By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Politics Discussion - California Schools Taking out CAB loans

fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:

Little by little, the implosion of the middle class, and the sliding into third-world status appears to be happening for America. You try to keep up minimums of what had been norms for maintaining middle class lifestyle, and it folds. Money won't be there at this point. Create a system where you can't raise taxes and keep costs down, and go into the debt spiral. At this point it is flush. Look for end of Pax Americana to happen. Neo-Cons can take down the GOP at this point. Social conservatives can also do the same with their push for the drug war, which won't be sustainable, so it gets ended and they they don't have a home. Then we can pull the plug on the welfare state and have people pour out on the streets. Mutual aid societies? HA! You will get mutual defense societies, and those who were now booted out, the 47% (you know, the types who won't take responsibility for themselves) seen as vermin, and gun them down.

You will have massive unrest and you can elect a charismatic leader who will take a cannon to the mob the way Napoleon did. I expect Fox News to position this as favorable, explaining that it were subhumans being shot down anyhow.

I find it weird how you constantly find ways to blame the people that haven't been in power for everything.  I mean, we are talking California here.  Granted they had Arnold but basically his whole govonorership was everybody being mad that he even attempted to carry out his campaign promises.

The problem of the implosion is larger than either party.  Yes, I vent about the impact to the GOP, but the problem is larger.  What do you think happens to a nation that doesn't sufficiently fund education and allocate properly?

Take all this as signs of cracks appearing in the system.

Your initial premise is flawed

 

 

Note the second graph is using real cost... so inflation etc is covered.  While the first is adjusted by PPP. 

Our education problem isn't really a funding problem.

 

Allocation?  Maybe.  I'd place it more on execution myself.

The second graph is the most misleading graph I have ever seen and should not be used as the basis of an argument.

For starters, your costs are a displacement figure, whereas your benefits are a derivative, purely used to show an extreme bias towards the cost. If you added cost as a derivative as well, you'd see it's just as flat as the benefits.

Secondly, the graph uses two completely separat measurements on the same graph, with the assumption that, for example, $80k is wirth the equivalent of a 30% IMPROVEMENT in Achievement EVERY YEAR.

It's nothing more to appeal to the brainless mass who see this and say "OMG Education spending out of control!!!"

Real cost per student is going up... and results stay the same. (As in adjusting for inflation.)

What's misleading about that?



Around the Network
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:

Little by little, the implosion of the middle class, and the sliding into third-world status appears to be happening for America. You try to keep up minimums of what had been norms for maintaining middle class lifestyle, and it folds. Money won't be there at this point. Create a system where you can't raise taxes and keep costs down, and go into the debt spiral. At this point it is flush. Look for end of Pax Americana to happen. Neo-Cons can take down the GOP at this point. Social conservatives can also do the same with their push for the drug war, which won't be sustainable, so it gets ended and they they don't have a home. Then we can pull the plug on the welfare state and have people pour out on the streets. Mutual aid societies? HA! You will get mutual defense societies, and those who were now booted out, the 47% (you know, the types who won't take responsibility for themselves) seen as vermin, and gun them down.

You will have massive unrest and you can elect a charismatic leader who will take a cannon to the mob the way Napoleon did. I expect Fox News to position this as favorable, explaining that it were subhumans being shot down anyhow.

I find it weird how you constantly find ways to blame the people that haven't been in power for everything.  I mean, we are talking California here.  Granted they had Arnold but basically his whole govonorership was everybody being mad that he even attempted to carry out his campaign promises.

The problem of the implosion is larger than either party.  Yes, I vent about the impact to the GOP, but the problem is larger.  What do you think happens to a nation that doesn't sufficiently fund education and allocate properly?

Take all this as signs of cracks appearing in the system.

Your initial premise is flawed

 

 

Note the second graph is using real cost... so inflation etc is covered.  While the first is adjusted by PPP. 

Our education problem isn't really a funding problem.

 

Allocation?  Maybe.  I'd place it more on execution myself.

The second graph is the most misleading graph I have ever seen and should not be used as the basis of an argument.

For starters, your costs are a displacement figure, whereas your benefits are a derivative, purely used to show an extreme bias towards the cost. If you added cost as a derivative as well, you'd see it's just as flat as the benefits.

Secondly, the graph uses two completely separat measurements on the same graph, with the assumption that, for example, $80k is wirth the equivalent of a 30% IMPROVEMENT in Achievement EVERY YEAR.

It's nothing more to appeal to the brainless mass who see this and say "OMG Education spending out of control!!!"

Real cost per student is going up... and results stay the same. (As in adjusting for inflation.)

What's misleading about that?


I'll put it another way:

What if the graph was about cost vs the test score of the highest rating student as a %. You'd see the benefits line close to the top of that graph.

That's because there's no direct correlation between the two.



fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:
Kasz216 said:
richardhutnik said:



 

The problem of the implosion is larger than either party.  Yes, I vent about the impact to the GOP, but the problem is larger.  What do you think happens to a nation that doesn't sufficiently fund education and allocate properly?

 

 

The second graph is the most misleading graph I have ever seen and should not be used as the basis of an argument.

For starters, your costs are a displacement figure, whereas your benefits are a derivative, purely used to show an extreme bias towards the cost. If you added cost as a derivative as well, you'd see it's just as flat as the benefits.

Secondly, the graph uses two completely separat measurements on the same graph, with the assumption that, for example, $80k is wirth the equivalent of a 30% IMPROVEMENT in Achievement EVERY YEAR.

It's nothing more to appeal to the brainless mass who see this and say "OMG Education spending out of control!!!"

Real cost per student is going up... and results stay the same. (As in adjusting for inflation.)

What's misleading about that?


I'll put it another way:

What if the graph was about cost vs the test score of the highest rating student as a %. You'd see the benefits line close to the top of that graph.

That's because there's no direct correlation between the two.

Highest rating student?  I'm not even sure what you mean by that.


I'm not sure if you understand the graph... but it's showing the Real cost of education per student. (Adjusted for inflation and all that)

and contrasting it with changes in the NAEP achievement scores... which have shown that our students essentially haven't gotten any better at reading and Math, and have gotten worse at Sceince.

 

That there isn't correlation is exactly my point.  You can keep spending more and more and it's not going to improve test scores.



Kasz216 said:

Highest rating student?  I'm not even sure what you mean by that.


I'm not sure if you understand the graph... but it's showing the Real cost of education per student. (Adjusted for inflation and all that)

and contrasting it with changes in the NAEP achievement scores... which have shown that our students essentially haven't gotten any better at reading and Math, and have gotten worse at Sceince.

 

That there isn't correlation is exactly my point.  You can keep spending more and more and it's not going to improve test scores.


The highest rated student measures the maximum CAPABILITY of those funds. Of course, students wont learn if they don't want to, so it's only fair to leave those out of the equation and cater for maximum benefit, since we have no control over student will (Unless you prefer a dictatorship).

Second, show me that the classrooms of 1970 don't differ one bit to the ones of 2010. Additionally, I'd like to see that the tests taken from 1970 are exactly the same as the ones taken in 2010. Tests ARE a shifting trend as well, which this graph absolutely fails to take into account.

You still haven't answered my question as to why the costs are a displacement figure whereas benefits are a dertivative. Of course, when placed on a similar axis, the costs would ALWAYS win out, unless you had some kind of higher than exponential growth of test results, which is incredibly unlikely.

I'd also like to ask, is this graph for the entire US? If so, I have plenty of good claims as to why only SCIENCE scores reach that low...



fordy said:
Kasz216 said:

Highest rating student?  I'm not even sure what you mean by that.


I'm not sure if you understand the graph... but it's showing the Real cost of education per student. (Adjusted for inflation and all that)

and contrasting it with changes in the NAEP achievement scores... which have shown that our students essentially haven't gotten any better at reading and Math, and have gotten worse at Sceince.

 

That there isn't correlation is exactly my point.  You can keep spending more and more and it's not going to improve test scores.

The highest rated student measures the maximum CAPABILITY of those funds. Of course, students wont learn if they don't want to, so it's only fair to leave those out of the equation and cater for maximum benefit, since we have no control over student will (Unless you prefer a dictatorship).

Second, show me that the classrooms of 1970 don't differ one bit to the ones of 2010. Additionally, I'd like to see that the tests taken from 1970 are exactly the same as the ones taken in 2010. Tests ARE a shifting trend as well, which this graph absolutely fails to take into account.

You still haven't answered my question as to why the costs are a displacement figure whereas benefits are a dertivative. Of course, when placed on a similar axis, the costs would ALWAYS win out, unless you had some kind of higher than exponential growth of test results, which is incredibly unlikely.

I'd also like to ask, is this graph for the entire US? If so, I have plenty of good claims as to why only SCIENCE scores reach that low...

Except you know...

A) total student achievement is the very heart of what this whole conversation about.  To leave it out would be well... missing the whole point of the conversation.

B) The NAEP tests are the same.  That's sort of the whole point of the NAEP. 

C) I finally see what your saying.  The answer is.  It isn't.  

It's not showing percentage of change per year.  It's showing the percentage of change since 1970.

The baseline figure in 1992 and the baseline figure in 2008 are the same.

For an example showing the same data.  (Top 2 are the same  Purple and Yellow.)

 

Steady woudln't seem problematic, except everyone elses scores and competency are increasing.



Around the Network
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:

Highest rating student?  I'm not even sure what you mean by that.


I'm not sure if you understand the graph... but it's showing the Real cost of education per student. (Adjusted for inflation and all that)

and contrasting it with changes in the NAEP achievement scores... which have shown that our students essentially haven't gotten any better at reading and Math, and have gotten worse at Sceince.

 

That there isn't correlation is exactly my point.  You can keep spending more and more and it's not going to improve test scores.

The highest rated student measures the maximum CAPABILITY of those funds. Of course, students wont learn if they don't want to, so it's only fair to leave those out of the equation and cater for maximum benefit, since we have no control over student will (Unless you prefer a dictatorship).

Second, show me that the classrooms of 1970 don't differ one bit to the ones of 2010. Additionally, I'd like to see that the tests taken from 1970 are exactly the same as the ones taken in 2010. Tests ARE a shifting trend as well, which this graph absolutely fails to take into account.

You still haven't answered my question as to why the costs are a displacement figure whereas benefits are a dertivative. Of course, when placed on a similar axis, the costs would ALWAYS win out, unless you had some kind of higher than exponential growth of test results, which is incredibly unlikely.

I'd also like to ask, is this graph for the entire US? If so, I have plenty of good claims as to why only SCIENCE scores reach that low...

Except you know...

A) total student achievement is the very heart of what this whole conversation about.  To leave it out would be well... missing the whole point of the conversation.

B) The NAEP tests are the same.  That's sort of the whole point of the NAEP. 

C) I finally see what your saying.  The answer is.  It isn't.  

It's not showing percentage of change per year.  It's showing the percentage of change since 1970.

The baseline figure in 1992 and the baseline figure in 2008 are the same.

For an example showing the same data.  (Top 2 are the same  Purple and Yellow.)

 

And that's where your argument comes undone. Public schools don't pick what students they get, they have to work with what they're given. One could even argue that if average intelligence IS going down, then the cost of maintaining that level is justified. Once again, MANY other factors at play here. Public schools could spend as much money as they want on a sudent, but if the student is unwilling to learn, then it's not going to make a difference.

A derivative measuring from 2 points (1970-x) is still a derivative. The difference is that the costs STARTED on their displacement cost for 1970. Why didn't it start at a derivative of +0, may I ask? Are we expecting sudents of 2010 to do twice as good as students of 1970, given that they decided to add two completely different axes with no correlation on the one axis, and the fact that the tests have a ceiling? (ie How are students who scored 100% in 1970 able to be outperformed by students in 2010?).



thranx said:
zumnupy10 said:
thranx said:
Kasz216 said:

Eh, they'll default, and they'll replace those school districts with new ones... the lawyers will have a hell of a time repossessing anything of value, since I think the buildings would still belong to the state. Not the school district. (I could be wrong on this.)

Or their city/state governments will just pass laws telling the lenders to go to hell.


Or the school districts will get bailed out.

Those are the three options. Really if anything i'd say the people who lent to them were taking the big risk.

 

They'll probably go with the first option too, because I don't think you can legally tie the state or county to something the school board decided.  If it wasn't California i'd say the state would probably use it to union bust, but it is, so that probably won't happen.  They MAY force the teachers to be rehired and take a paycut.  Though even then the teacher union probably won't go for it.  So it'll probably  just be all the same, but different name.  Different school board.

That does make the most sence. I currently live in California, and it amazes me how bad our state government has been, and we keep re electing the same people over and over. The business climate is horrible, a lot of regulation for everything, and a lot of corruption in local city and county governement.

 

 

@richard

California is currently being completly run by democrats, and before that is was always majority democrat so i do not see how the republicans or conservatives are the issue. If anything it is the over regulation and over taxation of residents and businesses that are casuing problems for the state. There is a very well off region that passes regultions that all of CA have to follow that don't neccissarily benefit all Californians.

I used to be very fundamentalist about this liberal thinking too.  I thought over regulation was the main  problem, but it was the lack of regulation of the banking system which drove pretty much all western economy to an abysm.

 

thats not true. it is ineffective regulation that caused the banking problem. In CA over regulation and taxation are a problem, there is no way around it. We probably have more regulation than any other state and it makes it hard to do business here. Because of this many businesses are leaving the state, meaning less jobs and taxes to go around.

There was no regulation. Banks did all sorts of risky deals, lending money to people who clearly could not pay(Even with interest rates at about 0%).



fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:

Highest rating student?  I'm not even sure what you mean by that.


I'm not sure if you understand the graph... but it's showing the Real cost of education per student. (Adjusted for inflation and all that)

and contrasting it with changes in the NAEP achievement scores... which have shown that our students essentially haven't gotten any better at reading and Math, and have gotten worse at Sceince.

 

That there isn't correlation is exactly my point.  You can keep spending more and more and it's not going to improve test scores.

The highest rated student measures the maximum CAPABILITY of those funds. Of course, students wont learn if they don't want to, so it's only fair to leave those out of the equation and cater for maximum benefit, since we have no control over student will (Unless you prefer a dictatorship).

Second, show me that the classrooms of 1970 don't differ one bit to the ones of 2010. Additionally, I'd like to see that the tests taken from 1970 are exactly the same as the ones taken in 2010. Tests ARE a shifting trend as well, which this graph absolutely fails to take into account.

You still haven't answered my question as to why the costs are a displacement figure whereas benefits are a dertivative. Of course, when placed on a similar axis, the costs would ALWAYS win out, unless you had some kind of higher than exponential growth of test results, which is incredibly unlikely.

I'd also like to ask, is this graph for the entire US? If so, I have plenty of good claims as to why only SCIENCE scores reach that low...

Except you know...

A) total student achievement is the very heart of what this whole conversation about.  To leave it out would be well... missing the whole point of the conversation.

B) The NAEP tests are the same.  That's sort of the whole point of the NAEP. 

C) I finally see what your saying.  The answer is.  It isn't.  

It's not showing percentage of change per year.  It's showing the percentage of change since 1970.

The baseline figure in 1992 and the baseline figure in 2008 are the same.

For an example showing the same data.  (Top 2 are the same  Purple and Yellow.)

 

And that's where your argument comes undone. Public schools don't pick what students they get, they have to work with what they're given. One could even argue that if average intelligence IS going down, then the cost of maintaining that level is justified. Once again, MANY other factors at play here. Public schools could spend as much money as they want on a sudent, but if the student is unwilling to learn, then it's not going to make a difference.

A derivative measuring from 2 points (1970-x) is still a derivative. The difference is that the costs STARTED on their displacement cost for 1970. Why didn't it start at a derivative of +0, may I ask? Are we expecting sudents of 2010 to do twice as good as students of 1970, given that they decided to add two completely different axes with no correlation on the one axis, and the fact that the tests have a ceiling? (ie How are students who scored 100% in 1970 able to be outperformed by students in 2010?).

It's not... I feel like now you don't know what a derivative is now. 

Look at the chart i just showed you.

I feel like you walked into this thread with zero understanding of the thread, looked at the graph and read nothing else.

You are just... wrong and now argueing for argueings sake....

coming up with claims without an actual shred of data to back it up.


Could students be getting dumber?  Sure.  They also could be getting smarter... making things look worse then that chart.

My money would be on smarter... considering generally IQ tests have to be revised to be made harder generation after generation.



Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:

Highest rating student?  I'm not even sure what you mean by that.


I'm not sure if you understand the graph... but it's showing the Real cost of education per student. (Adjusted for inflation and all that)

and contrasting it with changes in the NAEP achievement scores... which have shown that our students essentially haven't gotten any better at reading and Math, and have gotten worse at Sceince.

 

That there isn't correlation is exactly my point.  You can keep spending more and more and it's not going to improve test scores.

The highest rated student measures the maximum CAPABILITY of those funds. Of course, students wont learn if they don't want to, so it's only fair to leave those out of the equation and cater for maximum benefit, since we have no control over student will (Unless you prefer a dictatorship).

Second, show me that the classrooms of 1970 don't differ one bit to the ones of 2010. Additionally, I'd like to see that the tests taken from 1970 are exactly the same as the ones taken in 2010. Tests ARE a shifting trend as well, which this graph absolutely fails to take into account.

You still haven't answered my question as to why the costs are a displacement figure whereas benefits are a dertivative. Of course, when placed on a similar axis, the costs would ALWAYS win out, unless you had some kind of higher than exponential growth of test results, which is incredibly unlikely.

I'd also like to ask, is this graph for the entire US? If so, I have plenty of good claims as to why only SCIENCE scores reach that low...

Except you know...

A) total student achievement is the very heart of what this whole conversation about.  To leave it out would be well... missing the whole point of the conversation.

B) The NAEP tests are the same.  That's sort of the whole point of the NAEP. 

C) I finally see what your saying.  The answer is.  It isn't.  

It's not showing percentage of change per year.  It's showing the percentage of change since 1970.

The baseline figure in 1992 and the baseline figure in 2008 are the same.

For an example showing the same data.  (Top 2 are the same  Purple and Yellow.)

 

And that's where your argument comes undone. Public schools don't pick what students they get, they have to work with what they're given. One could even argue that if average intelligence IS going down, then the cost of maintaining that level is justified. Once again, MANY other factors at play here. Public schools could spend as much money as they want on a sudent, but if the student is unwilling to learn, then it's not going to make a difference.

A derivative measuring from 2 points (1970-x) is still a derivative. The difference is that the costs STARTED on their displacement cost for 1970. Why didn't it start at a derivative of +0, may I ask? Are we expecting sudents of 2010 to do twice as good as students of 1970, given that they decided to add two completely different axes with no correlation on the one axis, and the fact that the tests have a ceiling? (ie How are students who scored 100% in 1970 able to be outperformed by students in 2010?).

It's not... I feel like now you don't know what a derivative is now. 

Look at the chart i just showed you.

I feel like you walked into this thread with zero understanding of the thread, looked at the graph and read nothing else.

You are just... wrong and now argueing for argueings sake....

coming up with claims without an actual shred of data to back it up.


Could students be getting dumber?  Sure.  They also could be getting smarter... making things look worse then that chart.

My money would be on smarter... considering generally IQ tests have to be revised to be made harder generation after generation.

The difference between the chart above and the one you showed me was that this chart does indeed work with displacements. As you can see, initial figures START with their initial value, not a value based in the CHANGE of a previous value. I ask the question back to you: do YOU know what a derivative is? I thought you used to work with statistics.

Coming up with claims without an actual shred of data to back it up? Once again, it was YOU displaying the graph, which I have mentioned before, makes a TON of assumptions, and not taking other factors into account. You're preaching the graph like it's some kind of actual gospel fact, and when somebody questions the figures DUE TO EXTERNAL FACTORS NOT TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT ON THIS GRAPH, you decide to start acting like this guy:

 



fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:
fordy said:
Kasz216 said:

 

 

.

It's not... I feel like now you don't know what a derivative is now. 

Look at the chart i just showed you.

I feel like you walked into this thread with zero understanding of the thread, looked at the graph and read nothing else.

You are just... wrong and now argueing for argueings sake....

coming up with claims without an actual shred of data to back it up.


Could students be getting dumber?  Sure.  They also could be getting smarter... making things look worse then that chart.

My money would be on smarter... considering generally IQ tests have to be revised to be made harder generation after generation.

The difference between the chart above and the one you showed me was that this chart does indeed work with displacements. As you can see, initial figures START with their initial value, not a value based in the CHANGE of a previous value. I ask the question back to you: do YOU know what a derivative is? I thought you used to work with statistics.

Coming up with claims without an actual shred of data to back it up? Once again, it was YOU displaying the graph, which I have mentioned before, makes a TON of assumptions, and not taking other factors into account. You're preaching the graph like it's some kind of actual gospel fact, and when somebody questions the figures DUE TO EXTERNAL FACTORS NOT TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT ON THIS GRAPH, you decide to start acting like this guy:

 

 

I did, that's how I know your wrong.

A derivative value has to stay that way the whole way through.

If you look at the two charts, you'll notice, they are exactly the same.  The only difference is the labeling.  You could eaisly transpose the numbers on the second chart, and replace the percentages on the first chart, and the data would remain exactly the same.

It's not a derivative value.  The best arguement you can make is that it's labeled confusingly.  It doesn't change how the graph looks in general.

 

I said you didn't read, because well... you haven't read.  External factors have been my point in this entire thread... and I know a lot more about said factors then you do.

If you want to actually come up with an external factor you don't think is covered.  Do so.  With evidence and facts that actually mentions it. (Like I have... in this thread no less.)

If you can't... what are you trying to argue?  May as well argue kids tests scores are stupider because of a magic dumb fairy going house to house making people dumb.

Again, you are just wrong, and argueing just to argue.

 

If you read the whole thread... one thing you'd of noticed already is that the vast majority of money spent... is spent on employee salaries.