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Forums - Sales - My Estimated Sales For Some Major Games In 2013

Turkish on 30 January 2013

4. The Last Of Us (3.6m on PS3 and in total)

5. Soul Sacrifice (3.4m on PSV and in total)

I'd take 1m from Soul Sacrifice and add it to TLOU.



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Flanneryaug on 30 January 2013

Most of the predictions are reasonable, except for God Of War: Ascension and Soul Sacrifice. God Of War: Ascension selling 4.8 million this year would mean that it would sell more than all other GoW's lifetime sales, while there is much less hype for this one. Also there is no way that Soul Sacrifice is going to sell 3.4M on Vita this year.



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Deyon on 30 January 2013
platformmaster918 said:

remember its the whole year and GTAV only has a little more pre-orders on 360 (normally PS3 games close the gap like how COD now is selling more on PS3 so a small lead indicates that after a couple weeks GTAV will be selling more on PS3).  LoU is a wildcard because it's a new IP but the pre-orders are very high and it will have legs like every PS exclusive.  GoW has a much higher install base than GoW3 did although smaller pre-orders so I would agree there but it may be bundled come Christmas (although I think PSallstars is more likely).

Install base doesn't matter. Metal Gear Solid 2 sold 6 million, it was released in 2001 on a console that had a 20 million* install base and Metal Gear Solid 3 sold 4 million on a 80 million* install base.



platformmaster918 on 30 January 2013
Deyon said:
platformmaster918 said:

remember its the whole year and GTAV only has a little more pre-orders on 360 (normally PS3 games close the gap like how COD now is selling more on PS3 so a small lead indicates that after a couple weeks GTAV will be selling more on PS3).  LoU is a wildcard because it's a new IP but the pre-orders are very high and it will have legs like every PS exclusive.  GoW has a much higher install base than GoW3 did although smaller pre-orders so I would agree there but it may be bundled come Christmas (although I think PSallstars is more likely).

Install base doesn't matter. Metal Gear Solid 2 sold 6 million, it was released in 2001 on a console that had a 20 million* install base and Metal Gear Solid 3 sold 4 million on a 80 million* install base.

true.  Although MGS3 is my second favorite game ever so I don't like to remember that especially because I hated MGS2 :'(




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VGKing on 30 January 2013
Ucell said:

 

Hi guys, I just wanted to share my estimated sales for select titles in 2013 and what I think they might sell like. I would also like your estimations on the topic:

1. Grand Theft Auto 5 (12.4m on PS3, 11.5m on Xbox 360, 23.9m total)

2. Pokemon: X/Y (11.6m on 3DS and in total)

3. God Of War: Ascension (4.8m on PS3 and in total)

4. The Last Of Us (3.6m on PS3 and in total)

5. Soul Sacrifice (3.4m on PSV and in total)

6. Gears Of War: Judgement (2.9m on Xbox 360 and in total)

7. Metal Gear Rising: Revengeance (0.9m on PS3, 0.8m on Xbox 360, 1.7m in total)

8. Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Blacklist (0.5m on PS3, 0.5m on Xbox 360, 0.2m on PC, 1.2m in total)

9. Killzone: Mercenary (1.1m on PSV and in total)

10. Rayman Legends (1.1m on Wii U and in total)

So what do you think about the accuracy of my estimates? Also you can post your own estimates here.

 

LOL! I assume that's a typo on your part.



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Deyon on 30 January 2013
platformmaster918 said:

true.  Although MGS3 is my second favorite game ever so I don't like to remember that especially because I hated MGS2 :'(

It is the best MGS game ever, it even walks all over MGS4. MGS fans are really really stupid for not buying it.



FaintZ on 30 January 2013
JustThatGamer said:
Are those estimates lifetime sales or just for sales in 2013?

Here's my estimates for 2013 sales only.

1. Grand Theft Auto 5 (7m on PS3 / 7.5m on Xbox 360, 12.5m total)
2. Pokemon: X/Y (5m on 3DS)
3. God of War: Ascension (4.0m on PS3)
4. Gears of War: Judgement (3.0m on Xbox 360)
5. The Last of Us (2.5m on PS3)
6. Metal Gear Rising: Revengeance (0.9m on PS3 / 0.7m on Xbox 360 / 1.6m in total)
7. Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Blacklist (0.5m on PS3 / 1.0m on Xbox 360 / 1.5m in total)
8. Killzone: Mercenary (0.55m on PSV)
9. Rayman Legends (0.5m on Wii U)
10. Soul Sacrifice (???????Not a clue???????)

I think GTA 5 will sell at least 30% more than 12.5m in 2013.
If Pokemon X/Y release simultaneously worldwide, I can see it doing 5m week ONE.

And I think The Last of Us will sell more than 3m.

MGR will easily sell more than that, at least more for the PS3 because of Japan, but I think the X360 version will sell more too.

I don´t want to offend you, it´s just my opinion and I think you`re underestimating some franchises :p



platformmaster918 on 30 January 2013
Deyon said:
platformmaster918 said:

true.  Although MGS3 is my second favorite game ever so I don't like to remember that especially because I hated MGS2 :'(

It is the best MGS game ever, it even walks all over MGS4. MGS fans are really really stupid for not buying it.

also has my favorite collection of boss battles ever.  The sheer uniqueness that went into each one is incredible and the End may be my favorite boss battle ever (GoW has some right up there as well).  I still remember the mindfucks and sheer brilliance of the story when I first played it and just being in awe especially after FINALLY beating the end after 45 minutes.




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BenVTrigger on 30 January 2013

You expect God of War to suddenly double Gears of War sales even though there's no evidence of that in either franchises history?



platformmaster918 on 30 January 2013
BenVTrigger said:
You expect God of War to suddenly double Gears of War sales even though there's no evidence of that in either franchises history?

pre-order numbers are drastically different than in the past and Gears is historically a more front loaded franchise




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