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Forums - Sales - What position will active consoles and handhelds be in at this time next year?

Wii - 101m
360 - 77m
PS3 - 75m

3DS - 30m
PSV - 8m



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The 3DS will pass up GameCube, XBox, Sega Genesis, and Nintendo 64. I think it'll get near 33.2-33.5 Million Sales WW. That's around 15 Million Sales WW in that time, I think it might be able to get a little more even...

Nintendo DS will pass up the PS2 for best-selling console of all time. (It won't need that many sales to reach that mark.)

The Wii will get to 100 Million Sales. I'm not sure how far above that it'll get, however.

I don't see the PSP getting that many sales. (75-77 Million.)

I think X360 and PS3 will match each other near the 73-75 Million Mark.

The Wii U I can't make much of a prediction on. I know it'll be around the 7 Million mark, though.

PSVita will only get like 5-6 Million Sales out of this year and next year, tops.



NintendoPie said:
I think X360 and PS3 will match each other near the 73-75 Million Mark.


This prediction is too low. 75 - 77 Million is better.

73 Million is unreasonable. The PS3 would have to sell 9m & the X360 7m. That is too big a drop considering the PS3 & 360 just sold 14m & 13.5m last year, respectively. :)

Hmm, let's see... just the ones I care

DS will stay the same. Nintendo does not has presence in developing countries to battle the PS2, but it'll be close.
3DS - Will pass the N64. I think a remodel is coming and that will do wonders for it.
PSP - Stay the same
Vita - Without a price cut, it won't change positions. With a price cut it could reach or even pass Game gear.
Wii U - Well, at least Wonder Swan it has to pass



Yeah PEzus i dont' think nitnendoPie good at this game. How Vita only sell less than 1m for next year?????



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pezus said:
NintendoPie said:

I don't see the PSP getting that many sales. (75-77 Million.)

wat...

PSP 49,488 (-8%) 74,467,675

That is WW Sales, right? Yeah, I think my prediction is close enough. The PSP sells really bad in America, I don't really know about Europe, and I know it sells well in Japan, that's about it though! 77 Million on the high end, I'm sticking with it.



pezus said:

It would need huge boosts to catch up. It is millions behind and PS2 is already outshipping it

Like I said, $40-50 price cut, 3 Pokémon games. Don't worry so much about week-to-week sales; at the end of the year, DS will have sold at least 5 mil and PS2 will be lucky to sell 3 mil.



pezus said:

I don't think so. Pokémon will not affect DS sales, it will affect 3DS sales. Price cut won't do much either (see the Wii price cut).

*shrug* Maybe. We'll find out very soon -- the price cut took effect last week, we'll see if it impacted sales this week, Black & White 2 coming out in Japan next month, Conquest coming out in America next month, etc.

 

If 3DS gets all of the Pokémon boost, it's going to have a much better year than most people are predicting.



pezus said:

This Pokémon game will be smaller than Black and White by a considerable margin. Especially in Japan. So the boost won't be THAT huge.

I get that they probably won't sell as well as Black & White, but how do you figure the boost won't be too big? No "third" Pokémon game has ever sold less than 6 mil worldwide; no original duo has sold under 14 mil. B2&W2 is sort of an in-between of these two, and as an unprecedented move for the series, its sales are pretty hard to predict. I see B2/W2 as a really strong wild card of sorts. Certainly I wouldn't underestimate them.



pezus said:

So you two expect 2.5m in a year AT MOST! That is just too low. But, I'm more worried about the low end. You don't put a low end that will obviously be passed in a few weeks. 77m might be close to the end result but 77m for NinPie is the high end. I'd say 77m-80m personally, depending on the holidays a lot.

Seeing how horrid the Vita is going with sales it might possibly be the best seller for Sony for the Holiday. You might be right. I still think it won't get over 77 Million (or so) before E3 2013.