Inspired by Spurgeonryan, I thought I'd make a thread about upcoming Vita games (since it seems to be a topic everyone wants to talk about), including some numbers and comparisions to similar/previous games from last generation.  Interested in what everyone has to predict about them:

• How many copies do you think they'll sell first week / until the end of the year / lifetime?
• Do you think they'll have a short term / long term impact on Vita sales?

So, lets begin!

Assassin's Creed 3: Liberation

Action - The legacy of the Assassin's Creed continues onto PlayStation Vita with this exclusive entry in the franchise.

Release Date: October 30, 2012.

Notes: Same release date as Assassin's Creed 3.  Connectivity to AC3.  Specifically-tailored multi-player.  Bundled with Crystal White Vita.

Comparisons:

Release Date: 17th/20th November 2009 (US/EU)

Notes: Same release date as Assassin's Creed 2.  Connectivity to AC2.  Metacritic: 63

Sales: ~ 53 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 34k.  First year sales (November + December): 380k.  LTD: 1.49m.

Call of Duty: Black Ops Declassified

Shooter - Optimized for gamers on-the-go, Call of Duty Black Ops: Declassified delivers the most intense handheld Call of Duty to date.

Release Date: Q3 2012.

Notes: Set between Black Ops 1 and Black Ops 2.  "Multiplayer combat tailored to the Vita".

Comparisons:

Release Date: 13/30th March 2007 (US/EU)

Notes: Only Ad-Hoc multi-player.  Metacritic: 64.

Extra: Released before Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare (November 2007).

Sales: ~ 21 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 6k.  First year sales: 471k.  LTD: 2.05m.

Fifa 13

Sports - Raise the vuvuzela for the '012 edition of EA Sports' clinch soccer franchise.

Release Date: 25/28 September, 2012 (US/EU).

Notes: N/A.

Comparisons:

Release Date (PSP): 28 September 2007 (EU), 08 October 2007 (US).

Notes: Metacritic: 79.

Sales: ~26 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 31k.  First year sales (November + December): 732k. LTD: 1.33m.

LittleBigPlanet PSVita

Platformer - Join Sackboy on a completely new adventure, filled with exploration and competition.

Release Date: September 19, 2012.

Notes: Four player online competative or co-op play.  Includes all creation tools from LBP2 along with new content.

Comparisons:

Release Date: 17/19th November 2009 (US/EU).

Notes:  No multi-player capabilities.  Metacritic: 87.

Sales: ~ 53 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 53k.  First year sales (November + December): 542k.  LTD: 2.07m.

Madden NFL 13

Sports - Take it to the house with the '013 edition of EA Sports' football franchise.

Release Date: August 28, 2012.

Notes: N/A.

Comparisons:

Release Date: September 20, 2005.

Notes: Metacritic: 75.

Sales: ~5 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 63k.  First year sales: 540k.  LTD: 747k.

Need for Speed: Most Wanted

Racing - An expansive open world packed with exhilarating action where players can choose their own path to become the Most Wanted.

Release Date: October 30, 2012

Notes: N/A

Comparisons:

Release Date (Most Wanted): 15/25th November 2005 (US/EU)

Notes: PSP-specific version.  Online multi-player.  Metacritic: 72.

Sales: ~7 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 20k.  First year sales (November + December): 278k.  LTD: 1.89m.

New Little King Story

RPG - Assume the role of a King tasked with reclaiming his Kingdom from an invader known only as 'The Nightmare'

Release Date: TBA 2012.

Notes: Sequel to the Wii game with new visual styling and love elements.

Comparisons:

Release Date: 24th April 2009 (EU), 21st July 2009 (US).

Notes: Metacritic: 87.

Sales: ~48 million Wii userbase upon release.  First week sales - EU: 5k, US: 14k.  First year sales: 151k.  LTD: 260k.

Persona 4: Golden

RPG - Persona 4 comes to Playstation Vita, and includes the original PS2 game and additional content.

Release Date: 23-30 October 2012.

Notes: Remake of Persona 4.  New features and story elements.  Already out in Japan (~200k copies sold, 137k FW)

Comparisons:

Release Date: July 6 2010 (US), April 28 2011 (EU)

Notes: Remake of Persona 3.  New features, story elements & difficulty settings.  Metacritic: 91.

Extra: Persona 3 Portable (PSP) - 500k.  Persona 3 (PS2) - 420k.  Persona 3 FES (PS2) - 630k.

Sales: ~ 60 million PSP userbase upon release in US.  First week sales - Japan: 104k, US: 16k, EU: 5k.  First year sales (Japan only): 205k.  LTD: 500k.

Playstation All-Stars Battle Royale

Fighting - Playstation heroes & villains battle in arenas for crazy 4-man fighting bouts

Release Date: 23/24 October, 2012 (US/EU)

Notes:  Port of the PS3 game.  Cross play with PS3 version.

Comparisons:

?

There aren't really many things I can compare this to.  It's not part of a series and it doesn't really have any equals on handheld consoles.  Considering comparing it to Power Stone Collection, but they are slightly different beasts.

Ragnorak Odyssey

RPG - Action-heavy RPG set in the lush landscape of the familiar Ragnorak Online Universe.

Release Date: Q3 2012

Notes: 4 player online or local co-op.  Already out in Japan (~80k copies sold, 30k FW)

Comparisons:

Release Date: 16 February, 2010 (US only)

Notes: 3 player simultaneous dungeon play.  Based on Ragnarok Online.  Metacritic: 53.

Sales: ~123 million DS userbase upon release in US.  First week sales: 15k.  First year sales: 52k.  LTD: 80k.

Silent Hill: Book of Memories

Adventure - Explore new dimensions of the classic setting with the first multi-player component in the series.

Release Date: October, 2012.

Notes: Focus on connectivity and 4-player co-op.

Comparisons:

Release Date (Origins): 6/16 November, 2007 (US/EU).

Notes: Metacritic: 78.

Sales: ~28 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales: 18k.  First year sales (November + December): 195k.  LTD: 470k.

Sly Cooper: Thieves in Time

Platformer - The thieving raccoon returns in this fourth edition of the popular platforming franchise.

Release Date: Q3/Q4 2012.

Notes:  Port of the PS3 game.

Extra: Sly Cooper (PS2) - 1.81m.  Sly Collection (PS3) - 0.40m.  

Comparisons: (best I could think of)

Release Date: 3/20 November, 2009 (US/EU)

Notes: Released simultaneously on PS2.  Metacritic: 71.

Sales: ~53 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales - US: 5k, EU: 2k.  First year sales (November + December): 96k.  LTD: 500k.

Street Fighter x Tekken

Fighting - Fighters from these two bastions of the fighting genre come together for the very first time.

Release Date: October 19/23, 2012 (EU/US).

Notes: Port of the console version, complete with extra content.

Extra:  Street Fighter x Tekken (PS3) - 440k.  Mortal Kombat (PS3) - 1.74m.  Mortal Kombat (Vita) - 70k.

Comparisons:

Release Date (Alpha 3 Max): February 7, 2006 (US), March 10, 2006 (EU).

Notes: Port of the arcade version, with new content & characters.  Metacritic: 80.

Sales: ~ 11 million PSP userbase upon release.  First week sales - Japan: 10k, US: 20k.  First year sales: 164k.  LTD: 300k.

I'm aware there's probably some other stuff I'm missing, but these seemed to be the main retail releases & I'm tired of typing it now anyway and heading off to bed, so I'm going to leave it here for now.  If you spot any glaring errors, feel free to let me know.

My own personal thoughts on this:

• I wouldn't say there's a clear system seller among all the new games. The wild cards, in my opinion, are Black Ops Declassified & Playstation All-Stars. I'm not sure how much Assassin's Creed will do.
• I think the EA sports games - Madden & Fifa - are going to boost the system in the short term. The Fifa game already out has sold respectably for a system with as poor sales as Vita.
• Need for Speed could be another wild card. The PSP versions actually sold surprisingly well, and they were watered-down console ports. If this version is fully fledged, it could do some good figures in the long term.
• None of the PSP versions of these games had impressive first week sales, so I doubt we're going to see them for Vita either. Many of the early games had decent first year sales, but continued selling at a constant rate for the next 2-3 years.
• PSP had a period, November 2009, where it received tonnes of games at the same time. PSP sales increased at an average rate during the period, but the userbase was already at 53 million. Vita seems to be getting a similar drop of games, this time in October 2012. Will be interesting to see what all these titles do to the sales in the short term.
• Silent Hill & Ragnarok are going to do quite poorly, in my opinion.

LBPV will do 120k FW, 400k FY.
COD will do 200k FW, 600k FY
SLY 4 will do 30k FW, 111k FY
Gran turismo, will not only be announced at gamescom, but will come out next september and do 280k FW and 1m FY.

All retail only btw.

that is indeed a great lineup

wild card: PS all stars does almost as good on Vita as it does on PS3. 400k FW, 1.2m FY.

Thats a pretty slick holiday lineup. And a really well put together thread

Fifa 2007 is not the first Fifa in PSP we should compare the first Fifa in Vita with the first Fifa in PSP the PSVita version it sold already better then the PSP version and 3DS version and Xbox360

i will post my prediction later

truth be told I only really care about AC3 Liberation, im positive it will turn out better than Bloodlines since it at teh very least is running on the same engine that powers the actual AC3
COD, ill wait for reviews, those last games on DS were ugh and im not sure about the team
Ill most likely get SFxTekken since it is the only version of the game that even makes sense getting at this point. Im not quite sure how they will do. I think AC3L and COD can do a mil lifetime if they dont suck and not sure about SFxTekken

Ill tell you strait up right now AC is going to sell the most software andmove more hardware than anything on this list.

Its doing quite strong in pre orders compared to other Vita titles

tagging - comment coming soon to a website near you