Super Mario World being a launch title could have overshadowed Sonic which didnt come til June 91 which at the same time would have affected Genesis as a whole and possibly given SNES the lead much sooner.
N64 hardware was ready in 95 but the software wasnt, just for the sake of argument lets assume thanks not the case. Saturn stumbled out of the gate and PS1 was still unproven. There first full would see both N64 and PS1 build solid libraries with Mario 64/Mario Kart/Shadow of the Empire/Turok/Killer Instinct vs Crash/Twisted Metal/Tomb Raider/Resident Evil/Tekken but I see N64 selling better initially due to the more established franchises. 1997 would be an interesting year with Final Fantasy 7 vs Ocarina of Time. Overall in NA I imagine N64 selling better initially but PS1 eventually surpassing it, sales about N64 25-30m, PS1 30-35m. PS1 would have won Europe handily since it was the only console heavily marketed there and dominated Japan due to Final Fantasy/Dragon Quest.
If SNES outsold Genesis in NA from the get go and Saturn doing even worae due to a second strong competitor coming earlier, I xould imagine Dreamcast never being made. GC launching holiday 2000 with a few late N64 games like Majoras Mask and Perfect Dark being switched to launch GC games could have greatly helped it sell. Majoras Mask would have given fans the realistic Zelda they wanted and Perfect Dark could have given it alot of the shooter crowd that Xbox got due to Halo. By the time Xbox came out PS2 would have already had games like FFX/MGS2/GTA3/DMC with GC having Zelda/Perfect Dark/Smash Bros/Pikmin/Luigis Mansion. Both those consoles having established userbases and high quality ezclusives could very well made Xbox a failure and decide not to continue the console business. Overall sales could be about PS2 120-140 million, GC 40-50m, and Xbox 10-15m.
With Sega and Microsoft out of the hardware business it would still be just Sony and Nintendo. Had all those previous things happened its likely Nintendo wouldnt have gone the Wii route and istead released a console in 2005 thats right in between Wii and 360 power wise for $300-350. Having a head start and major price advantage would have kept Nintendo in the lead for the the firat part of the generation. Both consolea selling 80-120m.
I know its impossible to tell how things would have gone but I find it interesting thinking about gow Nintendo would do without giving up 1-2 year leads almost every generation.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.










