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Forums - Sales - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

Boutros said:
tbone51 said:
Boutros said:

But Dynasty Warriors games easily sell 250k+ in NA so that's the very lowest DQH will do.

Honestly I'm expecting Dragon Quest: Heroes to sell as much in the West as it will sell in Japan.

I think 1.5m lifetime is a lock.


Thats pretty damn bold, especially with only ps4 as a western release vs japan thats multiplat. But its your prediction! Its not impossible at all...

That said you might want to take that statement back, unless you have a source DW3+DW4 are the only games to crack 250k+ in NoA (both did over 500k) with the next highest being DW5 with barely missing 250k. Those games are 10+ years old, but DW7 did do close to 250k according to vgc on ps3 so who knows!

As of Now i think it'll be like this... (minimum + maximum)

NoA: 100k-250k

Europe: 60k-150k

Japan: 700k-1mil

Worldwide: 900k-1.5mil (this includes everywhere else)

USA only:

Dynasty Warriors 2 - 200k
Dynasty Warriors 3 - 450k
Dynasty Warriors 4 - 580k
Dynasty Warriors 5 - 300k
Dynasty Warriors 6 - 220k after 10 months
Dynasty Warriors 7 - 220k after 10 months

(Source)

So add in the rest of NA and they all sold over 250k except maybe DW2 but that was a long time ago. I really don't think DQH can sell any less than that.

We need the guy with the Zhuge Liang avatar in here! He's the biggest Warriors fan and I'd like his hindsight!

Hi, 

Sorry was busy recently, hence why I haven't been here. 

Just to also add, DW6 is over 275k at this point with DW7 having exceeded DW6 sales. DW2 sales are low because it was the first musou game and a launch game on PS2. DW4 still remains the best selling musou game from Koei with more than 2.1 million units sold worldwide. 

Musou sales in the USA are actually ok most of the time, higher than EU but obviously less than Japan (exception being Hyrule Warriors which is over 400k).

For the guy asking about OPPW we know that 860k was in Japan and worldwide sales are over 1200k but could actually be much higher by now. Also it was digital download so very hard to get any accurate number at all. 

I'm expecting DQH to follow the trend of many new Musou IP/crossover which is high opening sales then a 1.4x to 15x multiplier for lifetime sales in Japan. So for example if first week sales will be ~500k then I'd expect lifetime sales in Japan to be ~750k at a maximum which would make it the best selling new musou IP after OPPW (860k) but ahead of Gundam Musou (700k), Musou Orochi (670k excluding PSP) and FOTNS (650k).

Western sales will be the hardest to predict and track but assuming DQH does exceed 700k combined in Japan then I can say with some confidence at least that total worldwide sales will easily exceed 1 million and will be on track to match or exceed Hyrule Warriors sales worldwide. 

I do think the fact Dragon Quest Heroes is a new IP/crossover, a new title for PS4 which will receive marketing and a musou game will allow western sales to actually be fairly good. But we'll have to wait and see. 



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Teeqoz said:
OfficerRaichu15 said:
Wait a minute, why are we going to do comparisons of a game with a 9 million install base vs a 100 million install base???


FYI, DQH has an installbase off 29 million, not a hundred million.

its comijng to the west though so itll have more than a 40 million install base by then XD



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

Raichu's First Series:

First RPG?

First Fighter?

First Racer?

First Shooter?

First MMO?

First Horror?

Official Ni No Kuni Fanboy:

Familiars Captured:37

Game Beaten: 2 times almost

Times I got teary during some scenes: 3



Meh, next couple of weeks are going to be boring.



Bloodborne and Type-0 consistently getting points now. Hopefully it'll last until launch.



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: ) Good to see Etrian doing well enough



 

              

Dance my pretties!

The Official Art Thread      -      The Official Manga Thread      -      The Official Starbound Thread

Hopefully Etrian is consistent until launch. Charts aren't going to be too interesting until some more games release. Things should shake up quite a bit in 12 days.



Official Tokyo Mirage Sessions #FE Thread

                                      

Level 5 should announce yokia watch 3 soon :P



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

Raichu's First Series:

First RPG?

First Fighter?

First Racer?

First Shooter?

First MMO?

First Horror?

Official Ni No Kuni Fanboy:

Familiars Captured:37

Game Beaten: 2 times almost

Times I got teary during some scenes: 3

OfficerRaichu15 said:
Level 5 should announce yokia watch 3 soon :P

I hope you don't think you're joking.



the_dengle said:
OfficerRaichu15 said:
Level 5 should announce yokia watch 3 soon :P

I hope you don't think you're joking.

Yeah Im being sarcastic

which is why I included :P



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

Raichu's First Series:

First RPG?

First Fighter?

First Racer?

First Shooter?

First MMO?

First Horror?

Official Ni No Kuni Fanboy:

Familiars Captured:37

Game Beaten: 2 times almost

Times I got teary during some scenes: 3