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Forums - Sales Discussion - Who do you think will win the console wars?

bluster said:
Avinash, look at my sig. I will be the first to be happy if Wii sells 200 m, but something tells me it has to stop selling like bread at some point.
I must add that 150 m could be posible, but I can not believe such figures as 250-300 millions as some had stated...

 Why?  Do you see any sign that it is slowing down?  look at others sales this week over 100K, only thing holding it back is nintendo production, and Nintendo has yet to hit $199 or release a second color and a Wii lite is years off if ever 9how do you make the Wii smaller?)

 

In addition Wii has many markets left unexplored

 

Was GTA3 the only game on the PS2? Is GTA4 going to be the only game on the PS3?

 

GTA was the highest selling games on the PS2, and PS3 lacks th casual games of the PS2 so it only has its hardcore games to carry it, games which indicate a potential arond 15-20 million



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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Whoever is putting 200+ million for the Wii keep in mind the DS is selling way better and yet it has to sell more then triple what it already has to to reach 200 million. As the ps3 has better games and the 360 continues to come out with strong brands it will be hard for the Wii to continue at it's pace long enough to make those kind of numbers. hardcore gamers may become more interested in the other systems more dedicated to hardcore games, and casuals don't tend to stay hot with one gadget for too long. I'm not saying it one win with flying colors, but 200 million is a bit steep at this point.

For those saying the X360 will only get 35 million. That is a bit low, this system will stick around for a while and has lots to offer the gaming publics it's already more then half way to 35 million and we're not even halfway through this generation, wait till it becomes more reliable, and cheaper, there is no reason this system won't fly right pass 40 million and park it's lifetime userbase between 50-60 mill.



Mummelmann said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Mummelmann said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
dtewi said:
Blu-Ray adoption is going to increase sales Garcian. And with the combination of triple AAA games and a low price, it can sell 60 million.

People aren't going to buy a PS3 for Blu-ray dewi, they'll buy a cheaper blu-ray player seperately

 

 


Ironic that that's the only reason get a PS3 according to the site's Wii fans, including yourself.


Yeah at the moment its one of the cheaper blu-ray players, how long do you think that will last?


 Ah, so the PS3 is a fad? Sounds strangely familiar... I get it now.


 No not a fad, just a low selling console, like the GCN and Xbox



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

fooflexible said:
Whoever is putting 200+ million for the Wii keep in mind the DS is selling way better and yet it has to sell more then triple what it already has to to reach 200 million. As the ps3 has better games and the 360 continues to come out with strong brands it will be hard for the Wii to continue at it's pace long enough to make those kind of numbers. hardcore gamers may become more interested in the other systems more dedicated to hardcore games, and casuals don't tend to stay hot with one gadget for too long. I'm not saying it one win with flying colors, but 200 million is a bit steep at this point.

For those saying the X360 will only get 35 million. That is a bit low, this system will stick around for a while and has lots to offer the gaming publics it's already more then half way to 35 million and we're not even halfway through this generation, wait till it becomes more reliable, and cheaper, there is no reason this system won't fly right pass 40 million and park it's lifetime userbase between 50-60 mill.

 Wii is selling faster than the DS was at the same point in its life, Wii beat DS's time to 20 million



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Avinash_Tyagi said:

 

Was GTA3 the only game on the PS2? Is GTA4 going to be the only game on the PS3?

 

GTA was the highest selling games on the PS2, and PS3 lacks th casual games of the PS2 so it only has its hardcore games to carry it, games which indicate a potential arond 15-20 million


 LMFAO

The PS3 has Singstar, LBP, Buzz, GRAN TURISMO 5 etc which are casual games. It also has a lot of sports games.

15-20M hardcore gamers? Well, 15M GTA3, 7M FFX, 3M DMC, GT5 (both hardcore and casual) 15M etc. The PS3 will attract way more hardcore gamers then the xbox or Gamecube ever could. Xbox; if you don't like FPS your screwed, Gamecube; if you don't like Mario or Zelda your screwed.



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^Good point - The wii will sell as fast if not faster than the DS is currently selling when production increases. The main reason DS is selling better is cause there are more Ds's being produced

OT: Wii wii Win!!!:)
PS3 2nd
360 Last



most likely the wii with the ps3 in 2nd and the 360 close behind the ps3



@slimebeast.
I have always had PS3 outselling 360,.. before Wii/PS3 launch I had PS3 outselling Wii;
PS3:- 70-80m
Wii:- 60-70m
360:- 30-40m

....since last summer I had similar predictions to what I put on page 1;
min



tombi123 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:

 

Was GTA3 the only game on the PS2? Is GTA4 going to be the only game on the PS3?

 

GTA was the highest selling games on the PS2, and PS3 lacks th casual games of the PS2 so it only has its hardcore games to carry it, games which indicate a potential arond 15-20 million


 LMFAO

The PS3 has Singstar, LBP, Buzz, GRAN TURISMO 5 etc which are casual games. It also has a lot of sports games.

15-20M hardcore gamers? Well, 15M GTA3, 7M FFX, 3M DMC, GT5 (both hardcore and casual) 15M etc. The PS3 will attract way more hardcore gamers then the xbox or Gamecube ever could. Xbox; if you don't like FPS your screwed, Gamecube; if you don't like Mario or Zelda your screwed.


 You really think Gran turismo is a causal game, lol, you really think most people are interested in a realistic racer?

 

The other games you mentioned may have some causual appeal, but they aren't the big draws outside Europe Singstar and Buzz sells poorly, you see this is where you get it wrong, they have limited appeal compared to the Wii games



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Wii won't win in another 5 years...
BECAUSE IT HAS ALREADY WON! PEOPLE!

I still strongly believe the PS3 will come in second. It just has so much going for it...



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyLhpUPNPIs

360 IS OPERATIONAL AFTER 37 DAYS!