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Forums - Sony - Killzone Shadowfall sales predictions

 

How much?

1 million 11 14.86%
 
2 10 13.51%
 
2.5 7 9.46%
 
3 12 16.22%
 
3.5 9 12.16%
 
4 6 8.11%
 
4.5 3 4.05%
 
5 4 5.41%
 
5.5 0 0%
 
6+ 12 16.22%
 
Total:74
platformmaster918 on 22 February 2013

So we now know, thanks to Fallon, that KZ will be a PS4 launch title.  Obviously we don't know the system price or if KZ will be bundled or anything, but let's take wild guesses anyway!

I say it'll be over 6m lifetime.  I think it will be bundled with a "deluxe" SKU for the system ($499 with a bigger HDD also) and have the excellent MP and pretty graphics (obviously) to show what the PS4 can do.  I think the social features will be used well as we know PS4 will come with a headset now.  People will be posting their videos and there's nothing better for a game than to be the pretty exclusive FPS that launches with a system to show what it can do.  I really think the series explodes as this is the first time it'll be at the forefront of a PS system's launch and advertising will be heavy as well.

For reference KZ2 did 2.88m so far and KZ3 is at 2.42m but KZ2 launched in 09 well into PS3's lifecycle.  I don't believe either ever recieved a holiday bundle.




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Andrespetmonkey on 22 February 2013

2.94 million



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sales2099 on 22 February 2013

Given how KZ3 sales were only 2.42 million, and the gameplay looks the same, so your looking at a metacritic in the 80s most likely. Without the sizable user base coupled with a COD PS4 release, since PS3 gamers can't support multiple shooters at once like Xbox fans can......Id say 1.5 million lifetime, without bundles offcourse. 3 million with bundles.



Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

sales2099 on 22 February 2013
platformmaster918 said:

So we now know, thanks to Fallon, that KZ will be a PS4 launch title.  Obviously we don't know the system price or if KZ will be bundled or anything, but let's take wild guesses anyway!

I say it'll be over 6m lifetime.  I think it will be bundled with a "deluxe" SKU for the system ($499 with a bigger HDD also) and have the excellent MP and pretty graphics (obviously) to show what the PS4 can do.  I think the social features will be used well as we know PS4 will come with a headset now.  People will be posting their videos and there's nothing better for a game than to be the pretty exclusive FPS that launches with a system to show what it can do.  I really think the series explodes as this is the first time it'll be at the forefront of a PS system's launch and advertising will be heavy as well.

For reference KZ2 did 2.88m so far and KZ3 is at 2.42m but KZ2 launched in 09 well into PS3's lifecycle.  I don't believe either ever recieved a holiday bundle.

Id compare this to Resistance 1 sales trends if anything.



Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

Andrespetmonkey on 22 February 2013
sales2099 said:

Given how KZ3 sales were only 2.42 million, and the gameplay looks the same, so your looking at a metacritic in the 80s most likely. Without the sizable user base coupled with a COD PS4 release, since PS3 gamers can't support multiple shooters at once like Xbox fans can......Id say 1.5 million lifetime, without bundles offcourse. 3 million with bundles.

Only? The only shooters that perform better on PS3 are BF and COD



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platformmaster918 on 22 February 2013
sales2099 said:
platformmaster918 said:

So we now know, thanks to Fallon, that KZ will be a PS4 launch title.  Obviously we don't know the system price or if KZ will be bundled or anything, but let's take wild guesses anyway!

I say it'll be over 6m lifetime.  I think it will be bundled with a "deluxe" SKU for the system ($499 with a bigger HDD also) and have the excellent MP and pretty graphics (obviously) to show what the PS4 can do.  I think the social features will be used well as we know PS4 will come with a headset now.  People will be posting their videos and there's nothing better for a game than to be the pretty exclusive FPS that launches with a system to show what it can do.  I really think the series explodes as this is the first time it'll be at the forefront of a PS system's launch and advertising will be heavy as well.

For reference KZ2 did 2.88m so far and KZ3 is at 2.42m but KZ2 launched in 09 well into PS3's lifecycle.  I don't believe either ever recieved a holiday bundle.

Id compare this to Resistance 1 sales trends if anything.

Resistance 1 sold 4m if I'm not mistaken and Killzone will have much more lasting online community and already has an established fanbase.  Also PS4 launch will probably go better than PS3 so it will have more customers to sell to (less expensive most likely is why I'm confident in this).




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bananaking21 on 22 February 2013

3.8 million. of course this is just a guess, to many variables depend on this games sales.



sales2099 on 22 February 2013
Andrespetmonkey said:
sales2099 said:

Given how KZ3 sales were only 2.42 million, and the gameplay looks the same, so your looking at a metacritic in the 80s most likely. Without the sizable user base coupled with a COD PS4 release, since PS3 gamers can't support multiple shooters at once like Xbox fans can......Id say 1.5 million lifetime, without bundles offcourse. 3 million with bundles.

Only? The only shooters that perform better on PS3 are BF and COD

And COD will most likely launch on PS4 alongside KZ



Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles. 

 

Wagram on 22 February 2013

3m is my guess. It will probably do quite decent at launch, and then be bundled a little bit down the road to showcase the system to new adopters.



pokoko on 22 February 2013

I'm going to say 2.7M at retail. It's a launch game and the hype is going to be much greater than with KZ3. I'd guess more than that, actually, but I think digital distribution percentages will go up next gen and KZ:S will be one of the first PS4 games to appear on the IGC.