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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

SnakeDrake said:
gundam 40-50%

Seems kind of low especially since this is a bundle.

Wait till One Piece: Red comes out. That'll have a lower-sellthrough and with 2 bundles.



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So, i'm training myself in Oracle forms and reports and I decided to start a prediction table for God Eater 2 and vita hardware sales that week. I took the liberty of taking some of the posts I saw earlier :p . make your predictions (please ^^) and i'll update the report.



^its going to be hard since i dont know anything about the psvita tv reception in japan only thats its positive but not by how much.



 

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Kresnik said:

[WII] Super Mario Galaxy - between 43pt and 60pt (Comgnet didn't update for 5 days)
[WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 - 75pt
[3DS] Super Mario 3D Land - 78pt
[3DS] Luigi's Mansion 2 - 45pt
[WIIU] Pikmin 3 - 24pt
[WIIU] Super Mario 3D World - 17pt/less than 17pt

Wow, for games that all had over 250k openings in Japan (except for Pikmin), those sure don't get a lot of pre-orders at COMG.



SnakeDrake said:
^its going to be hard since i dont know anything about the psvita tv reception in japan only thats its positive but not by how much.

well yeah, nobody knows how well Vita Tv is going to sell ^^. u just made a random prediction lol



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pezus said:
the_dengle said:

Wow, for games that all had over 250k openings in Japan (except for Pikmin), those sure don't get a lot of pre-orders at COMG.

Mario games usually get a lot of pre-orders in a short amount of time.

Either way, this doesn't seem like such a big deal over 20 days before launch.



NesFe said:
SnakeDrake said:
^its going to be hard since i dont know anything about the psvita tv reception in japan only thats its positive but not by how much.

well yeah, nobody knows how well Vita Tv is going to sell ^^. u just made a random prediction lol

haha yeah your right im guessing 80k hardware and 300k software (vita). Im prepare to be disappoined ^^ 



 

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the_dengle said:

Wow, for games that all had over 250k openings in Japan (except for Pikmin), those sure don't get a lot of pre-orders at COMG.


That's actually a very good point - and it shows that the game can (and likely will) still open high despite this.

But it also highlights how poorly it's tracking compared to say, the Wii versions (one-quarter of the points); does this mean we're going to see it opening to one-quarter of the sales? (~ 75k?)

Like Pezus says though, it'll move quickly in the two weekends before its release, imo.



Kresnik said:
the_dengle said:

Wow, for games that all had over 250k openings in Japan (except for Pikmin), those sure don't get a lot of pre-orders at COMG.


That's actually a very good point - and it shows that the game can (and likely will) still open high despite this.

But it also highlights how poorly it's tracking compared to say, the Wii versions (one-quarter of the points); does this mean we're going to see it opening to one-quarter of the sales? (~ 75k?)

Like Pezus says though, it'll move quickly in the two weekends before its release, imo.

Unlikely. We can see Luigi's Mansion had half the points Mario Galaxy 2 had at the same point before release. This did not translate to first-week sales at all, with LM managing about 85% of Galaxy 2's sales.



the_dengle said:

Unlikely. We can see Luigi's Mansion had half the points Mario Galaxy 2 had at the same point before release. This did not translate to first-week sales at all, with LM managing about 85% of Galaxy 2's sales.


I was more going for the comparison of like-for-like.  Although we're talking massive differences in install base between any consoles we compared; at least 3D home console Mario to 3D home console Mario seemed a little fairer than handheld Luigi to 3D home console Mario.

But it won't be long until release anyway, so I guess we'll find out soon.